Ambient temperature and preterm birth: A retrospective study of 32 million US singleton births.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Sun S
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6441631 | biostudies-literature | 2019 May
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Ambient temperature and preterm birth: A retrospective study of 32 million US singleton births.
Sun Shengzhi S Weinberger Kate R KR Spangler Keith R KR Eliot Melissa N MN Braun Joseph M JM Wellenius Gregory A GA
Environment international 20190215
<h4>Background</h4>Days of extreme temperature may be associated with transiently higher risk of preterm birth, but prior studies have been limited and results have been heterogeneous.<h4>Objectives</h4>To evaluate the association between days of extreme heat and cold and risk of preterm birth among ~32 million live singleton births between 1989 and 2002 across 403 counties in the contiguous United States (US).<h4>Methods</h4>We used a distributed lag nonlinear model to estimate the association ...[more]
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Project description:BackgroundEmerging studies suggest that ambient temperature during pregnancy may be associated with fetal growth, but the existing evidence is limited and inconsistent.ObjectivesWe aimed to evaluate the association of trimester-specific temperature with risk of being born small for gestational age (SGA) and birth weight-markers of fetal growth-among term births in the contiguous United States.MethodsWe included data on 29,597,735 live singleton births between 1989 and 2002 across 403 U.S. counties. We estimated daily county-level population-weighted mean temperature using a spatially refined gridded climate data set. We used logistic regression to estimate the association between trimester-specific temperature and risk of SGA and linear regression to evaluate the association between trimester-specific temperature and term birth weight z-score, adjusting for parity, maternal demographics, smoking or drinking during pregnancy, chronic hypertension, and year and month of conception. We then pooled results overall and by geographic regions and climate zones.ResultsHigh ambient temperatures ([Formula: see text] percentile) during the entire pregnancy were associated with higher risk of term SGA {odds ratio [OR] [Formula: see text] 1.041 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.029, 1.054]} and lower term birth weight [standardized to [Formula: see text] (95% CI: [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text]) reduction in birth weight for infants born at 40 weeks of gestation]. Low temperatures ([Formula: see text] percentile) during the entire pregnancy were not associated with SGA [OR [Formula: see text] 1.003 (95% CI: 0.991, 1.015)] but were associated with a small decrement in term birth weight [standardized to [Formula: see text] (95% CI: [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text])]. Risks of term SGA and birth weight were more strongly associated with temperature averaged across the second and third trimesters, in areas the Northeast, and in areas with cold or very cold climates.ConclusionsAbove-average temperatures during pregnancy were associated with lower fetal growth. Our findings provide evidence that temperature may be a novel risk factor for reduced fetal growth. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP4648.
| S-EPMC6792370 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundExtreme temperature is associated with adverse birth outcomes but it is unclear whether it increases early delivery risk.ObjectivesWe aimed to determine the association between ambient temperature and early delivery.MethodsMedical records from 223,375 singleton deliveries from 12 U.S. sites were linked to local ambient temperature. Exposure to hot (> 90th percentile) or cold (< 10th percentile) using site-specific and window-specific temperature distributions were defined for 3-months preconception, 7-week periods during the first two trimesters, 1 week preceding delivery, and whole pregnancy. Poisson regression with generalized estimating equations calculated the relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval for early deliveries associated with hot/cold exposures, adjusting for conception month, humidity, site, sex, maternal demographics, parity, insurance, prepregnancy body mass index, pregnancy complications, and smoking or drinking during pregnancy. Acute temperature associations were estimated separately for warm (May-September) and cold season (October-April) in a case-crossover analysis using conditional logistic regression.ResultsCompared with mild temperature (10-90th percentile), exposure to hot or cold during weeks 1-7 increased risk for early preterm (< 34 weeks) [RRhot: 1.11 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.21); RRcold: 1.20 (95% CI: 1.11, 1.30)], late preterm (34-36 weeks) [RRcold: 1.09 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.15)], and early term (37-38 weeks) [RRhot: 1.04 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.07); RRcold: 1.03 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.05)] delivery. Findings were similar for hot exposures during weeks 15-21. Examining deliveries at each week from 23 through 38, whole-pregnancy hot exposures increased delivery risk by 6-21% at weeks 34 and 36-38. In the case-crossover analysis, a 5°F increase during the week preceding delivery was associated with 12-16% higher and 4-5% lower early delivery risk during warm and cold season, respectively.ConclusionsBoth acute and chronic ambient temperature extremes may affect early delivery risk. Citation: Ha S, Liu D, Zhu Y, Kim SS, Sherman S, Mendola P. 2017. Ambient temperature and early delivery of singleton pregnancies. Environ Health Perspect 125:453-459;?http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/EHP97.
| S-EPMC5332199 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Although effects of weather changes on human health have been widely reported, there is limited information regarding effects on pregnant women in developing countries.We investigated the association between maternal exposure to ambient temperature and the risk of preterm birth (< 37 weeks of gestation) in Guangzhou, China.We used a Cox proportional hazards model to estimate associations between preterm birth and average temperature during each week of gestation, with weekly temperature modeled as a time-varying exposure during four time windows: 1 week (the last week of the pregnancy), 4 weeks (the last 4 weeks of the pregnancy), late pregnancy (gestational week 20 onward), and the entire pregnancy. Information on singleton vaginal birth between 2001 and 2011 was collected. Daily meteorological data during the same period were obtained from the Guangzhou Meteorological Bureau.A total of 838,146 singleton vaginal births were included, among which 47,209 (5.6%) were preterm births. High mean temperatures during the 4 weeks, late pregnancy, and the entire pregnancy time windows were associated with an increased risk of preterm birth. Compared with the median temperature (24.4°C), weekly exposures during the last 4 weeks of the pregnancy to extreme cold (7.6°C, the 1st percentile) and extreme heat (31.9°C, the 99th percentile) were associated with 17.9% (95% CI: 10.2, 26.2%) and 10.0% (95% CI: 2.9, 17.6%) increased risks of preterm birth, respectively. The association between extreme heat and preterm birth was stronger for preterm births during weeks 20-31 and 32-34 than those during weeks 35-36.These findings might have important implications in preventing preterm birth in Guangzhou as well as other areas with similar weather conditions.He JR, Liu Y, Xia XY, Ma WJ, Lin HL, Kan HD, Lu JH, Feng Q, Mo WJ, Wang P, Xia HM, Qiu X, Muglia LJ. 2016. Ambient temperature and the risk of preterm birth in Guangzhou, China (2001-2011). Environ Health Perspect 124:1100-1106;?http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1509778.
| S-EPMC4937853 | biostudies-other
Project description:This second paper in the Born Too Soon supplement presents a review of the epidemiology of preterm birth, and its burden globally, including priorities for action to improve the data. Worldwide an estimated 11.1% of all livebirths in 2010 were born preterm (14.9 million babies born before 37 weeks of gestation), with preterm birth rates increasing in most countries with reliable trend data. Direct complications of preterm birth account for one million deaths each year, and preterm birth is a risk factor in over 50% of all neonatal deaths. In addition, preterm birth can result in a range of long-term complications in survivors, with the frequency and severity of adverse outcomes rising with decreasing gestational age and decreasing quality of care. The economic costs of preterm birth are large in terms of immediate neonatal intensive care, ongoing long-term complex health needs, as well as lost economic productivity. Preterm birth is a syndrome with a variety of causes and underlying factors usually divided into spontaneous and provider-initiated preterm births. Consistent recording of all pregnancy outcomes, including stillbirths, and standard application of preterm definitions is important in all settings to advance both the understanding and the monitoring of trends. Context specific innovative solutions to prevent preterm birth and hence reduce preterm birth rates all around the world are urgently needed. Strengthened data systems are required to adequately track trends in preterm birth rates and program effectiveness. These efforts must be coupled with action now to implement improved antenatal, obstetric and newborn care to increase survival and reduce disability amongst those born too soon.
| S-EPMC3828585 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundPreterm birth is the most common single cause of perinatal and infant mortality, affecting 15 million infants worldwide each year with global rates increasing. Understanding of risk factors remains poor, and preventive interventions have only limited benefit. Large differences exist in preterm birth rates across high income countries. We hypothesized that understanding the basis for these wide variations could lead to interventions that reduce preterm birth incidence in countries with high rates. We thus sought to assess the contributions of known risk factors for both spontaneous and provider-initiated preterm birth in selected high income countries, estimating also the potential impact of successful interventions due to advances in research, policy and public health, or clinical practice.MethodsWe analyzed individual patient-level data on 4.1 million singleton pregnancies from four countries with very high human development index (Czech Republic, New Zealand, Slovenia, Sweden) and one comparator U.S. state (California) to determine the specific contribution (adjusting for confounding effects) of 21 factors. Both individual and population-attributable preterm birth risks were determined, as were contributors to cross-country differences. We also assessed the ability to predict preterm birth given various sets of known risk factors.FindingsPrevious preterm birth and preeclampsia were the strongest individual risk factors of preterm birth in all datasets, with odds ratios of 4.6-6.0 and 2.8-5.7, respectively, for individual women having those characteristics. In contrast, on a population basis, nulliparity and male sex were the two risk factors with the highest impact on preterm birth rates, accounting for 25-50% and 11-16% of excess population attributable risk, respectively (p<0.001). The importance of nulliparity and male sex on population attributable risk was driven by high prevalence despite low odds ratios for individual women. More than 65% of the total aggregated risk of preterm birth within each country lacks a plausible biologic explanation, and 63% of difference between countries cannot be explained with known factors; thus, research is necessary to elucidate the underlying mechanisms of preterm birth and, hence, therapeutic intervention. Surprisingly, variation in prevalence of known risk factors accounted for less than 35% of the difference in preterm birth rates between countries. Known risk factors had an area under the curve of less than 0.7 in ROC analysis of preterm birth prediction within countries. These data suggest that other influences, as yet unidentified, are involved in preterm birth. Further research into biological mechanisms is warranted.ConclusionsWe have quantified the causes of variation in preterm birth rates among countries with very high human development index. The paucity of explicit and currently identified factors amenable to intervention illustrates the limited impact of changes possible through current clinical practice and policy interventions. Our research highlights the urgent need for research into underlying biological causes of preterm birth, which alone are likely to lead to innovative and efficacious interventions.
| S-EPMC5021369 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundPreterm birth rates have increased significantly worldwide over the past decade. Few epidemiological studies on the incidence of preterm birth and temporal trends are available in China. This study used national monitoring data from China's National Maternal Near Miss Surveillance System (NMNMSS) to estimate the rate of preterm birth and trends between 2012 and 2018 in China and to assess risk factors associated with preterm birth.MethodsIn this observational study, data were sourced from the NMNMSS between Jan 1, 2012, and Dec 31, 2018. Pregnancies with at least one livebirth, with the baby born at 28 weeks of gestation or more or 1000 g or more birthweight were included. We estimated the rates of overall preterm, very preterm (born between 28 and 31 weeks' gestation), moderate preterm (born between 32 and 33 weeks' gestation), and late preterm (born between 34 and 36 weeks' gestation) births in singleton and multiple pregnancies and assessed their trends over time. We used logistic regression analysis to examine the associations between preterm birth and sociodemographic characteristics and obstetric complications, considering the sampling strategy and clustering of births within hospitals. Interrupted time series analysis was used to assess the changes in preterm birth rates during the period of the universal two child policy intervention.FindingsFrom Jan 1, 2012, to Dec 31, 2018, 9 645 646 women gave birth to at least one live baby, of whom 665 244 (6·1%) were born preterm. In all pregnancies, the overall preterm birth rate increased from 5·9% in 2012 to 6·4% in 2018 (8·8% increase; annual rate of increase [ARI] 1·3 [95% CI 0·6 to 2·1]). Late preterm births (8·8%; ARI 1·5% [0·9 to 2·2]) and very preterm births (13·3%; ARI 1·8% [0·5 to 3·0]) significantly increased from 2012 to 2018, whereas moderate preterm births did not (3·8%; ARI 0·3% [95% CI -0·9 to 1·5]). In singleton pregnancies, the overall preterm birth rate showed a small but significant 6·4% increase (ARI 1·0% [0·4 to 1·7]) over the 7 year period. In multiple pregnancies, the overall preterm birth rate significantly increased from 46·8% in 2012 to 52·7% in 2018 (12·4% increase; ARI 1·9% [1·2 to 2·6]). Compared with women who gave birth in 2012, those who gave birth in 2018 were more likely to be older (aged ≥35 years; 7·4% in 2012 vs 15·9% in 2018), have multiples (1·6% vs 1·9%), have seven or more antenatal visits (50·2% vs 70·7%), and have antepartum complications and medical disease (17·9% vs 35·1%), but they were less likely to deliver via caesarean section (47·5% vs 45·0%). Compared with the baseline period (January, 2012 to June, 2016), a higher increase in preterm birth was observed after the universal two child policy came into effect in July, 2016 (β=0·034; p=0·03).InterpretationAn increase in preterm births was noted for both singleton and multiple pregnancies between 2012 and 2018 in China. China's strategic investment in maternal and neonatal health has been crucial for the prevention of preterm birth. Due to rapid changes in sociodemographic and obstetric factors related to preterm birth-particularly within the context of the universal two child policy-such as advanced maternal age at delivery, maternal complications, and multiple pregnancies, greater efforts to reduce the burden of preterm birth are urgently needed.FundingNational Key R&D Program of China, National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, China Medical Board, WHO, and UNICEF.
| S-EPMC8386289 | biostudies-literature
Project description:IntroductionPreterm birth is a major cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality worldwide. In many countries preterm birth rates are increasing, largely as a result of increases in iatrogenic preterm birth, whereas in other countries rates are stable or even declining. The objective of the study is to describe trends in singleton preterm births in Victoria from 2007 to 2017 in relation to trends in perinatal mortality to identify opportunities for improvements in clinical care.Material and methodsWe conducted a consecutive cross-sectional study in all women with a singleton pregnancy giving birth at ≥20 weeks of pregnancy in Victoria, Australia, between 2007 and 2017, inclusive. Rates of preterm birth and perinatal mortality were calculated and trends were analyzed in all pregnancies, in pregnancies complicated by fetal growth problems, hypertension, (pre)eclampsia or prelabor rupture of membranes (PROM), and in (low-risk) pregnancies not complicated by any of these conditions.ResultsThere were 811 534 singleton births between 2007 and 2017. Preterm birth increased from 5.9% (4074 births) to 6.4% (4893 births; P < .001), due to an increase in iatrogenic preterm birth from 2.5% (1730 births) to 3.6% (2730 births; P < .001). Comparable trends were seen in pregnancies complicated by fetal growth problems and hypertension and in pregnancies not complicated by small for gestational age (SGA), hypertension, (pre)eclampsia or PROM (all P < .001). In pregnancies complicated by SGA, hypertension, (pre)eclampsia or PROM the perinatal mortality rate from 20 weeks of gestation fell (13 to 12 per 1000 births; P < .001). In pregnancies not complicated by SGA, hypertension, (pre)eclampsia or PROM there was no significant change in the perinatal mortality from 28 weeks and no decrease in the preterm weekly prospective stillbirth risk.ConclusionsThe singleton preterm birth rate in Victoria is increasing, driven by an increase in iatrogenic preterm birth, both in pregnancies complicated by SGA and hypertension, and in pregnancies not complicated by SGA, hypertension, (pre)eclampsia or PROM. While perinatal mortality decreased in the pregnancies complicated by SGA, hypertension, (pre)eclampsia or PROM, no significant reduction in perinatal mortality from 28 weeks or in preterm weekly prospective stillbirth risk was noted in the pregnancies not complicated by any of these conditions.
| S-EPMC8359202 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundExposure to heat during pregnancy has been associated with reduced fetal growth. Less is known about associations with cold and the potential for critical time windows of exposure.ObjectivesWe aimed to evaluate, in a national retrospective cohort, critical windows of susceptibility during pregnancy to extreme temperatures (low and high) and fetal growth, among 624,940 singleton term births in Israel during the period 2010-2014.MethodsTemperature exposures were estimated using a spatially refined gridded climate data set with a 1-h and 1-km2 resolution. Percentiles of temperature were categorized by climatic zone for the entire pregnancy and by trimesters and weeks. Generalized additive models with the distributed lag nonlinear model framework were used to estimate unadjusted and adjusted associations between percentiles and categories of temperature and fetal growth markers: term [births after 36 weeks of gestational age (GA)] mean birth weight and term low birth weight (tLBW, term infants with birth weight below 2,500g).ResultsAfter adjustment, extreme temperatures (percentiles) during the entire pregnancy were associated with a lower mean birth weight {≤10th vs. 41st-50th percentile: -56g [95% confidence interval (CI): -63g, -50g)]; >90th vs. 41st-50th percentile: -65g; 95% CI: -72g, -58g}. Similar inverse U-shaped patterns were observed for all trimesters, with stronger associations for heat than for cold and for exposures during the third trimester. For heat, results suggest critical windows between 3-9 and 19-34 GA-weeks, with the strongest association estimated at 3 GA-weeks (temperature >90th vs. 41st-50th percentiles: -3.8g; 95% CI: -7.1g, -0.4g). For cold, there was a consistent trend of null associations early in pregnancy and stronger inverse associations over time, with the strongest association at 36 GA-week (≤10th vs. 41st-50th percentiles: -2.9g; 95% CI: -6.5g, 0.7g). For tLBW, U-shape patterns were estimated for the entire pregnancy and third trimester exposures, as well as nonsignificant associations with heat for 29-36 GA-weeks. Generally, the patterns of associations with temperatures during the entire pregnancy were consistent when stratified by urbanicity and geocoding hierarchy, when estimated for daily minimum and maximum temperatures, when exposures were classified based on temperature distributions in 49 natural regions, and when estimated for all live births.DiscussionFindings from our study of term live births in Israel (2010-2014) suggest that exposure to extreme temperatures, especially heat, during specific time windows may result in reduced fetal growth. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP8117.
| S-EPMC8513522 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Using birth certificate data for nearly all registered US births from 1976 to 2016 and monthly data on state unemployment rates, we reexamined the link between macroeconomic variation and birth outcomes. We hypothesized that economic downturns reduce exposure to work-related stressors and pollution while increasing exposure to socioeconomic stressors like job loss. Because of preexisting inequalities in health and other resources, we expected that less-educated mothers and black mothers would be more exposed to macroeconomic variation. Using fixed-effect regression models, we found that a 1-percentage-point increase in state unemployment during the first trimester of pregnancy increased the probability of preterm birth by 0.1 percentage points, while increases in the state unemployment rate during the second/third trimester reduced the probability of preterm birth by 0.06 percentage points. During the period encompassing the Great Recession, the magnitude of these associations doubled in size. We found substantial variation in the impact of economic conditions across different groups, with highly educated white women least affected and less-educated black women most affected. The results highlight the increased relevance of economic conditions for birth outcomes and population health as well as continuing, large inequities in the exposure and impact of macroeconomic fluctuations on birth outcomes.
| S-EPMC7476222 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND:Preterm birth (PTB, <?37 completed weeks' gestation) is one of the global public health concerns. Epidemiologic evidence on the potential impact of perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) on PTB is still limited and inconsistent. We aimed to investigate the associations between prenatal PFAS exposure and PTB among singleton live births. METHODS:We studied 2849 mother-infant pairs in the Shanghai Birth Cohort (SBC) from 2013 to 2016. Ten PFAS in maternal plasma in early pregnancy (gestational age, median (interquartile range): 15 (13-16) weeks) were measured. Primary outcomes were duration of gestation, PTB, spontaneous PTB and clinically indicated PTB. A linear regression model was used to assess the associations between ln-transformed PFAS and duration of gestation (in weeks). Logistic regression models were applied to estimate the relative risks of these outcomes. RESULTS:The incidence of overall PTB was 4.8% (95% confidence limit: 4.0-5.6%, n?=?136) in this study population. In the linear regression analyses, PFAS were not associated with the duration of gestation after controlling for potential confounders. In the multiple logistic models, no significant associations were observed between PFAS and overall PTB, spontaneous or indicated PTB. CONCLUSION:In this prospective cohort study, we did not observe significant associations between maternal plasma PFAS concentrations in early pregnancy and gestational length, overall PTB, spontaneous or indicated PTB.
| S-EPMC7268357 | biostudies-literature