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Human exposure factors as potential determinants of the heterogeneity in city-specific associations between PM2.5 and mortality.

ABSTRACT: Multi-city population-based epidemiological studies of short-term fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposures and mortality have observed heterogeneity in risk estimates between cities. Factors affecting exposures, such as pollutant infiltration, which are not captured by central-site monitoring data, can differ between communities potentially explaining some of this heterogeneity. This analysis evaluates exposure factors as potential determinants of the heterogeneity in 312 core-based statistical areas (CBSA)-specific associations between PM2.5 and mortality using inverse variance weighted linear regression. Exposure factor variables were created based on data on housing characteristics, commuting patterns, heating fuel usage, and climatic factors from national surveys. When survey data were not available, air conditioning (AC) prevalence was predicted utilizing machine learning techniques. Across all CBSAs, there was a 0.95% (Interquartile range (IQR) of 2.25) increase in non-accidental mortality per 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 and significant heterogeneity between CBSAs. CBSAs with larger homes, more heating degree days, a higher percentage of home heating with oil had significantly (p < 0.05) higher health effect estimates, while cities with more gas heating had significantly lower health effect estimates. While univariate models did not explain much of heterogeneity in health effect estimates (R2 < 1%), multivariate models began to explain some of the observed heterogeneity (R2 = 13%).

SUBMITTER: Baxter LK

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6643264 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Human exposure factors as potential determinants of the heterogeneity in city-specific associations between PM<sub>2.5</sub> and mortality.

Baxter Lisa K LK Dionisio Kathie K Pradeep Prachi P Rappazzo Kristen K Neas Lucas L

Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology 20181011 4

Multi-city population-based epidemiological studies of short-term fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) exposures and mortality have observed heterogeneity in risk estimates between cities. Factors affecting exposures, such as pollutant infiltration, which are not captured by central-site monitoring data, can differ between communities potentially explaining some of this heterogeneity. This analysis evaluates exposure factors as potential determinants of the heterogeneity in 312 core-based ...[more]

PMID: 30310133

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Project description:BackgroundChildhood exposure to air pollution has been linked with maladaptive cognitive development; however, less is known about the association between prenatal fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure and childhood behavior.ObjectivesOur aim was to assess the association between prenatal PM2.5 exposure and behavioral development in 4-6 year old children residing in Mexico City.MethodsWe used data from 539 mother-child pairs enrolled in a prospective birth cohort in Mexico City. We estimated daily PM2.5 exposure using a 1 km2 satellite-based exposure model and averaged over each trimester of pregnancy. We assessed childhood behavior at 4-6 years of age using the parent-completed Behavioral Assessment Scale for Children (BASC-2) composite scores and subscales. We used linear regression models to estimate change in BASC-2 T-scores with trimester specific 5-μg/m3 increases in PM2.5. All models were mutually adjusted for PM2.5 exposures during the other trimesters, maternal factors including age, education, socioeconomic status, depression, and IQ, child's age at study visit, and season. We additionally assessed sex-specific effects by including an interaction term between PM2.5 and sex.ResultsHigher first trimester PM2.5 exposure was associated with reduced Adaptive Skills scores (β: -1.45, 95% CI: -2.60, -0.30). Lower scores on the Adaptive Skills composite score and subscales indicate poorer functioning. For PM2.5 exposure during the first trimester, decrements were consistent across adaptive subscale scores including Adaptability (β: -1.51, 95% CI: -2.72, -0.30), Social Skills (β: -1.63, 95% CI: -2.90, -0.36), and Functional Communication (β: -1.21, 95% CI: -2.21, -0.21). The association between 1st trimester PM2.5 and depression was stronger in males than females (β for males: 1.52, 95% CI: -0.41, 3.45; β for females: -0.13, 95% CI: -1.99, 1.72; p-int: 0.07).ConclusionsExposure to PM2.5 during early pregnancy may be associated with impaired behavioral development in children, particularly for measures of adaptive skills. These results suggest that air pollution impacts behavioral domains as well as cognition, and that the timing of exposure may be critical.

Project description:BackgroundSubstantial increases in wildfire activity have been recorded in recent decades. Wildfires influence the chemical composition and concentration of particulate matter ≤2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5). However, relatively few epidemiologic studies focus on the health impacts of wildfire smoke PM2.5 compared with the number of studies focusing on total PM2.5 exposure.ObjectivesWe estimated the associations between cardiorespiratory acute events and exposure to smoke PM2.5 in Colorado using a novel exposure model to separate smoke PM2.5 from background ambient PM2.5 levels.MethodsWe obtained emergency department visits and hospitalizations for acute cardiorespiratory outcomes from Colorado for May-August 2011-2014, geocoded to a 4 km geographic grid. Combining ground measurements, chemical transport models, and remote sensing data, we estimated smoke PM2.5 and non-smoke PM2.5 on a 1 km spatial grid and aggregated to match the resolution of the health data. Time-stratified, case-crossover models were fit using conditional logistic regression to estimate associations between fire smoke PM2.5 and non-smoke PM2.5 for overall and age-stratified outcomes using 2-day averaging windows for cardiovascular disease and 3-day windows for respiratory disease.ResultsPer 1 μg/m3 increase in fire smoke PM2.5, statistically significant associations were observed for asthma (OR = 1.081 (1.058, 1.105)) and combined respiratory disease (OR = 1.021 (1.012, 1.031)). No significant relationships were evident for cardiovascular diseases and smoke PM2.5. Associations with non-smoke PM2.5 were null for all outcomes. Positive age-specific associations related to smoke PM2.5 were observed for asthma and combined respiratory disease in children, and for asthma, bronchitis, COPD, and combined respiratory disease in adults. No significant associations were found in older adults.DiscussionThis is the first multi-year, high-resolution epidemiologic study to incorporate statistical and chemical transport modeling methods to estimate PM2.5 exposure due to wildfires. Our results allow for a more precise assessment of the population health impact of wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure in a changing climate.

Project description:ObjectiveTo compare estimates of spatiotemporal variations of surface PM2.5 concentrations in Colombia from 2014 to 2019 derived from two global air quality models, as well as to quantify the avoidable deaths attributable to the long-term exposure to concentrations above the current and projected Colombian standard for PM2.5 annual mean at municipality level.MethodsWe retrieved PM2.5 concentrations at the surface level from the ACAG and CAMSRA global air quality models for all 1,122 municipalities, and compare 28 of them with available concentrations from monitor stations. Annual mortality data 2014-2019 by municipality of residence and pooled effect measures for total, natural and specific causes of mortality were used to calculate the number of annual avoidable deaths and years of potential life lost (YPLL) related to the excess of PM2.5 concentration over the current mean annual national standard of 25 µg/m3 and projected standard of 15 µg/m3.ResultsCompared to surface data from 28 municipalities with monitoring stations in 2019, ACAG and CAMSRA models under or overestimated annual mean PM2.5 concentrations. Estimations from ACAG model had a mean bias 1,7 µg/m3 compared to a mean bias of 4,7 µg/m3 from CAMSRA model. Using ACAG model, estimations of total nationally attributable deaths to PM2.5 exposure over 25 and 15 µg/m3 were 142 and 34,341, respectively. Cardiopulmonary diseases accounted for most of the attributable deaths due to PM2.5 excess of exposure (38%). Estimates of YPLL due to all-cause mortality for exceeding the national standard of 25 µg/m3 were 2,381 years.ConclusionComparison of two global air quality models for estimating surface PM2.5 concentrations during 2014-2019 at municipality scale in Colombia showed important differences. Avoidable deaths estimations represent the total number of deaths that could be avoided if the current and projected national standard for PM2.5 annual mean have been met, and show the health-benefit of the implementation of more restrictive air quality standards.

Project description:BackgroundPM2.5 have been associated with weight change in animal models and non-pregnant populations. Evidence of associations between PM2.5 and gestational weight gain (GWG), an important determinant of course and outcomes of pregnancy, and subsequent birth outcomes is limited.MethodsThe study was conducted among a subset of participants from the Omega Study, a prospective pregnancy cohort. Exposure to PM2.5 (μg/m3) was ascertained for participants (N = 855) based on their residential address using a validated national spatiotemporal model. Adjusted multivariable linear regression models were used to estimate associations of trimester-specific and pregnancy-month PM2.5 exposures with early (<20 weeks gestation), late (≥20 weeks gestation), and total GWG and infant birth weight. Stratified models and product terms were used to examine whether pre-pregnancy BMI (ppBMI) and infant sex modified the associations.ResultsAverage monthly PM2.5 exposure during the first, second, and third trimesters were 7.3 μg/m3, 7.9 μg/m3, and 7.7 μg/m3, respectively. Higher third trimester PM2.5 exposure was associated with higher late (0.40 kg per 5 μg/m (McDowell et al., 2018); 95%CI: 0.12, 0.67) and total (0.35 kg; 95%CI: 0.01, 0.70) GWG among participants with normal ppBMI. Higher second month PM2.5 exposure was associated with lower early (-0.70 kg; 95%CI: 1.22, -0.18), late (-0.84 kg; 95% CI: 1.54, -0.14), and total (-1.70 kg; 95%CI: 2.57, -0.82) GWG among participants with overweight/obese ppBMI. Product terms between PM2.5 and ppBMI were significant for second month PM2.5 exposure and early (p-value = 0.01) and total GWG (p-value<0.01). Higher third trimester PM2.5 exposure was associated with higher birth weight, though higher fourth month PM2.5 exposure was associated with lower birth weight, particularly among those with normal ppBMI and male infants.ConclusionsAssociations of PM2.5 with GWG vary by exposure window and ppBMI, while associations of PM2.5 with birth weight potentially vary by exposure window, ppBMI and infant sex. Further exploration of associations between PM2.5 and maternal/child health outcomes are needed.

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Human exposure factors as potential determinants of the heterogeneity in city-specific associations between PM2.5 and mortality.

Publications

Human exposure factors as potential determinants of the heterogeneity in city-specific associations between PM<sub>2.5</sub> and mortality.

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