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Clinical and biological predictors of response to standardised paediatric colitis therapy (PROTECT): a multicentre inception cohort study.


ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Lack of evidence-based outcomes data leads to uncertainty in developing treatment regimens in children who are newly diagnosed with ulcerative colitis. We hypothesised that pretreatment clinical, transcriptomic, and microbial factors predict disease course. METHODS:In this inception cohort study, we recruited paediatric patients aged 4-17 years with newly diagnosed ulcerative colitis from 29 centres in the USA and Canada. Patients initially received standardised mesalazine or corticosteroids, with pre-established criteria for escalation to immunomodulators (ie, thiopurines) or anti-tumor necrosis factor-? (TNF?) therapy. We used RNA sequencing to define rectal gene expression before treatment, and 16S sequencing to characterise rectal and faecal microbiota. The primary outcome was week 52 corticosteroid-free remission with no therapy beyond mesalazine. We assessed factors associated with the primary outcome using logistic regression models of the per-protocol population. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01536535. FINDINGS:Between July 10, 2012, and April 21, 2015, of 467 patients recruited, 428 started medical therapy, of whom 400 (93%) were evaluable at 52 weeks and 386 (90%) completed the study period with no protocol violations. 150 (38%) of 400 participants achieved week 52 corticosteroid-free remission, of whom 147 (98%) were taking mesalazine and three (2%) were taking no medication. 74 (19%) of 400 were escalated to immunomodulators alone, 123 (31%) anti-TNF? therapy, and 25 (6%) colectomy. Low baseline clinical severity, high baseline haemoglobin, and week 4 clinical remission were associated with achieving week 52 corticosteroid-free remission (n=386, logistic model area under the curve [AUC] 0·70, 95% CI 0·65-0·75; specificity 77%, 95% CI 71-82). Baseline severity and remission by week 4 were validated in an independent cohort of 274 paediatric patients with newly diagnosed ulcerative colitis. After adjusting for clinical predictors, an antimicrobial peptide gene signature (odds ratio [OR] 0·57, 95% CI 0·39-0·81; p=0·002) and abundance of Ruminococcaceae (OR 1·43, 1·02-2·00; p=0·04), and Sutterella (OR 0·81, 0·65-1·00; p=0·05) were independently associated with week 52 corticosteroid-free remission. INTERPRETATION:Our findings support the utility of initial clinical activity and treatment response by 4 weeks to predict week 52 corticosteroid-free remission with mesalazine alone in children who are newly diagnosed with ulcerative colitis. The development of personalised clinical and biological signatures holds the promise of informing ulcerative colitis therapeutic decisions. FUNDING:US National Institutes of Health.

SUBMITTER: Hyams JS 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6501846 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Clinical and biological predictors of response to standardised paediatric colitis therapy (PROTECT): a multicentre inception cohort study.

Hyams Jeffrey S JS   Davis Thomas Sonia S   Gotman Nathan N   Haberman Yael Y   Karns Rebekah R   Schirmer Melanie M   Mo Angela A   Mack David R DR   Boyle Brendan B   Griffiths Anne M AM   LeLeiko Neal S NS   Sauer Cary G CG   Keljo David J DJ   Markowitz James J   Baker Susan S SS   Rosh Joel J   Baldassano Robert N RN   Patel Ashish A   Pfefferkorn Marian M   Otley Anthony A   Heyman Melvin M   Noe Joshua J   Oliva-Hemker Maria M   Rufo Paul A PA   Strople Jennifer J   Ziring David D   Guthery Stephen L SL   Sudel Boris B   Benkov Keith K   Wali Prateek P   Moulton Dedrick D   Evans Jonathan J   Kappelman Michael D MD   Marquis M Alison MA   Sylvester Francisco A FA   Collins Margaret H MH   Venkateswaran Suresh S   Dubinsky Marla M   Tangpricha Vin V   Spada Krista L KL   Saul Bradley B   Wang Jessie J   Serrano Jose J   Hommel Kevin K   Marigorta Urko M UM   Gibson Greg G   Xavier Ramnik J RJ   Kugathasan Subra S   Walters Thomas T   Denson Lee A LA  

Lancet (London, England) 20190329 10182


<h4>Background</h4>Lack of evidence-based outcomes data leads to uncertainty in developing treatment regimens in children who are newly diagnosed with ulcerative colitis. We hypothesised that pretreatment clinical, transcriptomic, and microbial factors predict disease course.<h4>Methods</h4>In this inception cohort study, we recruited paediatric patients aged 4-17 years with newly diagnosed ulcerative colitis from 29 centres in the USA and Canada. Patients initially received standardised mesalaz  ...[more]

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