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Censoring Unbiased Regression Trees and Ensembles.


ABSTRACT: This paper proposes a novel paradigm for building regression trees and ensemble learning in survival analysis. Generalizations of the CART and Random Forests algorithms for general loss functions, and in the latter case more general bootstrap procedures, are both introduced. These results, in combination with an extension of the theory of censoring unbiased transformations applicable to loss functions, underpin the development of two new classes of algorithms for constructing survival trees and survival forests: Censoring Unbiased Regression Trees and Censoring Unbiased Regression Ensembles. For a certain "doubly robust" censoring unbiased transformation of squared error loss, we further show how these new algorithms can be implemented using existing software (e.g., CART, random forests). Comparisons of these methods to existing ensemble procedures for predicting survival probabilities are provided in both simulated settings and through applications to four datasets. It is shown that these new methods either improve upon, or remain competitive with, existing implementations of random survival forests, conditional inference forests, and recursively imputed survival trees.

SUBMITTER: Steingrimsson JA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6561730 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Censoring Unbiased Regression Trees and Ensembles.

Steingrimsson Jon Arni JA   Diao Liqun L   Strawderman Robert L RL  

Journal of the American Statistical Association 20180709 525


This paper proposes a novel paradigm for building regression trees and ensemble learning in survival analysis. Generalizations of the CART and Random Forests algorithms for general loss functions, and in the latter case more general bootstrap procedures, are both introduced. These results, in combination with an extension of the theory of censoring unbiased transformations applicable to loss functions, underpin the development of two new classes of algorithms for constructing survival trees and  ...[more]

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