Dataset Information

Modelling the effect of the introduction of antenatal screening for group B Streptococcus (GBS) carriage in the UK.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVES:To estimate the potential impact of the addition of culture-based screening for group B streptococcus (GBS) carriage in pregnancy to a risk-based prevention policy in the UK. We aimed to establish agreement within a multidisciplinary group of key stakeholders on the model input parameters. DESIGN:Deterministic model using a consensus approach for the selection of input parameters. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS:A theoretical annual cohort of 711?999 live births in the UK (excluding births by elective caesarean section). INTERVENTIONS:Culture-based screening for GBS at 35-37 weeks of pregnancy added to the recommended risk-based prevention policy in place on the date of modelling. OUTCOME MEASURES:Outcomes assessed included use of intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis (IAP), early onset GBS (EOGBS), EOGBS mortality, severe EOGBS-related morbidity and maternal penicillin anaphylaxis. RESULTS:With no prophylaxis strategy, the model estimated that there would be 421 cases of culture positive EOGBS in a year (0.59/1000?live births). In the risk-based prophylaxis scenario, 30?666 women were estimated to receive IAP and 70 cases of EOGBS were prevented. Addition of screening resulted in a further 96?260 women receiving IAP and the prevention of an additional 52 to 57 cases of EOGBS. This resulted in the prevention of three EOGBS deaths and four cases of severe disability. With screening, an additional 1675 to 1854 women receive IAP to prevent one EOGBS case and 24?065 to 32?087 receive IAP to prevent one EOGBS death. CONCLUSIONS:The evidence base available for a broad range of model input parameters was limited, leading to uncertainty in the estimates produced by the model. Where data was limited, the model input parameters were agreed with the multidisciplinary stakeholder group, the first time this has been done to our knowledge. The main impact of screening is likely to be on the large group of low-risk women where the clinical impact of EOGBS tends to be less severe. This model suggests that the reduction in mortality and severe disability due to EOGBS with antenatal GBS screening is likely to be very limited, with a high rate of overdetection and overuse of antibiotics.

SUBMITTER: Bevan D

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6475221 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Modelling the effect of the introduction of antenatal screening for group B <i>Streptococcus</i> (GBS) carriage in the UK.

Bevan David D White Alicia A Marshall John J Peckham Catherine C

BMJ open 20190323 3

<h4>Objectives</h4>To estimate the potential impact of the addition of culture-based screening for group B streptococcus (GBS) carriage in pregnancy to a risk-based prevention policy in the UK. We aimed to establish agreement within a multidisciplinary group of key stakeholders on the model input parameters.<h4>Design</h4>Deterministic model using a consensus approach for the selection of input parameters.<h4>Setting and participants</h4>A theoretical annual cohort of 711 999 live births in the ...[more]

PMID: 30904850

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Project description:Background: Group B Streptococcus (GBS) is a major contributor to the high burden of neonatal and young infant infectious disease in resource- limited settings. As disease protection during the first six months of life is provided via placental transfer of maternal antibodies, a maternal GBS vaccine may provide an effective strategy to reduce infectious death and disability. An efficacy study may be difficult because of the large sample size required and alternative approaches such as serocorrelates of protection based on natural antibody concentration are being considered. Such studies would need to be undertaken in high burden settings such as Uganda. We therefore aim to evaluate the feasibility and acceptability of a GBS sero-epidemiology study in Kampala, Uganda. Methods: This is a prospective cohort and nested case-control study, conducted across two-centres with two entry points. A) consecutive women and their infants at birth, with collection of maternal swab, cord and maternal blood, and follow up by telephone until the infant is 3 months old; B) any infant under 3 months of age, presenting with signs of sepsis to any of the paediatric units, with collection of blood culture, cerebrospinal fluid and nasopharyngeal swabs. Any infants identified as having GBS disease (defined as GBS isolated from a normally sterile site) will be recruited and followed up for two years to assess their neurodevelopment. A nested qualitative study will investigate stakeholder (pregnant women and their families, healthcare workers and community leaders) opinions of sampling for such a study and understanding and potential uptake of vaccines in pregnancy. Discussion: The primary aim is to determine anti-GBS antibody concentration in infants with GBS disease compared to healthy controls. Secondary outcomes include stillbirth and all-cause infection and acceptance of sample methods and vaccination. The findings will inform scalability and sustainability of the programme in Uganda.

Project description:Antibiotic treatment of Group A Streptococcus (GAS) pharyngitis is important in acute rheumatic fever (ARF) prevention, however clinical guidelines for prescription vary. GAS carriers with acute viral infections may receive antibiotics unnecessarily. This review assessed the prevalence of GAS pharyngitis and carriage in different settings.A random-effects meta-analysis was performed. Prevalence estimates for GAS+ve pharyngitis, serologically-confirmed GAS pharyngitis and asymptomatic pharyngeal carriage were generated. Findings were stratified by age group, recruitment method and country income level. Medline and EMBASE databases were searched for relevant literature published between 1 January 1946 and 7 April 2017. Studies reporting prevalence data on GAS+ve or serologically-confirmed GAS pharyngitis that stated participants exhibited symptoms of pharyngitis or upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) were included. Included studies reporting the prevalence of asymptomatic GAS carriage needed to state participants were asymptomatic.285 eligible studies were identified. The prevalence of GAS+ve pharyngitis was 24.1% (95% CI: 22.6-25.6%) in clinical settings (which used 'passive recruitment' methods), but less in sore throat management programmes (which used 'active recruitment', 10.0%, 8.1-12.4%). GAS+ve pharyngitis was more prevalent in high-income countries (24.3%, 22.6-26.1%) compared with low/middle-income countries (17.6%, 14.9-20.7%). In clinical settings, approximately 10% of children swabbed with a sore throat have serologically-confirmed GAS pharyngitis, but this increases to around 50-60% when the child is GAS culture-positive. The prevalence of serologically-confirmed GAS pharyngitis was 10.3% (6.6-15.7%) in children from high-income countries and their asymptomatic GAS carriage prevalence was 10.5% (8.4-12.9%). A lower carriage prevalence was detected in children from low/middle income countries (5.9%, 4.3-8.1%).In active sore throat management programmes, if the prevalence of GAS detection approaches the asymptomatic carriage rate (around 6-11%), there may be little benefit from antibiotic treatment as the majority of culture-positive patients are likely carriers.

Dataset Information

Modelling the effect of the introduction of antenatal screening for group B Streptococcus (GBS) carriage in the UK.

Publications

Modelling the effect of the introduction of antenatal screening for group B <i>Streptococcus</i> (GBS) carriage in the UK.

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