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Interval estimators of relative potency in toxicology and radiation countermeasure studies: comparing methods and experimental designs.

ABSTRACT: The relative potency of one agent to another is commonly represented by the ratio of two quantal response parameters; for example, the LD50 of animals receiving a treatment to the LD50 of control animals, where LD50 is the dose of toxin that is lethal to 50% of animals. Though others have considered interval estimators of LD50, here, we extend Bayesian, bootstrap, likelihood ratio, Fieller's and Wald's methods to estimate intervals for relative potency in a parallel-line assay context. In addition to comparing their coverage probabilities, we also consider their power in two types of dose designs: one assigning treatment and control the same doses vs. one choosing doses for treatment and control to achieve same lethality targets. We explore these methods in realistic contexts of relative potency of radiation countermeasures. For larger experiments (e.g., ?100 animals), the methods return similar results regardless of the interval estimation method or experiment design. For smaller experiments (e.g., < 60 animals), Wald's method stands out among the others, producing intervals that hold closely to nominal levels and providing more power than the other methods in statistically efficient designs. Using this simple statistical method within a statistically efficient design, researchers can reduce animal numbers.

SUBMITTER: Landes RD

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6450382 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Interval estimators of relative potency in toxicology and radiation countermeasure studies: comparing methods and experimental designs.

Landes Reid D RD Lensing Shelly Y SY Hauer-Jensen Martin M

Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics 20181023 2

The relative potency of one agent to another is commonly represented by the ratio of two quantal response parameters; for example, the LD50 of animals receiving a treatment to the LD50 of control animals, where LD50 is the dose of toxin that is lethal to 50% of animals. Though others have considered interval estimators of LD50, here, we extend Bayesian, bootstrap, likelihood ratio, Fieller's and Wald's methods to estimate intervals for relative potency ...[more]

PMID: 30352015

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Project description:There is an ongoing and significant need for radiation countermeasures to reduce morbidities and mortalities associated with exposure of the heart and lungs from a radiological or nuclear incidents. Radiation-induced late effects occur months to years after exposure, stemming from significant tissue damage and remodeling, resulting in fibrosis and loss of function. TGF-β is reported to play a role in both pulmonary and cardiac fibrosis. We investigated the ability of a small molecule TGF-β receptor 1 inhibitor, IPW-5371, to mitigate the effects of thoracic irradiation in C57L/J mice, a murine model that most closely resembles that observed in humans in the induction of fibrosis and dose response. To simulate a radiological event, radiation was administered in two doses: 5 Gy total-body irradiation (eliciting a whole-body response) and immediately after that, a thoracic "top-up" of 6.5 Gy irradiation, for a total dose of 11.5 Gy to the thorax. IPW-5371 was administered once daily, orally, starting 24 h postirradiation for 6 or 20 weeks at a dose of 10 mg/kg or 30 mg/kg. Animals were monitored for a period of 180 days for survival, and cardiopulmonary injury was assessed by echocardiography, breathing rate and arterial oxygen saturation. Exposure of the thorax (11.5 Gy) induced both pulmonary and cardiac injury, resulting in a reduced life span with median survival of 135 days. IPW-5371 treatment for 6 weeks, at both 10 mg/kg and 30 mg/kg, delayed disease onset and mortality, with median survival of 165 days. Twenty weeks of IPW-5371 treatment at 30 mg/kg preserved arterial O2 saturation and cardiac contractile reserve and resulted in significant decreases in breathing frequency and cardiac and pulmonary fibrosis. This led to dramatic improvement in survival compared to the irradiated, vehicle-treated group (P < 0.001), and was statistically insignificant from the nonirradiated group. We observed that IPW-5371 treatment resulted in decreased pSmad3 tissue levels, confirming the effect of IPW-5371 on TGF-β signaling. These results demonstrate that IPW-5371 represents a potentially promising radiation countermeasure for the treatment of radiation-induced late effects.

Project description:Least-cost modeling for focal species is the most widely used method for designing conservation corridors and linkages. However, these designs depend on today's land covers, which will be altered by climate change. We recently proposed an alternative approach based on land facets (recurring landscape units of relatively uniform topography and soils). The rationale is that corridors with high continuity of individual land facets will facilitate movement of species associated with each facet today and in the future. Conservation practitioners might like to know whether a linkage design based on land facets is likely to provide continuity of modeled breeding habitat for species needing connectivity today, and whether a linkage for focal species provides continuity and interspersion of land facets. To address these questions, we compared linkages designed for focal species and land facets in three landscapes in Arizona, USA. We used two variables to measure linkage utility, namely distances between patches of modeled breeding habitat for 5-16 focal species in each linkage, and resistance profiles for focal species and land facets between patches connected by the linkage. Compared to focal species designs, linkage designs based on land facets provided as much or more modeled habitat connectivity for 25 of 28 species-landscape combinations, failing only for the three species with the most narrowly distributed habitat. Compared to land facets designs, focal species linkages provided lower connectivity for about half the land facets in two landscapes. In areas where a focal species approach to linkage design is not possible, our results suggest that conservation practitioners may be able to implement a land facets approach with some confidence that the linkage design would serve most potential focal species. In areas where focal species designs are possible, we recommend using the land facet approach to complement, rather than replace, focal species approaches.

Project description:Background: Sarcopenia is defined as a progressive and generalized loss of skeletal muscle quantity and function associated predominantly with aging. Physical activity appears the most promising intervention to attenuate sarcopenia, yet physical activity guidelines are rarely met. In recent years high intensity interval training (HIIT) has garnered interested in athletic populations, clinical populations, and general population alike. There is emerging evidence of the efficacy of HIIT in the young old (i.e. seventh decade of life), yet data concerning the oldest old (i.e., ninth decade of life onwards), and those diagnosed with sarcopenic are sparse. Objectives: In this scoping review of the literature, we aggregated information regarding HIIT as a potential intervention to attenuate phenotypic characteristics of sarcopenia. Eligibility Criteria: Original investigations concerning the impact of HIIT on muscle function, muscle quantity or quality, and physical performance in older individuals (mean age ≥60 years of age) were considered. Sources of Evidence: Five electronic databases (Medline, EMBASE, Web of Science, Scopus, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials [CENTRAL]) were searched. Methods: A scoping review was conducted using the Arksey and O'Malley methodological framework (2005). Review selection and characterization were performed by two independent reviewers using pretested forms. Results: Authors reviewed 1,063 titles and abstracts for inclusion with 74 selected for full text review. Thirty-two studies were analyzed. Twenty-seven studies had a mean participant age in the 60s, two in the 70s, and three in the 80s. There were 20 studies which examined the effect of HIIT on muscle function, 22 which examined muscle quantity, and 12 which examined physical performance. HIIT was generally effective in Improving muscle function and physical performance compared to non-exercised controls, moderate intensity continuous training, or pre-HIIT (study design-dependent), with more ambiguity concerning muscle quantity. Conclusions: Most studies presented herein utilized outcome measures defined by the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP). However, there are too few studies investigating any form of HIIT in the oldest old (i.e., ≥80 years of age), or those already sarcopenic. Therefore, more intervention studies are needed in this population.

Dataset Information

Interval estimators of relative potency in toxicology and radiation countermeasure studies: comparing methods and experimental designs.

Publications

Interval estimators of relative potency in toxicology and radiation countermeasure studies: comparing methods and experimental designs.

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