Vitamin D levels and risk of delirium: A mendelian randomization study in the UK Biobank.
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ABSTRACT: Objective
To estimate effects of vitamin D levels on incident delirium hospital admissions using inherited genetic variants in mendelian randomization models, which minimize confounding and exclude reverse causation.Methods
Longitudinal analysis using the UK Biobank, community-based, volunteer cohort (2006-2010) with incident hospital-diagnosed delirium (ICD-10 F05) ascertained during ≤9.9 years of follow-up of hospitalization records (to early 2016). We included volunteers of European descent aged 60-plus years by end of follow-up. We used single-nucleotide polymorphisms previously shown to increase circulating vitamin D levels, and APOE variants. Cox competing models accounting for mortality were used.Results
Of 313,121 participants included, 544 were hospitalized with delirium during follow-up. Vitamin D variants were protective for incident delirium: hazard ratio = 0.74 per 10 nmol/L (95% confidence interval 0.62-0.87, p = 0.0004) increase in genetically instrumented vitamin D, with no evidence for pleiotropy (mendelian randomization-Egger p > 0.05). Participants with ≥1 APOE ε4 allele were more likely to develop delirium (e.g., ε4ε4 hazard ratio = 3.73, 95% confidence interval 2.68-5.21, p = 8.0 × 10-15 compared to ε3ε3), but there was no interaction with vitamin D variants.Conclusions and relevance
In a large community-based cohort, there is genetic evidence supporting a causal role for vitamin D levels in incident delirium. Trials of correction of low vitamin D levels in the prevention of delirium are needed.
SUBMITTER: Bowman K
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6511096 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Background/objectivesDelirium is common in older adults, especially following hospitalization. Because low vitamin D levels may be associated with increased delirium risk, we aimed to determine the prognostic value of blood vitamin D levels, extending our previous genetic analyses of this relationship.DesignProspective cohort analysis.SettingCommunity-based cohort study of adults from 22 cities across the United Kingdom (the UK Biobank).ParticipantsAdults aged 60 and older by the end of follow-up in the linked hospital inpatient admissions data, up to 14 years after baseline (n = 351,320).MeasurementsAt baseline, serum vitamin D (25-OH-D) levels were measured. We used time-to-event models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between vitamin D deficiency and incident hospital-diagnosed delirium, adjusted for age, sex, assessment month, assessment center, and ethnicity. We performed Mendelian randomization genetic analysis in European participants to further investigate vitamin D and delirium risk.ResultsA total of 3,634 (1.03%) participants had at least one incident hospital-diagnosed delirium episode. Vitamin D deficiency (<25 nmol/L) predicted a large incidence in delirium (HR = 2.49; 95% CI = 2.24-2.76; P = 3*10-68 , compared with >50 nmol/L). Increased risk was not limited to the deficient group: insufficient levels (25-50 nmol/L) were also at increased risk (HR = 1.38; 95% CI = 1.28-1.49; P = 4*10-18 ). The association was independent of calcium levels, hospital-diagnosed fractures, dementia, and other relevant cofactors. In genetic analysis, participants carrying more vitamin D-increasing variants had a reduced likelihood of incident delirium diagnosis (HR = .80 per standard deviation increase in genetically instrumented vitamin D: .73-.87; P = 2*10-7 ).ConclusionProgressively lower vitamin D levels predicted increased risks of incident hospital-diagnosed delirium, and genetic evidence supports a shared causal pathway. Because low vitamin D levels are simple to detect and inexpensive and safe to correct, an intervention trial to confirm these results is urgently needed.
| S-EPMC7902418 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Observational studies suggest alcohol use promotes the development of some adverse cardiometabolic traits but protects against others including outcomes related to coronary artery disease. We used Mendelian randomization (MR) to explore causal relationships between the degree of alcohol consumption and several cardiometabolic traits in the UK Biobank. Using the well-established ADH1B Arg47His variant (rs1229984) and up to 24 additional SNPs recently found to be associated with alcohol consumption in an independent dataset as instruments, we conducted two-stage least squares and inverse weighted variance MR analyses, both as one-sample analyses in the UK Biobank and as two-sample analyses in external consortia. In the UK Biobank inverse variance weighted analyses, we found that one additional drink of alcohol per day was positively associated with systolic blood pressure (beta = 2.65 mmHg [1.40, 3.89]), hemorrhagic stroke (OR = 2.25 [1.41, 3.60]), and atrial fibrillation (OR = 1.26 [1.07, 1.48]), which were replicated in multivariable analyses. Alcohol was also associated with all cardiovascular disease and all-cause death. A positive association with myocardial infarction did not replicate in multivariable analysis, with suggestive mediation through blood pressure; similarly, a positive association between alcohol use with type 2 diabetes was mitigated by BMI in multivariable analysis. Findings were generally null in replication with two-sample analyses. Alcohol was not protective for any disease outcome with any analysis method, dataset, or strata. Stratifications by sex and smoking in the UK Biobank revealed higher point estimates of risk for several outcomes for men and mixed results for smoking strata, but no statistically significant heterogeneity. Our results are consistent with an overall harmful and/or null effect of alcohol on cardiometabolic health at all levels of use and suggest that even moderate alcohol use should not be promoted as a part of a healthy diet and lifestyle.
| S-EPMC8357114 | biostudies-literature
Project description:We conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization study to explore the associations of iron status with overall cancer and 22 site-specific cancers. Single-nucleotide polymorphisms for iron status were obtained from a genome-wide association study of 48,972 European-descent individuals. Summary-level data for breast and other cancers were obtained from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium and UK Biobank. Genetically predicted iron status was positively associated with liver cancer and inversely associated with brain cancer but not associated with overall cancer or the other 20 studied cancer sites at p < 0.05. The odds ratios of liver cancer were 2.45 (95% CI, 0.81, 7.45; p = 0.11), 2.11 (1.16, 3.83; p = 0.02), 10.89 (2.44, 48.59; p = 0.002) and 0.30 (0.17, 0.53; p = 2 × 10-5) for one standard deviation increment of serum iron, transferrin saturation, ferritin and transferrin levels, respectively. For brain cancer, the corresponding odds ratios were 0.69 (0.48, 1.00; p = 0.05), 0.75 (0.59, 0.97; p = 0.03), 0.41 (0.20, 0.88; p = 0.02) and 1.49 (1.04, 2.14; p = 0.03). Genetically high iron status was positively associated with liver cancer and inversely associated with brain cancer.
| S-EPMC7071358 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundLow vitamin D status is a widespread phenomenon. Similarly, muscle weakness, often indicated by low grip strength, is another public health concern; however, the vitamin D-grip strength relationship is equivocal. It is important to understand whether variation in vitamin D status causally influences muscle strength to elucidate whether supplementation may help prevent/treat muscle weakness.MethodsUK Biobank participants, aged 37-73 years, with valid data on Vitamin D status (circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] concentration) and maximum grip strength were included (N = 368,890). We examined sex-specific cross-sectional associations between 25(OH)D and grip strength. Using Mendelian randomization (MR), we estimated the strength of the 25(OH)D-grip strength associations using genetic instruments for 25(OH)D as our exposure. Crucially, because potential effects of vitamin D supplementation on strength could vary by underlying 25(OH)D status, we allowed for nonlinear relationships between 25(OH)D and strength in all analyses.ResultsMean (SD) of 25(OH)D was 50 (21) nmol/L in males and females. In cross-sectional analyses, there was evidence of nonlinear associations between 25(OH)D and strength, for example, compared to males with 50 nmol/L circulating 25(OH)D, males with 75 nmol/L had 0.36 kg (0.31,0.40) stronger grip; males with 25 nmol/L had 1.01 kg (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.93, 1.08) weaker grip. In MR analyses, linear and nonlinear models fitted the data similarly well, for example, 25 nmol/L higher circulating 25(OH)D in males was associated with 0.25 kg (-0.05, 0.55) greater grip (regardless of initial 25(OH)D status). Results were similar, albeit weaker, for females.ConclusionsUsing two different methods to triangulate evidence, our findings suggest moderate to small causal links between circulating 25(OH)D and grip strength.
| S-EPMC10395562 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundPrevious cross-sectional studies have failed to definitively establish a causal relationship between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) concentrations and the onset of rosacea.ObjectiveTo investigate the potential association between serum 25OHD levels, vitamin D receptor (VDR) polymorphisms, and the risk of developing incident rosacea.MethodsThis cross-sectional population-based cohort study utilizing 370,209 individuals from the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazard regression models and two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were applied to explore the causative relationship between 25OHD and incident rosacea.ResultsOur findings revealed that elevated levels of serum 25OHD were inversely correlated with the risk of incident rosacea. Specifically, compared to participants with 25OHD levels below 25 nmol/L, the multivariate-adjusted HR for incident rosacea was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.70, 0.94) in those with 25OHD levels exceeding 50 nmol/L. Further, in comparison to individuals with serum 25OHD less than 25 nmol/L and the rs731236 (TaqI) AA allele, those with serum 25OHD higher than 75 nmol/L and the TaqI GG allele had a multivariate-adjusted HR of 0.51 (95% CI 0.32 to 0.81) for developing rosacea. Results from the MR study supported a significant association, with each standard deviation increase in serum 25OHD concentrations correlating to a 23% reduced risk of rosacea (HR = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.63, 0.93).ConclusionsThe findings of this cohort study indicate an inverse association between increased concentrations of serum 25OHD and the risk of developing incident rosacea. While our results highlight the potential protective role of vitamin D, the definitive efficacy of vitamin D supplementation as a preventive strategy against rosacea requires further investigation.
| S-EPMC10489658 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Educational attainment has been associated with drinking behaviors in observation studies. We performed Mendelian randomization analysis to determine whether educational attainment causally affected drinking behaviors, including amount of alcohol intakes (in total and various types), drinking frequency, and drinking with or without meals among 334,507 white British participants from the UK Biobank cohort. We found that genetically instrumented higher education (1 additional year) was significantly related to higher total amount of alcohol intake (inverse-variance weighted method (IVW): beta = 0.44, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.40-0.49, P = 1.57E-93). The causal relations with total amount and frequency of alcohol drinking were more evident among women. In analyses of different types of alcohol, higher educational attainment showed the strongest causal relation with more consumption of red wine (IVW beta = 0.34, 95% CI 0.32-0.36, P = 2.65E-247), followed by white wine/champagne, in a gender-specific manner. An inverse association was found for beer/cider and spirits. In addition, we found that 1 additional year of educational attainment was causally related to higher drinking frequency (IVW beta = 0.54, 95% CI 0.51-0.57, P = 4.87E-230) and a higher likelihood to take alcohol with meals (IVW: odds ratio (OR) = 3.10, 95% CI 2.93-3.29, P = 0.00E + 00). The results indicate causal relations of higher education with intake of more total alcohol especially red wine, and less beer/cider and spirits, more frequent drinking, and drinking with meals, suggesting the importance of improving drinking behaviors, especially among people with higher education.
| S-EPMC7246132 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundVitamin D deficiency is highly prevalent across the globe. Existing studies suggest that a low vitamin D level is associated with more than 130 outcomes. Exploring the causal role of vitamin D in health outcomes could support or question vitamin D supplementation.MethodsWe carried out a systematic literature review of previous Mendelian-randomization studies on vitamin D. We then implemented a Mendelian Randomization-Phenome Wide Association Study (MR-PheWAS) analysis on data from 339 256 individuals of White British origin from UK Biobank. We first ran a PheWAS analysis to test the associations between a 25(OH)D polygenic risk score and 920 disease outcomes, and then nine phenotypes (i.e. systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, risk of hypertension, T2D, ischaemic heart disease, body mass index, depression, non-vertebral fracture and all-cause mortality) that met the pre-defined inclusion criteria for further analysis were examined by multiple MR analytical approaches to explore causality.ResultsThe PheWAS analysis did not identify any health outcome associated with the 25(OH)D polygenic risk score. Although a selection of nine outcomes were reported in previous Mendelian-randomization studies or umbrella reviews to be associated with vitamin D, our MR analysis, with substantial study power (>80% power to detect an association with an odds ratio >1.2 for per standard deviation increase of log-transformed 25[OH]D), was unable to support an interpretation of causal association.ConclusionsWe investigated the putative causal effects of vitamin D on multiple health outcomes in a White population. We did not support a causal effect on any of the disease outcomes tested. However, we cannot exclude small causal effects or effects on outcomes that we did not have enough power to explore due to the small number of cases.
| S-EPMC6857754 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundVitamin D deficiency has been associated with type 1 diabetes in observational studies, but evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) is lacking. The aim of this study was to test whether genetically decreased vitamin D levels are causally associated with type 1 diabetes using Mendelian randomization (MR).Methods and findingsFor our two-sample MR study, we selected as instruments single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that are strongly associated with 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) levels in a large vitamin D genome-wide association study (GWAS) on 443,734 Europeans and obtained their corresponding effect estimates on type 1 diabetes risk from a large meta-analysis of 12 type 1 diabetes GWAS studies (Ntot = 24,063, 9,358 cases, and 15,705 controls). In addition to the main analysis using inverse variance weighted MR, we applied 3 additional methods to control for pleiotropy (MR-Egger, weighted median, and mode-based estimate) and compared the respective MR estimates. We also undertook sensitivity analyses excluding SNPs with potential pleiotropic effects. We identified 69 lead independent common SNPs to be genome-wide significant for 25OHD, explaining 3.1% of the variance in 25OHD levels. MR analyses suggested that a 1 standard deviation (SD) decrease in standardized natural log-transformed 25OHD (corresponding to a 29-nmol/l change in 25OHD levels in vitamin D-insufficient individuals) was not associated with an increase in type 1 diabetes risk (inverse-variance weighted (IVW) MR odds ratio (OR) = 1.09, 95% CI: 0.86 to 1.40, p = 0.48). We obtained similar results using the 3 pleiotropy robust MR methods and in sensitivity analyses excluding SNPs associated with serum lipid levels, body composition, blood traits, and type 2 diabetes. Our findings indicate that decreased vitamin D levels did not have a substantial impact on risk of type 1 diabetes in the populations studied. Study limitations include an inability to exclude the existence of smaller associations and a lack of evidence from non-European populations.ConclusionsOur findings suggest that 25OHD levels are unlikely to have a large effect on risk of type 1 diabetes, but larger MR studies or RCTs are needed to investigate small effects.
| S-EPMC7906317 | biostudies-literature
Project description:PurposeNo consensus exists about the causal relationship between vitamin D (VD) and male factor infertility due to heterogeneity and confounding factors even in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). This study aimed to investigate the causal association between 25 hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) levels and male factor infertility through Mendelian randomization (MR) and provide complementary information for optimization of future RCTs.Materials and methodsTwo-sample MR analyses with four steps were performed. Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) for VD were extracted from 417,580 Europeans in the UK Biobank, and the summary-level data of male factor infertility (825 cases and 85,722 controls) were extracted from the FinnGen.ResultsTotally 99 SNPs robustly associated with the 25OHD were included, and a 1-unit increase in genetically predicted natural-log transformed 25OHD levels was associated with decreased risk of male factor infertility (odds ratio [OR], 0.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.44-0.89; p=0.010), which was consistent in all three sensitivity analyses (MR-Egger, weighted median, and weighted mode methods). The conclusion still stands after removing SNPs which explained more variation in the male factor infertility than the 25OHD (OR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.42-0.88; p=0.009; n=62), and which were associated with confounders (body mass index, type 2 diabetes, smoking, and coronary artery diseases) of male factor infertility (OR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.39-0.85; p=0.005; n=55).ConclusionsVD supplement to increase serum 25OHD levels may be clinically beneficial for male factor infertility in the general population. The well-designed RCTs should be performed in priority to address this question.
| S-EPMC10307659 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundECG markers of ventricular depolarization and repolarization are associated with an increased risk of arrhythmia and sudden cardiac death. Our prior work indicated lower serum calcium concentrations are associated with longer QT and JT intervals in the general population. Here, we investigate whether serum calcium is a causal risk factor for changes in ECG measures using Mendelian randomization (MR).MethodsIndependent lead variants from a newly performed genome-wide association study for serum calcium in >300 000 European-ancestry participants from UK Biobank were used as instrumental variables. Two-sample MR analyses were performed to approximate the causal effect of serum calcium on QT, JT, and QRS intervals using an inverse-weighted method in 76 226 participants not contributing to the serum calcium genome-wide association study. Sensitivity analyses including MR-Egger, weighted-median estimator, and MR pleiotropy residual sum and outlier were performed to test for the presence of horizontal pleiotropy.ResultsTwo hundred five independent lead calcium-associated variants were used as instrumental variables for MR. A decrease of 0.1 mmol/L serum calcium was associated with longer QT (3.01 ms [95% CI, 2.03 to 3.99]) and JT (2.89 ms [1.91 to 3.87]) intervals. A weak association was observed for QRS duration (secondary analyses only). Results were concordant in all sensitivity analyses.ConclusionsThese analyses support a causal effect of serum calcium levels on ventricular repolarization, in a middle-aged population of European-ancestry where serum calcium concentrations are likely stable and chronic. Modulation of calcium concentration may, therefore, directly influence cardiovascular disease risk.
| S-EPMC8208093 | biostudies-literature