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Macroevolutionary diversification rates show time dependency.


ABSTRACT: For centuries, biologists have been captivated by the vast disparity in species richness between different groups of organisms. Variation in diversity is widely attributed to differences between groups in how fast they speciate or go extinct. Such macroevolutionary rates have been estimated for thousands of groups and have been correlated with an incredible variety of organismal traits. Here we analyze a large collection of phylogenetic trees and fossil time series and describe a hidden generality among these seemingly idiosyncratic results: speciation and extinction rates follow a scaling law in which both depend on the age of the group in which they are measured, with the fastest rates in the youngest clades. Using a series of simulations and sensitivity analyses, we demonstrate that the time dependency is unlikely to be a result of simple statistical artifacts. As such, this time scaling is likely a genuine feature of the tree of life, hinting that the dynamics of biodiversity over deep time may be driven in part by surprisingly simple and general principles.

SUBMITTER: Henao Diaz LF 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6462100 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Macroevolutionary diversification rates show time dependency.

Henao Diaz L Francisco LF   Harmon Luke J LJ   Sugawara Mauro T C MTC   Miller Eliot T ET   Pennell Matthew W MW  

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 20190325 15


For centuries, biologists have been captivated by the vast disparity in species richness between different groups of organisms. Variation in diversity is widely attributed to differences between groups in how fast they speciate or go extinct. Such macroevolutionary rates have been estimated for thousands of groups and have been correlated with an incredible variety of organismal traits. Here we analyze a large collection of phylogenetic trees and fossil time series and describe a hidden generali  ...[more]

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