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Evaluation of alternative endpoints for ZIKV vaccine efficacy trials.

ABSTRACT: Zika virus (ZIKV) infection during pregnancy is associated with microcephaly and other birth defects, collectively termed Congenital Zika Syndrome (CZS). During the epidemic in 2015-16, ZIKV spread through the Americas and quickly joined the list of other known teratogenic pathogens, TORCH. Multiple ZIKV vaccines have been developed for protection of pregnant women and women of childbearing age. However, ZIKV infection incidence has since waned substantially, and adverse birth outcomes are rare outcomes of infection. Studying a vaccine's protective efficacy against CZS in a large phase III clinical trial may be infeasible in such times of low incidence. Should trials be initiated, researchers may resort to alternative clinical endpoints. In this study, we simulate a variety of vaccine clinical trial scenarios to evaluate the feasibility of the CZS endpoint in vaccine studies and compare CZS to other potential outcomes: ZIKV infection detected through weekly, biweekly, or monthly testing and laboratory-confirmed, symptomatic Zika Virus Disease. We compare the sample size required for 80% statistical power to detect vaccine efficacy and trial duration for each scenario. Our results show the feasibility of CZS clinical endpoints depends on the timing of simulated clinical trials in the course of a seasonal epidemic, due to CZS risk varying with trimester of infection. This result highlights additional considerations needed when designing vaccine efficacy trials of protection against teratogenic pathogens.

SUBMITTER: Mercaldo RA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6450563 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Evaluation of alternative endpoints for ZIKV vaccine efficacy trials.

Mercaldo Rachel A RA Bellan Steven E SE

Vaccine 20190311 15

Zika virus (ZIKV) infection during pregnancy is associated with microcephaly and other birth defects, collectively termed Congenital Zika Syndrome (CZS). During the epidemic in 2015-16, ZIKV spread through the Americas and quickly joined the list of other known teratogenic pathogens, TORCH. Multiple ZIKV vaccines have been developed for protection of pregnant women and women of childbearing age. However, ZIKV infection incidence has since waned substantially, and adverse birth outcomes are rare ...[more]

PMID: 30871928

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Project description:The efficacy of an Oral Whole Cell ETEC Vaccine (OEV) against Travelers' Diarrhea (TD) was reexamined using novel outcome and immunologic measures. More specifically, a recently developed disease severity score and alternative clinical endpoints were evaluated as part of an initial validation effort to access the efficacy of a vaccine intervention for the first time in travelers to an ETEC endemic area. A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial followed travelers to Guatemala or Mexico up to 28 days after arrival in the country following vaccination (two doses two weeks apart) with an ETEC vaccine. Fecal samples were collected upon arrival, departure, and during TD for pathogen identification. Serum was collected in a subset of subjects to determine IgA cholera toxin B subunit (CTB) antibody titers upon their arrival in the country. The ETEC vaccine's efficacy, utilizing a TD severity score and other alternative endpoints, including the relationship between antibody levels and TD risk, was assessed and compared to the per-protocol primary efficacy endpoint. A total of 1435 subjects completed 7-28 days of follow-up and had available data. Vaccine efficacy was higher against more severe (≥5 unformed stools/24 h) ETEC-attributable TD and when accounting for immunologic take (PE ≥ 50%; p < 0.05). The vaccine protected against less severe (3 and 4 unformed stools/24 h) ETEC-attributable TD when accounting for symptom severity or change in activity (PE = 76.3%, p = 0.01). Immunologic take of the vaccine was associated with a reduced risk of infection with ETEC and other enteric pathogens, and with lower TD severity. Clear efficacy was observed among vaccinees with a TD score of ≥4 or ≥5, regardless of immunologic take (PE = 72.0% and 79.0%, respectively, p ≤ 0.03). The vaccine reduced the incidence and severity of ETEC, and this warrants accelerated evaluation of the improved formulation (designated ETVAX), currently undergoing advanced field testing. Subjects with serum IgA titers to CTB had a lower risk of infection with ETEC and Campylobacter jejuni/coli. Furthermore, the TD severity score provided a more robust descriptor of disease severity and should be included as an endpoint in future studies.

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Evaluation of alternative endpoints for ZIKV vaccine efficacy trials.

Publications

Evaluation of alternative endpoints for ZIKV vaccine efficacy trials.

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