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Duration of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery Is Associated With Worsened Long-Term Survival.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Studies of the effects of postoperative atrial fibrillation (poAF) on long-term survival are conflicting, likely because of comorbidities that occur with poAF and the patient populations studied. Furthermore, the effects of poAF duration on long-term survival are poorly understood. METHODS:We utilized a prospectively collected database on outcomes of cardiac surgery at a large tertiary care institution between August 2001 and December 2010 with survival follow-up through June 2015 to analyze long-term survival of patients with poAF. In addition, we identified patient- and procedure-related variables associated with poAF, and estimated overall comorbidity burden using the Elixhauser comorbidity index. Survival was compared between patients with poAF (n = 513) and a propensity score matched control cohort, both for all patients and separately for subgroups of patients with poAF lasting less than 2 days (n = 218) and patients with prolonged poAF (n = 265). RESULTS:Patients with poAF were older and had a higher burden of comorbidities. Survival was significantly worse for patients with poAF than for the matched control group (hazard ratio 1.43, 95% confidence interval: 1.11 to 1.86). That was driven by decreased survival among patients with prolonged poAF (hazard ratio 1.97, 95% confidence interval: 1.37 to 2.80), whereas survival of patients with poAF for less than 2 days was not significantly different from that of matched controls (hazard ratio 0.91, 95% confidence interval: 0.60 to 1.39). CONCLUSIONS:After close matching based on comorbidity burden, prolonged poAF is still associated with decreased survival. Therefore, vigilance is warranted in monitoring and treating patients with prolonged poAF after cardiac surgery.

SUBMITTER: Sigurdsson MI

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6506267 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Duration of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery Is Associated With Worsened Long-Term Survival.

Sigurdsson Martin I MI Longford Nicholas T NT Heydarpour Mahyar M Saddic Louis L Chang Tzuu-Wang TW Fox Amanda A AA Collard Charles D CD Aranki Sary S Shekar Prem P Shernan Stanton K SK Muehlschlegel Jochen D JD Body Simon C SC

The Annals of thoracic surgery 20160715 6

<h4>Background</h4>Studies of the effects of postoperative atrial fibrillation (poAF) on long-term survival are conflicting, likely because of comorbidities that occur with poAF and the patient populations studied. Furthermore, the effects of poAF duration on long-term survival are poorly understood.<h4>Methods</h4>We utilized a prospectively collected database on outcomes of cardiac surgery at a large tertiary care institution between August 2001 and December 2010 with survival follow-up throug ...[more]

PMID: 27424470

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Project description:Post-operative (POP) atrial fibrillation (AF) is frequent in patients who undergo cardiac surgery. However, its prognostic impact in the long term remains unclear. We followed 1386 patients who underwent cardiac surgery for an average of 10 ± 3 years. According to clinical history of AF before and after surgery, four subgroups were identified: (1) patients with no history of AF and without episodes of AF during the first 30 days after surgery (control or Group 1, n = 726), (2) patients with no history of AF before surgery in whom new-onset POP AF was detected during the first 30 days after surgery (new-onset POP AF or Group 2, n = 452), (3) patients with a history of paroxysmal/persistent AF before cardiac surgery (Group 3, n = 125, including 87 POP AF patients and 38 who did not develop POP AF), and (4) patients with permanent AF at the time of cardiac surgery (Group 4, n = 83). All-cause mortality was the primary outcome of the study. We tested the associations of potential determinants with all-cause mortality using univariable and multivariable statistical analyses. Overall, 473 patients (34%) died during follow-up. After adjustment for multiple confounders, new-onset POP AF (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.31, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.90-1.89; p = 0.1609), history of paroxysmal/persistent AF before cardiac surgery (HR = 1.33, 95% CI: 0.71-2.49; p = 0.3736), and permanent AF (Group 4) (HR = 1.55, 95% CI 0.82-2.95; p = 0.1803) were not associated with a significantly increased risk of mortality when compared with Group 1 (patients with no history of AF and without episodes of AF during the first 30 days after surgery). In new-onset POP AF patients, oral anticoagulation was not associated with mortality (HR = 1.13, 95% CI: 0.83-1.54; p = 0.4299). In this cohort of patients who underwent different types of heart surgery, POP AF was not associated with an increased risk of mortality. In this setting, the role of long-term anticoagulation remains unclear.

Project description:ImportanceNew-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a common complication of coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. However, the long-term risk of thromboembolism in patients who develop POAF after CABG surgery remains unknown. In addition, information on stroke prophylaxis in this setting is lacking.ObjectiveTo examine stroke prophylaxis and the long-term risk of thromboembolism in patients with new-onset POAF after first-time isolated CABG surgery compared with patients with nonsurgical, nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).Design, setting, and participantsThis cohort study used data from a clinical cardiac surgery database and Danish nationwide registries to identify patients undergoing first-time isolated CABG surgery who developed new-onset POAF from January 1, 2000, through June 30, 2015. These patients were matched by age, sex, CHA2DS2-VASc score, and year of diagnosis to patients with nonsurgical NVAF in a 1 to 4 ratio. Data analysis was completed from February 2017 to January 2018.Main outcomes and measuresThe proportion of patients initiating oral anticoagulation therapy within 30 days and the rates of thromboembolism.ResultsA total of 2108 patients who developed POAF after CABG surgery were matched with 8432 patients with NVAF. In the full population of 10 540 patients, the median (interquartile range) age was 69.2 (63.7-74.7) years; 8675 patients (82.3%) were men. Oral anticoagulation therapy was initiated within 30 days postdischarge in 175 patients with POAF (8.4%) and 3549 patients with NVAF (42.9%). The risk of thromboembolism was lower in the POAF group than in the NVAF group (18.3 vs 29.7 events per 1000 person-years; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.67; 95% CI, 0.55-0.81; P < .001). Anticoagulation therapy during follow-up was associated with a lower risk of thromboembolic events in both patients with POAF (adjusted HR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.32-0.95; P = .03) and NVAF (adjusted HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.51-0.68; P < .001) compared with patients who did not receive any anticoagulation therapy. Further, the risk of thromboembolism was not significantly higher in patients with POAF compared with those who did not develop POAF after CABG surgery (adjusted HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.94-1.32; P < .24).Conclusions and relevanceNew-onset POAF in patients who had undergone CABG surgery was associated with a lower long-term thromboembolic risk than that of patients who had NVAF. These data do not support the notion that new-onset POAF should be regarded as equivalent to primary NVAF in terms of long-term thromboembolic risk.

Project description:ImportanceNew-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a common complication of cardiac surgery. However, data on the long-term risk of thromboembolism in patients who develop POAF after heart valve surgery are conflicting. In addition, data on stroke prophylaxis in this setting are lacking.ObjectiveTo assess the long-term risk of thromboembolism in patients developing new-onset POAF after isolated left-sided heart valve surgery relative to patients with nonsurgical, nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).Design, setting, and participantsThis observational cohort study was conducted from January 1, 2000, through December 31, 2015, using Danish nationwide registries and the Eastern Danish Heart Surgery Database. Patients who developed POAF after isolated left-sided heart valve surgery (bioprosthetic aortic or mitral valve replacement and/or aortic or mitral valve repair) from 2000 through 2015 were included. These patients were matched with patients with nonsurgical NVAF in a 1:3 ratio by age, sex, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, a history of thromboembolism, ischemic heart disease, and year of diagnosis. Data analyses took place from January to March 2019.Main outcomes and measuresRates of thromboembolism.ResultsOf the 1587 patients who underwent isolated left-sided heart valve surgery, 741 patients (46.7%) developed POAF during admission. Of the 712 patients with POAF who were eligible for matching, 675 patients were matched with 2025 patients with NVAF and made up the study population. In the matched study population, the median age was 71 (interquartile range, 65-77) years, and 1600 (59.3%) were men. Oral anticoagulation therapy was initiated within 30 days postdischarge in 420 patients with POAF (62.9%) and in 1030 patients with NVAF (51.4%). The crude incidence rates of thromboembolism were 21.9 (95% CI, 17.4-27.6) and 17.7 (95% CI, 15.2-20.6) events per 1000 person-years for patients with POAF and patients with NVAF, respectively. In the adjusted analysis, the long-term risk of thromboembolism was similar in patients with POAF and NVAF (hazard ratio, 1.22 [95% CI, 0.88-1.68]). Oral anticoagulation therapy during follow-up was associated with a lower risk of thromboembolic events in patients with POAF (hazard ratio, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.22-0.90]) as well as patients with NVAF (hazard ratio, 0.63 [95% CI, 0.45-0.87]) compared with no anticoagulation therapy.Conclusions and relevanceNew-onset POAF after isolated left-sided heart valve surgery was associated with a similar long-term risk of thromboembolism as NVAF. These data warrant studies addressing the role of anticoagulation therapy in POAF after left-sided heart valve surgery.

Dataset Information

Duration of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery Is Associated With Worsened Long-Term Survival.

Publications

Duration of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery Is Associated With Worsened Long-Term Survival.

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