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Diagnostic Accuracy of Noninvasive Fibrosis Models to Detect Change in Fibrosis Stage.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND & AIMS:Noninvasive methods are needed to determine disease stage in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We evaluated the diagnostic performance of several widely available fibrosis models for the assessment of hepatic fibrosis in patients with NAFLD. METHODS:We performed a retrospective analysis of data from individuals enrolled in the NIDDK NASH Clinical Research Network, from 2004 through 2018. Using biopsy as the reference standard, we determined the diagnostic performance of the aspartate aminotransferase (AST):platelet ratio (APRI), FIB-4, ratio of AST:alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) in a cross-sectional study of 1904 subjects. The ability of these models to detect changes in fibrosis stage was assessed in a longitudinal data set of 292 subjects with 2 biopsies and accompanying laboratory data. Outcomes were detection of fibrosis of any stage (stages 0-4), detection of moderate fibrosis (stages 0-1 vs 2-4), and detection of advanced fibrosis (stages 0-2 vs 3-4). Diagnostic performance was evaluated using the C-statistic, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) analyses. RESULTS:In the cross-sectional study, FIB-4 and NFS outperformed other non-invasive models for detecting advanced fibrosis; the C-statistics were 0.80 for FIB-4 and 0.78 for NFS. In the longitudinal study, 216 patients had non-advanced fibrosis at baseline and 35 patients progressed to advanced fibrosis after median follow up of 2.6 years. After we adjusted for fibrosis stage and model score at initial biopsy, change in APRI, FIB-4, and NFS were significantly associated with change in fibrosis. A unit change in APRI, FIB-4, or NFS was associated with changes in fibrosis stage of 0.33 (95% CI, 0.20-0.45; P < .001), 0.26 (95% CI, 0.15-0.37; P < .001), and 0.19 (95% CI, 0.07-0.31; P = .002), respectively. The cross-validated C-statistic for detecting progression to advanced fibrosis for APRI was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.74-0.89), for FIB-4 was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.73-0.81), and for NFS was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.71-0.88). CONCLUSIONS:In a combined analysis of data from 2 large studies, we found that FIB-4, APRI, and NFS can detect advanced fibrosis and fibrosis progression in patients with NAFLD.

SUBMITTER: Siddiqui MS

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6609497 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Diagnostic Accuracy of Noninvasive Fibrosis Models to Detect Change in Fibrosis Stage.

Siddiqui Mohammad Shadab MS Yamada Goro G Vuppalanchi Raj R Van Natta Mark M Loomba Rohit R Guy Cynthia C Brandman Danielle D Tonascia James J Chalasani Naga N Neuschwander-Tetri Brent B Sanyal Arun J AJ

Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association 20190104 9

<h4>Background & aims</h4>Noninvasive methods are needed to determine disease stage in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We evaluated the diagnostic performance of several widely available fibrosis models for the assessment of hepatic fibrosis in patients with NAFLD.<h4>Methods</h4>We performed a retrospective analysis of data from individuals enrolled in the NIDDK NASH Clinical Research Network, from 2004 through 2018. Using biopsy as the reference standard, we determined ...[more]

PMID: 30616027

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Project description:Background and Aims: Cystic fibrosis-related liver disease (CFLD) is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality in cystic fibrosis (CF). Several non-invasive diagnostic methods have been proposed as screening tools for CFLD. Our aim was to rank all available non-invasive modalities for diagnostic performance. Methods: A systematic search was performed in five medical databases to find studies which reported on any single or composite non-invasive diagnostic test (as an index test) compared to the Debray, the EuroCare or the Colombo criteria (as a reference standard). Ranking was carried out with a Bayesian diagnostic test accuracy network meta-analysis based on superiority indices, calculated for pooled sensitivity (Se) and specificity (Sp) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). The study was registered under CRD42020155846 in PROSPERO. Results: Fifteen studies with 15 index tests and a combination of them were included. The New criteria proposed by Koh et al. - which represent a composite diagnostic definition for CFLD including liver biochemistry, ultrasonography, transient elastography and fibrosis markers-had the best performance for detecting CFLD (Se:94%[CI:58-100], Sp:72%[CI:52-84]); while transient elastography (Se:65%[CI:56-74], Sp:88%[CI:84-91]) and a combination of it with a tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-4 measurement (Se:78%[CI:30-100], Sp:64%[CI:18-95%]) proved to be the second and third best options, respectively. In the imaging techniques subgroup, transient elastography (Se:66%[CI:57-72], Sp:88%[CI:85-91%]), acoustic radiation force impulse in the right lobe (Se:54%[CI:33-74], Sp:88%[CI:66-96]) and that in the left lobe (Se:55%[CI:23-81], Sp:82%[CI:50-95]) were ranked the highest. Comparing biochemical markers/fibrosis indices, the measurement of the Forns index (Se:72%[CI:25-99], Sp:63%[CI:16-94]), the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio (Se:55%[CI:41-68], Sp:83%[CI:66-89]) and alkaline phosphatase (Se:63%[CI:18-93], Sp:64%[CI:19-95]) were ranked the highest. Conclusion: The New criteria show the best diagnostic performance. In clinical practice, transient elastography seems to be a simple, cheap and non-invasive tool, outperforming imaging, biochemical and fibrosis tests for detecting CFLD. Further studies are needed to validate our findings.

Project description:BackgroundRecent data suggest that noninvasive liver fibrosis indexes could be useful for predicting esophageal varices (EV) in cirrhotic patients. However, thus far, the diagnostic efficacy of these indexes in predicting portal hypertension (PH) in cirrhotic patients has been poorly evaluated.AimsTo evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of noninvasive liver fibrosis indexes in the diagnosis of PH.MethodsA total of 238 cirrhotic patients underwent hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) evaluation and relevant serum tests to analyze the variables associated with PH grade. Then, the diagnostic performances of seven fibrosis indexes, the aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AAR), AST-to-platelet (PLT) ratio index (APRI), fibrosis index (FI), FIB-4, Forns index, King's score and the Lok index, were evaluated to determine their efficacy in predicting clinically significant PH (CSPH) and severe PH (SPH). In addition, the performances of these fibrosis indexes in different subgroups were investigated.ResultsThe results of a multivariate analysis of serum markers showed that AST values, platelet (PLT) count and albumin (ALB) were associated with PH grade. Among the seven-fibrosis indexes, King's score, APRI and the Lok index showed modest diagnostic accuracy in predicting CSPH and SPH, as indicated by AUC of 0.755 and 0.742, 0.740 and 0.742, and 0.722 and 0.717, respectively. In addition, combination of King's score (cutoff 23.47) and Lok index (cutoff 1.30) predicted presence of CSPH, with the highest PPV (95.38%) and +LR (5.49). A subgroup analysis indicated that the noninvasive screening model may be more applicable to patients with cirrhosis of viral etiology.ConclusionsSerum liver fibrosis indexes exhibited modest diagnostic accuracy for PH in cirrhotic patients. These indexes may not be able to replace HVPG measurements for the diagnosis of PH but may be used as a first-line screening method for CSPH in liver cirrhosis patients.

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Diagnostic Accuracy of Noninvasive Fibrosis Models to Detect Change in Fibrosis Stage.

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Diagnostic Accuracy of Noninvasive Fibrosis Models to Detect Change in Fibrosis Stage.

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