Dataset Information

Seasonality of influenza and its association with meteorological parameters in two cities of Pakistan: A time series analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Influenza is known to have a specific pattern of seasonality the reasons for which are yet to be fully ascertained. Temperate zones show influenza epidemic during the winter months. The tropical and subtropical regions show more diverse influenza outbreak patterns. This study explores the seasonality of influenza activity and predicts influenza peak based on historical surveillance time series data in Islamabad and Multan, Pakistan.

Methods

This is a descriptive study of routinely collected monthly influenza sentinel surveillance data and meteorological data from 2012-16 in two sentinel sites of Pakistan: Islamabad (North) and Multan (Central).

Results

Mean number of cases of influenza and levels of precipitation were higher in Islamabad compared to Multan. Mean temperature and humidity levels were similar in both the cities. The number of influenza cases rose with decrease in precipitation and temperature in Islamabad during 2012-16, although the same cannot be said about humidity. The relationship between meteorological parameters and influenza incidence was not pronounced in case of Multan. The forecasted values in both the cities showed a significant peak during the month of January.

Conclusion

The influenza surveillance system gave a better understanding of the disease trend and could accurately forecast influenza activity in Pakistan.

SUBMITTER: Nisar N

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6641468 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Seasonality of influenza and its association with meteorological parameters in two cities of Pakistan: A time series analysis.

Nisar Nadia N Badar Nazish N Aamir Uzma Bashir UB Yaqoob Aashifa A Tripathy Jaya Prasad JP Laxmeshwar Chinmay C Munir Fariha F Zaidi Syed Sohail Zahoor SSZ

PloS one 20190719 7

<h4>Background</h4>Influenza is known to have a specific pattern of seasonality the reasons for which are yet to be fully ascertained. Temperate zones show influenza epidemic during the winter months. The tropical and subtropical regions show more diverse influenza outbreak patterns. This study explores the seasonality of influenza activity and predicts influenza peak based on historical surveillance time series data in Islamabad and Multan, Pakistan.<h4>Methods</h4>This is a descriptive study o ...[more]

PMID: 31323025

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Project description:Prior research has suggested that regional weather patterns impact the risk of rupture of cerebral aneurysms, but the findings in the literature have been inconsistent. Furthermore, no nationwide analysis to date has examined the association between meteorological factors and the post-procedural outcomes of patients after the treatment for ruptured cerebral aneurysms. The purpose of this study was to use a nationwide sample to analyze the association between specific meteorological parameters--temperature, precipitation, sunlight, and humidity--and hospital admission rate for and outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Patients were identified using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (2001-2010): Those with an ICD-9 diagnosis code for subarachnoid hemorrhage and a procedural code for aneurysm repair were included. Climate data were obtained from the State of the Climate Report 2010 released by the National Climatic Data Center. Multivariate regression models were constructed to analyze the association between average state monthly temperature, precipitation, and percent possible sunlight, as well as relative morning humidity and both monthly hospital admission rate, adjusted for annual state population in millions, and in-hospital mortality. 16,970 admissions were included from 723 hospitals across 41 states. Decreased daily sunlight and lower relative humidity were associated with an increased rate of admission for ruptured cerebral aneurysms (p<0.001), but had no association with differential inpatient mortality. No significant changes in these observed associations were seen when multivariate analyses were constructed. This is the first nationwide study to suggest that decreased sunlight and lower relative humidity are associated with admission for ruptured cerebral aneurysms. While it has been postulated that external atmospheric factors may cause hormonal and homeostatic changes that impact the risk of rupture of cerebral aneurysms, additional research is needed to confirm and further understand these relationships.

Dataset Information

Seasonality of influenza and its association with meteorological parameters in two cities of Pakistan: A time series analysis.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Seasonality of influenza and its association with meteorological parameters in two cities of Pakistan: A time series analysis.

Similar Datasets

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