Dataset Information

Multistate model of the patient flow process in the pediatric emergency department.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

The main purpose of this paper was to model the process by which patients enter the ED, are seen by physicians, and discharged from the Emergency Department at Nationwide Children's Hospital, as well as identify modifiable factors that are associated with ED lengths of stay through use of multistate modeling.

Methods

In this study, 75,591 patients admitted to the ED from March 1st, 2016 to February 28th, 2017 were analyzed using a multistate model of the ED process. Cox proportional hazards models with transition-specific covariates were used to model each transition in the multistate model and the Aalen-Johansen estimator was used to obtain transition probabilities and state occupation probabilities in the ED process.

Results

Acuity level, season, time of day and number of ED physicians had significant and varying associations with the six transitions in the multistate model. Race and ethnicity were significantly associated with transition to left without being seen, but not with the other transitions. Conversely, age and gender were significantly associated with registration to room and subsequent transitions in the model, though the magnitude of association was not strong.

Conclusions

The multistate model presented in this paper decomposes the overall ED length of stay into constituent transitions for modeling covariate-specific effects on each transition. This allows physicians to understand the ED process and identify which potentially modifiable covariates would have the greatest impact on reducing the waiting times in each state in the model.

SUBMITTER: Liu A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6619791 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Multistate model of the patient flow process in the pediatric emergency department.

Liu Anqi A Kline David M DM Brock Guy N GN Bonsu Bema K BK

PloS one 20190710 7

<h4>Objectives</h4>The main purpose of this paper was to model the process by which patients enter the ED, are seen by physicians, and discharged from the Emergency Department at Nationwide Children's Hospital, as well as identify modifiable factors that are associated with ED lengths of stay through use of multistate modeling.<h4>Methods</h4>In this study, 75,591 patients admitted to the ED from March 1st, 2016 to February 28th, 2017 were analyzed using a multistate model of the ED process. Cox ...[more]

PMID: 31291345

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Project description:BackgroundEmergency department (ED) crowding and prolonged lengths of stay continue to be important medical issues. It is difficult to apply traditional methods to analyze multiple streams of the ED patient management process simultaneously. The aim of this study was to develop a statistical model to delineate the dynamic patient flow within the ED and to analyze the effects of relevant factors on different patient movement rates.MethodsThis study used a retrospective cohort available with electronic medical data. Important time points and relevant covariates of all patients between January and December 2013 were collected. A new five-state Markov model was constructed by an expert panel, including three intermediate states: triage, physician management, and observation room and two final states: admission and discharge. A day was further divided into four six-hour periods to evaluate dynamics of patient movement over time.ResultsA total of 149,468 patient records were analyzed with a median total length of stay being 2.12 (interquartile range = 6.51) hours. The patient movement rates between states were estimated, and the effects of the age group and triage level on these movements were also measured. Patients with lower acuity go home more quickly (relative rate (RR): 1.891, 95% CI: 1.881-1.900) but have to wait longer for physicians (RR: 0.962, 95% CI: 0.956-0.967) and admission beds (RR: 0.673, 95% CI: 0.666-0.679). While older patients were seen more quickly by physicians (RR: 1.134, 95% CI: 1.131-1.139), they spent more time waiting for the final state (for admission RR: 0.830, 95% CI: 0.821-0.839; for discharge RR: 0.773, 95% CI: 0.769-0.776). Comparing the differences in patient movement rates over a 24-hour day revealed that patients wait longer before seen by physicians during the evening and that they usually move from the ED to admission afternoon. Predictive dynamic illustrations show that six hours after the patients' entry, the probability of still in the ED system ranges from 28% in the evening to 38% in the morning.ConclusionsThe five-state model well described the dynamic ED patient flow and analyzed the effects of relevant influential factors at different states. The model can be used in similar medical settings or incorporate different important covariates to develop individually tailored approaches for the improvement of efficiency within the health professions.

Project description:ObjectivesEmergency department (ED) crowding is an increasing problem associated with adverse patient outcomes. ED expansion is one method advocated to reduce ED crowding. The objective of this analysis was to determine the effect of ED expansion on measures of ED crowding.MethodsThis was a retrospective study using administrative data from two 11-month periods before and after the expansion of an ED from 33 to 53 adult beds in an academic medical center. ED volume, staffing, and hospital admission and occupancy data were obtained either from the electronic health record (EHR) or from administrative records. The primary outcome was the rate of patients who left without being treated (LWBT), and the secondary outcome was total ED boarding time for admitted patients. A multivariable robust linear regression model was used to determine whether ED expansion was associated with the outcome measures.ResultsThe mean (±SD) daily adult volume was 128 (±14) patients before expansion and 145 (±17) patients after. The percentage of patients who LWBT was unchanged: 9.0% before expansion versus 8.3% after expansion (difference = 0.6%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.16% to 1.4%). Total ED boarding time increased from 160 to 180 hours/day (difference = 20 hours, 95% CI = 8 to 32 hours). After daily ED volume, low-acuity area volume, daily wait time, daily boarding hours, and nurse staffing were adjusted for, the percentage of patients who LWBT was not independently associated with ED expansion (p = 0.053). After ED admissions, ED intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, elective surgical admissions, hospital occupancy rate, ICU occupancy rate, and number of operational ICU beds were adjusted for, the increase in ED boarding hours was independently associated with the ED expansion (p = 0.005).ConclusionsAn increase in ED bed capacity was associated with no significant change in the percentage of patients who LWBT, but had an unintended consequence of an increase in ED boarding hours. ED expansion alone does not appear to be an adequate solution to ED crowding.

Project description:OBJECTIVE:The objective of this study is to assess the impact of a multimodal intervention on emergency department (ED) crowding and patient flow in a Dutch level 1 trauma center. METHODS:In this cross-sectional study, we compare ED crowding and patient flow between a 9-month pre-intervention period and a 9-month intervention period, during peak hours and overall (24/7). The multimodal intervention included (1) adding an emergency nurse practitioner (ENP) and (2) five medical specialists during peak hours to the 24/7 available emergency physicians (EPs), (3) a Lean programme to improve radiology turnaround times, and (4) extending the admission offices' openings hours. Crowding is measured with the modified National ED OverCrowding Score (mNEDOCS). Furthermore, radiology turnaround times, patients' length of stay (LOS), proportion of patients leaving without being seen (LWBS) by a medical provider, and unscheduled representations are assessed. RESULTS:The number of ED visits were grossly similar in the two periods during peak hours (15,558 ED visits in the pre-intervention period and 15,550 in the intervention period) and overall (31,891 ED visits in the pre-intervention period vs. 32,121 in the intervention period). During peak hours, ED crowding fell from 18.6% (pre-intervention period) to 3.5% (intervention period), radiology turnaround times decreased from an average of 91?min (interquartile range 45-256?min) to 50?min (IQR 30-106?min., p <?0.001) and LOS reduced with 13?min per patient from 167 to 154?min (p <?0.001). For surgery, neurology and cardiology patients, LOS reduced significantly (with 17?min, 25?min, and 8?min. respectively), while not changing for internal medicine patients. Overall, crowding, radiology turnaround times and LOS also decreased. Less patients LWBS in the intervention period (270 patients vs. 348 patients, p <?0.001) and less patients represented unscheduled within 1 week after the initial ED visit: 864 (2.7%) in the pre-intervention period vs. 645 (2.0%) patients in the intervention period, p <?0.001. CONCLUSIONS:In this hospital, a multimodal intervention successfully reduces crowding, radiology turnaround times, patients' LOS, number of patients LWBS and the number of unscheduled return visits, suggesting improved ED processes. Further research is required on total costs of care and long-term effects.

Project description:ObjectivesFocused research on pediatric agitation is lacking despite being a common mental and behavioral health (MBH) emergency. Prevalence of pediatric agitation remains unknown, and prior reports may have underestimated the rate of restraint use for pediatric agitation. This is the largest study to provide a focused evaluation of the prevalence and predictors of pediatric agitation and restraint use as well as the emergency department (ED) length of stay (LOS) and admission rates for agitated patients.MethodsWe reviewed records of patients aged ≤18 years with MBH needs who visited the pediatric ED of a tertiary care hospital during a 3-year-period. We identified and ascertained agitated/aggressive patients using documented signs/symptoms, International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes, and Behavioral Activity Rating Scale scores. We performed descriptive and multivariable analyses using SAS 9.4 (SAS Institute).ResultsOf 10,172 patients with MBH needs, 1408 (13.8%) were agitated/aggressive. Of these (n = 1408), 63.7% were boys, and the mean age was 11.9 years. Among agitated patients, the prevalence of restraint use was 28.7%, with a predominance of pharmacologic restraint with atypical antipsychotics. Non-Hispanic Blacks were more likely to be agitated (adjusted odd ratio [aOR], 1.8; 95% CI, 1.2-2.7), but not restrained (aOR, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.3-1.8). Predictors of restraint use include history of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (aOR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.5-3.3), autism (aOR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.9-4.5), conduct disorder (aOR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.5), psychosis (aOR, 14.3; 95% CI, 2.5-271.8), and substance use/overdose states (aOR, 1.9; CI, 1.2-3.2). Restrained agitated patients had longer ED LOS (8.4 vs 5.0 hours; P < 0.0001) and higher admission rates (aOR, 2.6; 95% CI, 2.0-3.5). Depression (aOR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.3-0.5) and suicidality (aOR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.1-0.3) were protective against agitation and restraint use.ConclusionPrevalence of acute agitation and restraint use in pediatric EDs may be much higher than previously reported. Predictors of acute agitation and restraint use among MBH patients were consistent with prior reports. Restrained agitated patients had longer ED LOS and higher admission rates.

Project description:This study aims to evaluate the efficacy of the PECARN Rule (PR) in reducing radiological investigations in children with mild traumatic head injury in comparison with current clinical practice. A retrospective study was performed in our hospital between July 2015 and June 2020. Data of all children < 18 years of age admitted to the emergency department (ED), within 24 h after a head trauma with GCS ≥ 14, were analyzed. PECARN Rule was retrospectively applied to all patients. In total, 3832 patients were enrolled, 2613 patients ≥ 2 years and 1219 < 2 years. In the group of children ≥ 2 years, 10 presented clinically important traumatic brain injury (ciTBI) and were hospitalized, 7/10 underwent neurosurgery, and 3/10 clinical observation in the pediatric ward for more than 48 h. In children < 2 years, only 3 patients presented ciTBI, 2 underwent neurosurgery and 1 hospitalized. Applying the PR, no patient with ciTBI would have been discharged without an accurate diagnosis and we would have avoided 139 CT scans in patients ≥ 2 years, and 23 in those < 2 years of age (29% less).ConclusionWe demonstrated the safety and validity of the PR in our setting with 100% sensitivity in both age groups in identifying patients with ciTBI and theoretically in reducing performed CT scans by 29%. Therefore, in patients classified in the low-risk category, it is a duty not to expose the child to ionizing radiation.What is known• CT is the gold standard to identify intracranial pathology in children with head injury but CT imaging of head-injured children expose them to higher carcinogenic risk. • PECARN Rules support doctors in identifying children with ciTBI in order to reduce exposure to ionizing radiation.What is new• We demonstrate the safety and validity of the PR with 100% sensitivity in both age groups in identifying patients with ciTBI. • In our setting, the application of PECARN Rule would theoretically have allowed us to reduce the CT scan by 29%.

Dataset Information

Multistate model of the patient flow process in the pediatric emergency department.

Objectives

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Multistate model of the patient flow process in the pediatric emergency department.

Similar Datasets

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