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Risk Factors Before Dialysis Predominate as Mortality Predictors in Diabetic Maintenance Dialysis patients.

ABSTRACT: Diabetic patients undergoing maintenance dialysis (MD) have a particularly high mortality rate. Many of the risk factors for mortality have been identified in diabetics who die before reaching end stage renal disease (ESRD), i.e. before dialysis (BD). In addition, many risk factors for mortality have been identified in diabetics after dialysis onset (AD). However, whether in the BD period there are long-term risk factors for AD mortality in diabetics is unknown. We therefore investigated a new concept, i.e. that clinical and biochemical risk factors during the BD stage affect long-term AD mortality. We performed a population based retrospective cohort study, in diabetic CKD patients in a single center in south Israel who initiated MD between the years 2003 and 2015. Clinical and biochemical data 12 months BD and 6 months AD were collected and evaluated for association with mortality AD using Cox's proportional-hazards model. BD parameters that were found to be significant were adjusted for significant parameters AD, thus generating a "combined" regression model in order to isolate the contribution of BD factors on long term mortality. Six hundred and fifty two diabetic MD patients were included in the final analysis. Four independent BD parameters were found in the multivariate model to significantly predict AD mortality: age, BMI (inversely), pulse pressure (U-shaped) and cardiovascular comorbidity. AD independent risk factors for mortality were age, BMI (inversely) and albumin (inversely). Of note, BD factors remained dominantly significant even after additionally adjusting for AD factors. No association was found between either BD HbA1C levels or BD proteinuria and AD mortality. In diabetics who reach ESRD, BD parameters can predict long term AD mortality. Thus, some of the factors affecting the poor survival of diabetic MD patients appear to begin already in the BD period.

SUBMITTER: Tsur N

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6650444 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Risk Factors Before Dialysis Predominate as Mortality Predictors in Diabetic Maintenance Dialysis patients.

Tsur Noa N Menashe Idan I Haviv Yosef S YS

Scientific reports 20190723 1

Diabetic patients undergoing maintenance dialysis (MD) have a particularly high mortality rate. Many of the risk factors for mortality have been identified in diabetics who die before reaching end stage renal disease (ESRD), i.e. before dialysis (BD). In addition, many risk factors for mortality have been identified in diabetics after dialysis onset (AD). However, whether in the BD period there are long-term risk factors for AD mortality in diabetics is unknown. We therefore investigated a new c ...[more]

PMID: 31337801

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Project description:BackgroundMortality is extremely high immediately after the transition to dialysis therapy, but the association of blood pressure (BP) before dialysis therapy initiation with mortality after dialysis therapy initiation remains unknown.Study designObservational study.Setting & participants17,729 US veterans transitioning to dialysis therapy in October 2007 to September 2011, with a median follow-up of 2.0 years.PredictorSystolic (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) averaged over the last 1-year predialysis transition period as 6 (<120 to ≥160mmHg in 10-mmHg increments) and 5 (<60 to ≥90mmHg in 10-mmHg increments) categories, respectively, and as continuous measures.Outcomes & measurementsPostdialysis all-cause mortality, assessed over different follow-up periods (ie, <3, 3-<6, 6-<12, and ≥12 months after dialysis therapy initiation) using Cox regressions adjusted for demographics, comorbid conditions, medications, cardiovascular medication adherence, body mass index, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and type of vascular access.ResultsMean predialysis SBP and DBP were 141.2±16.1 (SD) and 73.7±10.6mmHg, respectively. There was a reverse J-shaped association of SBP with all-cause mortality, with significantly higher mortality seen with SBP<140mmHg. Mortality risks associated with lower SBP were greatest in the first 3 months after dialysis therapy initiation, with multivariable-adjusted HRs of 2.40 (95% CI, 1.96-2.93), 1.99 (95% CI, 1.66-2.40), 1.35 (95% CI, 1.13-1.62), 0.98 (95% CI, 0.78-1.22), and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.57-1.00) for SBP <120, 120 to <130, 130 to <140, 150 to <160, and ≥160 (vs 140-<150) mmHg, respectively. No consistent association was observed between predialysis DBP and postdialysis mortality.LimitationsResults cannot be inferred to show causality and may not be generalizable to women or the general US population.ConclusionsLower predialysis SBP is associated with higher all-cause mortality in the immediate postdialysis period. Predialysis DBP showed no consistent association with postdialysis mortality. Further studies are needed to clarify ideal predialysis SBP levels among incident dialysis patients as a potential means to improve the excessively high early dialysis mortality.

Project description:IntroductionWhile it has been well documented that in the U.S., black and Hispanic dialysis patients have overall lower risks of death than white dialysis patients, little is known whether their lower risks are observed in cause-specific deaths. Additionally, recent research reported that younger black patients have a higher risk of death, but the source is unclear. Therefore, this study examined cause-specific deaths among US dialysis patients by race/ethnicity and age.MethodsThis national study included 1,255,640 incident dialysis patients between 1995 and 2010 in the United States Renal Data System. Five cause-specific mortality rates, including cardiovascular (CVD), infection, malignancy, other known causes (miscellaneous), and unknown, were compared across blacks, Hispanics, and whites overall and stratified by age groups.FindingsAfter multiple adjustments, Hispanic patients had the lowest risk of mortality for every major cause in almost all ages. Compared with whites, blacks had a lower risk of death from CVD, malignancy and miscellaneous causes in most age groups, but not from infection. In fact, blacks had a higher risk of infection death than whites in ages 18-30 years (HR [95% CI] 1.94 [1.69-2.23]; P < 0.001), 31-40 years (HR 1.51 [1.40-1.63]; P < 0.001) and 41-50 years (HR 1.07 [1.02-1.12]; P = 0.009), which were partially attributed to their higher prevalence of AIDS nephropathy. For each race/ethnicity, more than two-thirds of infection deaths were due to non-dialysis related infections.DiscussionHispanics had the lowest risk for each major cause of death. Blacks were less likely to die than whites from most causes, except infection. The previously reported higher overall mortality rate for younger blacks is attributed to their two-fold higher infection mortality, which is mostly non-dialysis related, suggesting a new direction to improve their overall health status. Research is greatly needed to determine social and biological factors that account for the survival gap in dialysis among different racial/ethnic groups.

Project description:ImportanceThere is a need for studies to evaluate the risk factors for COVID-19 and mortality among the entire Medicare long-term dialysis population using Medicare claims data.ObjectiveTo identify risk factors associated with COVID-19 and mortality in Medicare patients undergoing long-term dialysis.Design, setting, and participantsThis retrospective, claims-based cohort study compared mortality trends of patients receiving long-term dialysis in 2020 with previous years (2013-2019) and fit Cox regression models to identify risk factors for contracting COVID-19 and postdiagnosis mortality. The cohort included the national population of Medicare patients receiving long-term dialysis in 2020, derived from clinical and administrative databases. COVID-19 was identified through Medicare claims sources. Data were analyzed on May 17, 2021.Main outcomes and measuresThe 2 main outcomes were COVID-19 and all-cause mortality. Associations of claims-based risk factors with COVID-19 and mortality were investigated prediagnosis and postdiagnosis.ResultsAmong a total of 498 169 Medicare patients undergoing dialysis (median [IQR] age, 66 [56-74] years; 215 935 [43.1%] women and 283 227 [56.9%] men), 60 090 (12.1%) had COVID-19, among whom 15 612 patients (26.0%) died. COVID-19 rates were significantly higher among Black (21 787 of 165 830 patients [13.1%]) and Hispanic (13 530 of 86 871 patients [15.6%]) patients compared with non-Black patients (38 303 of 332 339 [11.5%]), as well as patients with short (ie, 1-89 days; 7738 of 55 184 patients [14.0%]) and extended (ie, ≥90 days; 10 737 of 30 196 patients [35.6%]) nursing home stays in the prior year. Adjusting for all other risk factors, residing in a nursing home 1 to 89 days in the prior year was associated with a higher hazard for COVID-19 (hazard ratio [HR] vs 0 days, 1.60; 95% CI 1.56-1.65) and for postdiagnosis mortality (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.25-1.37), as was residing in a nursing home for an extended stay (COVID-19: HR, 4.48; 95% CI, 4.37-4.59; mortality: HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.07-1.16). Black race (HR vs non-Black: HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.23-1.28) and Hispanic ethnicity (HR vs non-Hispanic: HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.64-1.72) were associated with significantly higher hazards of COVID-19. Although home dialysis was associated with lower COVID-19 rates (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.75-0.80), it was associated with higher mortality (HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.11-1.25).Conclusions and relevanceThese results shed light on COVID-19 risk factors and outcomes among Medicare patients receiving long-term chronic dialysis and could inform policy decisions to mitigate the significant extra burden of COVID-19 and death in this population.

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Risk Factors Before Dialysis Predominate as Mortality Predictors in Diabetic Maintenance Dialysis patients.

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Risk Factors Before Dialysis Predominate as Mortality Predictors in Diabetic Maintenance Dialysis patients.

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