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Fractional coalescent.


ABSTRACT: An approach to the coalescent, the fractional coalescent (f-coalescent), is introduced. The derivation is based on the discrete-time Cannings population model in which the variance of the number of offspring depends on the parameter ?. This additional parameter ? affects the variability of the patterns of the waiting times; values of [Formula: see text] lead to an increase of short time intervals, but occasionally allow for very long time intervals. When [Formula: see text], the f-coalescent and the Kingman's n-coalescent are equivalent. The distribution of the time to the most recent common ancestor and the probability that n genes descend from m ancestral genes in a time interval of length T for the f-coalescent are derived. The f-coalescent has been implemented in the population genetic model inference software Migrate Simulation studies suggest that it is possible to accurately estimate ? values from data that were generated with known ? values and that the f-coalescent can detect potential environmental heterogeneity within a population. Bayes factor comparisons of simulated data with [Formula: see text] and real data (H1N1 influenza and malaria parasites) showed an improved model fit of the f-coalescent over the n-coalescent. The development of the f-coalescent and its inclusion into the inference program Migrate facilitates testing for deviations from the n-coalescent.

SUBMITTER: Mashayekhi S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6442577 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Fractional coalescent.

Mashayekhi Somayeh S   Beerli Peter P  

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 20190313 13


An approach to the coalescent, the fractional coalescent (f-coalescent), is introduced. The derivation is based on the discrete-time Cannings population model in which the variance of the number of offspring depends on the parameter α. This additional parameter α affects the variability of the patterns of the waiting times; values of [Formula: see text] lead to an increase of short time intervals, but occasionally allow for very long time intervals. When [Formula: see text], the f-coalescent and  ...[more]

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