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A robust six-gene prognostic signature for prediction of both disease-free and overall survival in non-small cell lung cancer.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:The high mortality of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) emphasizes the necessity of identifying a robust and reliable prognostic signature for NSCLC patients. This study aimed to identify and validate a prognostic signature for the prediction of both disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) of NSCLC patients by integrating multiple datasets. METHODS:We firstly downloaded three independent datasets under the accessing number of GSE31210, GSE37745 and GSE50081, and then performed an univariate regression analysis to identify the candidate prognostic genes from each dataset, and identified the gene signature by overlapping the candidates. Then, we built a prognostic model to predict DFS and OS using a risk score method. Kaplan-Meier curve with log-rank test was used to determine the prognostic significance. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were implemented to evaluate the influences of various variables on DFS and OS. The robustness of the prognostic gene signature was evaluated by re-sampling tests based on the combined GEO dataset (GSE31210, GSE37745 and GSE50081). Furthermore, a The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-NSCLC cohort was utilized to validate the prediction power of the gene signature. Finally, the correlation of the risk score of the gene signature and the Gene set variation analysis (GSVA) score of cancer hallmark gene sets was investigated. RESULTS:We identified and validated a six-gene prognostic signature in this study. This prognostic signature stratified NSCLC patients into the low-risk and high-risk groups. Multivariate regression and stratification analyses demonstrated that the six-gene signature was an independent predictive factor for both DFS and OS when adjusting for other clinical factors. Re-sampling analysis implicated that this six-gene signature for predicting prognosis of NSCLC patients is robust. Moreover, the risk score of the gene signature is correlated with the GSVA score of 7 cancer hallmark gene sets. CONCLUSION:This study provided a robust and reliable gene signature that had significant implications in the prediction of both DFS and OS of NSCLC patients, and may provide more effective treatment strategies and personalized therapies.

SUBMITTER: Zuo S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6515678 | biostudies-literature | 2019 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A robust six-gene prognostic signature for prediction of both disease-free and overall survival in non-small cell lung cancer.

Zuo Shuguang S Wei Min M Zhang Hailin H Chen Anxian A Wu Junhua J Wei Jiwu J Dong Jie J

Journal of translational medicine 20190514 1

<h4>Background</h4>The high mortality of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) emphasizes the necessity of identifying a robust and reliable prognostic signature for NSCLC patients. This study aimed to identify and validate a prognostic signature for the prediction of both disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) of NSCLC patients by integrating multiple datasets.<h4>Methods</h4>We firstly downloaded three independent datasets under the accessing number of GSE31210, GSE37 ...[more]

PMID: 31088477

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Project description:Aims. This study is aimed at identifying a prognostic signature for cervical cancer. Main Methods. The gene expression data and clinical information of cervical cancer and normal cervical tissues were acquired from The Cancer Genome Atlas and from three datasets of the Gene Expression Omnibus database. DESeq2 and Limma were employed to screen differentially expressed genes (DEGs). The overlapping DEGs among all datasets were considered the final DEGs. Then, the functional enrichment analysis was performed. Moreover, the Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to establish a prognostic signature of the DEGs. The Kaplan-Meier analysis was applied to test the model. Relationships between gene expression and clinicopathological parameters in cervical cancer, including age, HPV status, histology, stage, and lymph node metastasis, were analysed by the chi-square test. The somatic mutations of these prognostic genes were assessed through cBioPortal. The robustness of the model was verified in another two independent validation cohorts. Key Findings. In total, 169 overlapping upregulated genes and 29 overlapping downregulated genes were identified in cervical cancer compared with normal cervical tissues. Functional enrichment analysis indicated that the DEGs were mainly enriched in DNA replication, the cell cycle, and the p53 signalling pathway. Finally, a 5-gene- (ITM2A, DSG2, SPP1, EFNA1, and MMP1) based prognostic signature was built. According to this model, each patient was given a prognostic-related risk value. The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that a higher risk was related to worse overall survival in cervical cancer, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.811 for 15 years. The validity of this model in the prediction of cervical cancer outcome was verified in another two independent datasets. In addition, our study also found that the low expression of ITM2A was associated with cervical adenocarcinoma. Interestingly, DSG2 was associated with the HPV status of cervical cancer. Significance. Our study constructed a prognostic model in cervical cancer and discovered two novel genes, ITM2A and DSG2, associated with cervical carcinogenesis and survival.

Project description:ObjectiveThe purpose of this study is to screen for microRNAs (miRNAs) associated with the prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and to explore its prognosis and effects on the tumor microenvironment in patients with LUAD.MethodsGene expression data, miRNA expression data, and clinical data for two different databases, TCGA-LUAD and CPTAC-3 LUAD, were downloaded from the GDC database. The miRNA prognosis of LUAD was filtered by the Cox proportional hazard model and the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression model. The performance of the model was validated by time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves. Possible biological processes associated with the miRNAs target gene were analyzed through Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG). Finally, the prognostic model was scored by risk, divided into high- and low-risk groups by median, and the differences in the immersion level of 21 immune cells in the high- and low-risk groups were assessed. To gain a deeper understanding of the underlying mechanism behind the model, the two most important miRNAs in the model, miR-195-3p and miR-5571-5p, were selected for HPA database validation and ceRNA network construction.ResultsOf the 209 variance expressions identified in the screening analysis, 145 were upregulated and 64 were downregulated by miRNAs. The prognostic models of six miRNA genes were obtained: miR-195-3p, miR-5571-5p, miR-584-3p, miR-494-3p, miR-4664-3p, and miR-1293. These six genes were significantly associated with survival rates in LUAD patients. In particular, miR-1293, miR-195-3p, and miR-5571-5p are highly correlated with OS. The higher expression of miR-195-3p and miR-5571-5p, the better survival of LUAD OS is, and these two miRNA expressions contribute the most to the model. Finally, after sorting the risk scores calculated from low to high using the prognostic model, the patients with higher scores had shorter survival time and higher frequency of death, and there were significant differences in the immersion levels of 21 immune cells in the high- and low-risk groups. ceRNA network analysis found that TM9SF3 was regulated by miR-195-3p and was highly expressed in the tissues of LUAD patients, and the prognosis of the patients was poor.ConclusionsmiR-195-3p, miR-5571-5p, miR-584-3p, miR-494-3p, miR-4664-3p, and miR-1293 may be used as new biomarkers for prognosis prediction of LUAD. Our results also identified a lncRNA MEG3/miR-195-3p/RAB1A/TM9SF3 regulatory axis, which may also play an important role in the progression of LUAD. Further study needs to be conducted to verify this result.

Project description:Lung cancer is the second most fatal disease worldwide. In the last few years, radiomics is being explored to develop prediction models for various clinical endpoints in lung cancer. However, the robustness of radiomic features is under question and has been identified as one of the roadblocks in the implementation of a radiomic-based prediction model in the clinic. Many past studies have suggested identifying the robust radiomic feature to develop a prediction model. In our earlier study, we identified robust radiomic features for prediction model development. The objective of this study was to develop and validate the robust radiomic signatures for predicting 2-year overall survival in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This retrospective study included a cohort of 300 stage I-IV NSCLC patients. Institutional 200 patients' data were included for training and internal validation and 100 patients' data from The Cancer Image Archive (TCIA) open-source image repository for external validation. Radiomic features were extracted from the CT images of both cohorts. The feature selection was performed using hierarchical clustering, a Chi-squared test, and recursive feature elimination (RFE). In total, six prediction models were developed using random forest (RF-Model-O, RF-Model-B), gradient boosting (GB-Model-O, GB-Model-B), and support vector(SV-Model-O, SV-Model-B) classifiers to predict 2-year overall survival (OS) on original data as well as balanced data. Model validation was performed using 10-fold cross-validation, internal validation, and external validation. Using a multistep feature selection method, the overall top 10 features were chosen. On internal validation, the two random forest models (RF-Model-O, RF-Model-B) displayed the highest accuracy; their scores on the original and balanced datasets were 0.81 and 0.77 respectively. During external validation, both the random forest models' accuracy was 0.68. In our study, robust radiomic features showed promising predictive performance to predict 2-year overall survival in NSCLC.

Project description:BackgroundHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a major challenge for public health worldwide. Considering the great heterogeneity of HCC, more accurate prognostic models are urgently needed. To identify a robust prognostic gene signature, we conduct this study.Materials and methodsLevel 3 mRNA expression profiles and clinicopathological data were obtained in The Cancer Genome Atlas Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA-LIHC). GSE14520 dataset from the gene expression omnibus (GEO) database was downloaded to further validate the results in TCGA. Differentially expressed mRNAs between HCC and normal tissue were investigated. Univariate Cox regression analysis and lasso Cox regression model were performed to identify and construct the prognostic gene signature. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), Kaplan-Meier curve, multivariate Cox regression analysis, nomogram, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the prognostic capacity of the six-gene signature. The prognostic value of the gene signature was further validated in independent GSE14520 cohort. Gene Set Enrichment Analyses (GSEA) was performed to further understand the underlying molecular mechanisms. The performance of the prognostic signature in differentiating between normal liver tissues and HCC were also investigated.ResultsA novel six-gene signature (including CSE1L, CSTB, MTHFR, DAGLA, MMP10, and GYS2) was established for HCC prognosis prediction. The ROC curve showed good performance in survival prediction in both the TCGA HCC cohort and the GSE14520 validation cohort. The six-gene signature could stratify patients into a high- and low-risk group which had significantly different survival. Cox regression analysis showed that the six-gene signature could independently predict OS. Nomogram including the six-gene signature was established and shown some clinical net benefit. Furthermore, GSEA revealed several significantly enriched oncological signatures and various metabolic process, which might help explain the underlying molecular mechanisms. Besides, the prognostic signature showed a strong ability for differentiating HCC from normal tissues.ConclusionsOur study established a novel six-gene signature and nomogram to predict overall survival of HCC, which may help in clinical decision making for individual treatment.

Project description:BackgroundAs a serious challenge for public health, the prognosis of gastric cancer patients is still poor. The current study aimed to develop and validate a prognostic signature to predict the overall survival of gastric cancer patients.Patients and methodsThe dataset in the present study was obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas database. The present study finally included 343 gastric cancer patients with information on long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) expression and overall survival.ResultsA prognostic model named Eleven-lncRNA signature was constructed according to the expression values of eleven prognostic lncRNA predictors identified by univariate and multivariate Cox regression model. According to time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves, the Harrell's concordance indexes of Eleven-lncRNA signature were 0.764 (95% CI 0.720-0.808), 0.776 (95% CI 0.732-0.820), and 0.807 (95% CI 0.763-0.851) for 1-year overall survival, 3-year overall survival, and 5-year overall survival respectively in the model group. In the validation group, the Harrell's concordance indexes of Eleven-lncRNA signature were 0.748 (95% CI 0.704-0.792), 0.794 (95% CI 0.750-0.838), and 0.798 (95% CI 0.754-0.842) for 1-year overall survival, 3-year overall survival, and 5-year overall survival respectively. The gastric cancer patients (n=343) in the model group could be stratified into low-risk group (n=171) and high-risk group (n=172) according to the median of Eleven-lncRNA signature score. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that the mortality rate in the high-risk group was significantly poorer than that in the low-risk group (P<0.001).ConclusionThe present study constructed and validated a prognostic model named Eleven-lncRNA signature for preoperative individual mortality risk prediction in gastric cancer patients. This Eleven-lncRNA signature can predict the individual mortality risk of gastric cancer patients and is helpful in improving clinical decision making regarding individualized treatment.

Project description:BackgroundThe fatality and recurrence rates of bladder cancer (BC) have progressively increased. DNA methylation is an influential regulator associated with gene transcription in the pathogenesis of BC. We describe a comprehensive epigenetic study performed to analyse DNA methylation-driven genes in BC.MethodsData related to DNA methylation, the gene transcriptome and survival in BC were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). MethylMix was used to detect BC-specific hyper-/hypo-methylated genes. Metascape was used to carry out gene ontology (GO) enrichment and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway analyses. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-penalized Cox regression was conducted to identify the characteristic dimension decrease and distinguish prognosis-related methylation-driven genes. Subsequently, we developed a six-gene risk evaluation model and a novel prognosis-related nomogram to predict overall survival (OS). A survival analysis was carried out to explore the individual prognostic significance of the six genes.ResultsIn total, 167 methylation-driven genes were identified. Based on the LASSO Cox regression, six genes, i.e., ARHGDIB, LINC00526, IDH2, ARL14, GSTM2, and LURAP1, were selected for the development of a risk evaluation model. The Kaplan-Meier curve indicated that patients in the low-risk group had considerably better OS (P?=?1.679e-05). The area under the curve (AUC) of this model was 0.698 at 3 years of OS. The verification performed in subgroups demonstrated the validity of the model. Then, we designed an OS-associated nomogram that included the risk score and clinical factors. The concordance index of the nomogram was 0.694. The methylation levels of IDH2 and ARL14 were appreciably related to the survival results. In addition, the methylation and gene expression-matched survival analysis revealed that ARHGDIB and ARL14 could be used as independent prognostic indicators. Among the six genes, 6 methylation sites in ARHGDIB, 3 in GSTM2, 1 in ARL14, 2 in LINC00526 and 2 in LURAP1 were meaningfully associated with BC prognosis. In addition, several abnormal methylated sites were identified as linked to gene expression.ConclusionWe discovered differential methylation in BC patients with better and worse survival and provided a risk evaluation model by merging six gene markers with clinical characteristics.

Project description:BackgroundWith the improvement of clinical treatment outcomes in diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL), the high rate of relapse in DLBCL patients is still an established barrier, as the therapeutic strategy selection based on potential targets remains unsatisfactory. Therefore, there is an urgent need in further exploration of prognostic biomarkers so as to improve the prognosis of DLBCL.MethodsThe univariable and multivariable Cox regression models were employed to screen out gene signatures for DLBCL overall survival (OS) prediction. The differential expression analysis was used to identify representative genes in high-risk and low-risk groups, respectively, where student t test and fold change were implemented. The functional difference between the high-risk and low-risk groups was identified by the gene set enrichment analysis.ResultsWe conducted a systematic data analysis to screen the candidate genes significantly associated with OS of DLBCL in three NCBI Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) datasets. To construct a prognostic model, five genes (CEBPA, CYP27A1, LST1, MREG, and TARP) were then screened and tested using the multivariable Cox model and the stepwise regression method. Kaplan-Meier curve confirmed the good predictive performance of this five-gene Cox model. Thereafter, the prognostic model and the expression levels of the five genes were validated by means of an independent dataset. High expression levels of these five genes were significantly associated with favorable prognosis in DLBCL, both in training and validation datasets. Additionally, further analysis revealed the independent value and superiority of this prognostic model in risk prediction. Functional enrichment analysis revealed some vital pathways responsible for unfavorable outcome and potential therapeutic targets in DLBCL.ConclusionWe developed a five-gene Cox model for the clinical outcome prediction of DLBCL patients. Meanwhile, potential drug selection using this model can help clinicians to improve the clinical practice for the benefit of patients.

Dataset Information

A robust six-gene prognostic signature for prediction of both disease-free and overall survival in non-small cell lung cancer.

Publications

A robust six-gene prognostic signature for prediction of both disease-free and overall survival in non-small cell lung cancer.

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