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A pairwise likelihood augmented Cox estimator for left-truncated data.

ABSTRACT: Survival data collected from a prevalent cohort are subject to left truncation and the analysis is challenging. Conditional approaches for left-truncated data could be inefficient as they ignore the information in the marginal likelihood of the truncation times. Length-biased sampling methods may improve the estimation efficiency but only when the underlying truncation time is uniform; otherwise, they may generate biased estimates. We propose a semiparametric method for left-truncated data under the Cox model with no parametric distributional assumption about the truncation times. Our approach is to make inference based on the conditional likelihood augmented with a pairwise likelihood, which eliminates the truncation distribution, yet retains the information about the regression coefficients and the baseline hazard function in the marginal likelihood. An iterative algorithm is provided to solve for the regression coefficients and the baseline hazard function simultaneously. By empirical process and U-process theories, it has been shown that the proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal with a closed-form consistent variance estimator. Simulation studies show substantial efficiency gain of our estimator in both the regression coefficients and the cumulative baseline hazard function over the conditional approach estimator. When the uniform truncation assumption holds, our estimator enjoys smaller biases and efficiency comparable to that of the full maximum likelihood estimator. An application to the analysis of a chronic kidney disease cohort study illustrates the utility of the method.

SUBMITTER: Wu F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6402872 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A pairwise likelihood augmented Cox estimator for left-truncated data.

Wu Fan F Kim Sehee S Qin Jing J Saran Rajiv R Li Yi Y

Biometrics 20170829 1

Survival data collected from a prevalent cohort are subject to left truncation and the analysis is challenging. Conditional approaches for left-truncated data could be inefficient as they ignore the information in the marginal likelihood of the truncation times. Length-biased sampling methods may improve the estimation efficiency but only when the underlying truncation time is uniform; otherwise, they may generate biased estimates. We propose a semiparametric method for left-truncated data under ...[more]

PMID: 28853158

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Project description:BackgroundFailure time data frequently occur in many medical studies and often accompany with various types of censoring. In some applications, left truncation may occur and can induce biased sampling, which makes the practical data analysis become more complicated. The existing analysis methods for left-truncated data have some limitations in that they either focus only on a special type of censored data or fail to flexibly utilize the distribution information of the truncation times for inference. Therefore, it is essential to develop a reliable and efficient method for the analysis of left-truncated failure time data with various types of censoring.MethodThis paper concerns regression analysis of left-truncated failure time data with the proportional hazards model under various types of censoring mechanisms, including right censoring, interval censoring and a mixture of them. The proposed pairwise pseudo-likelihood estimation method is essentially built on a combination of the conditional likelihood and the pairwise likelihood that eliminates the nuisance truncation distribution function or avoids its estimation. To implement the presented method, a flexible EM algorithm is developed by utilizing the idea of self-consistent estimating equation. A main feature of the algorithm is that it involves closed-form estimators of the large-dimensional nuisance parameters and is thus computationally stable and reliable. In addition, an R package LTsurv is developed.ResultsThe numerical results obtained from extensive simulation studies suggest that the proposed pairwise pseudo-likelihood method performs reasonably well in practical situations and is obviously more efficient than the conditional likelihood approach as expected. The analysis results of the MHCPS data with the proposed pairwise pseudo-likelihood method indicate that males have significantly higher risk of losing active life than females. In contrast, the conditional likelihood method recognizes this effect as non-significant, which is because the conditional likelihood method often loses some estimation efficiency compared with the proposed method.ConclusionsThe proposed method provides a general and helpful tool to conduct the Cox's regression analysis of left-truncated failure time data under various types of censoring.

Dataset Information

A pairwise likelihood augmented Cox estimator for left-truncated data.

Publications

A pairwise likelihood augmented Cox estimator for left-truncated data.

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