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Estimating morbidity due to stroke in Nigeria: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:The response to stroke in Nigeria is impaired by inadequate epidemiologic information. We sought to collate available evidence and estimate the incidence of stroke and prevalence of stroke survivors in Nigeria. METHODS:Using random effects meta-analysis, we pooled nationwide and regional incidence and prevalence of stroke from the estimates reported in each study. RESULTS:Eleven studies met our selection criteria. The pooled crude incidence of stroke in Nigeria was 26.0 (12.8-39.0) /100,000 person-years, with this higher among men at 34.1 (9.7-58.4) /100,000, compared to women at 21.2 (7.4-35.0) /100,000. The pooled crude prevalence of stroke survivors in Nigeria was 6.7 (5.8-7.7) /1000 population, with this also higher among men at 6.4 (5.1-7.6) /1000, compared to women at 4.4 (3.4-5.5) /1000. In the period 2000-2009, the incidence of stroke in Nigeria was 24.3 (95% CI: 11.9-36.8) per 100,000, with this increasing to 27.4 (95% CI: 2.2-52.7) per 100,000 from 2010 upwards. The prevalence of stroke survivors increased minimally from 6.0 (95% CI: 4.6-7.5) per 1000 to 7.5 (95% CI: 5.8-9.1) per 1000 over the same period. The prevalence of stroke survivors was highest in the South-south region at 13.4 (9.1-17.8) /100,000 and among rural dwellers at 10.8 (7.5-14.1) /100,000. CONCLUSION:Although study period does not appear to contribute substantially to variations in stroke morbidity in Nigeria, an increasing number of new cases compared to survivors may be due in part to limited door-door surveys, or possibly reflects an increasing mortality from stroke in the country.

SUBMITTER: Adeloye D

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6650746 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Estimating morbidity due to stroke in Nigeria: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Adeloye Davies D Ezejimofor Martinsixtus M Auta Asa A Mpazanje Rex G RG Ezeigwe Nnenna N Ngige Evelyn N EN Harhay Michael O MO Alemu Wondimagegnehu W Adewole Isaac F IF

Journal of the neurological sciences 20190523

<h4>Background</h4>The response to stroke in Nigeria is impaired by inadequate epidemiologic information. We sought to collate available evidence and estimate the incidence of stroke and prevalence of stroke survivors in Nigeria.<h4>Methods</h4>Using random effects meta-analysis, we pooled nationwide and regional incidence and prevalence of stroke from the estimates reported in each study.<h4>Results</h4>Eleven studies met our selection criteria. The pooled crude incidence of stroke in Nigeria w ...[more]

PMID: 31151064

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Project description:Several studies have suggested that depression is associated with an increased risk of stroke; however, the results are inconsistent.To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies assessing the association between depression and risk of developing stroke in adults.A search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, and PsycINFO databases (to May 2011) was supplemented by manual searches of bibliographies of key retrieved articles and relevant reviews.We included prospective cohort studies that reported risk estimates of stroke morbidity or mortality by baseline or updated depression status assessed by self-reported scales or clinician diagnosis.Two independent reviewers extracted data on depression status at baseline, risk estimates of stroke, study quality, and methods used to assess depression and stroke. Hazard ratios (HRs) were pooled using fixed-effect or random-effects models when appropriate. Associations were tested in subgroups representing different participant and study characteristics. Publication bias was evaluated with funnel plots and Begg test.The search yielded 28 prospective cohort studies (comprising 317,540 participants) that reported 8478 stroke cases (morbidity and mortality) during a follow-up period ranging from 2 to 29 years. The pooled adjusted HRs were 1.45 (95% CI, 1.29-1.63; P for heterogeneity <.001; random-effects model) for total stroke, 1.55 (95% CI, 1.25-1.93; P for heterogeneity = .31; fixed-effects model) for fatal stroke (8 studies), and 1.25 (95% CI, 1.11-1.40; P for heterogeneity = .34; fixed-effects model) for ischemic stroke (6 studies). The estimated absolute risk differences associated with depression were 106 cases for total stroke, 53 cases for ischemic stroke, and 22 cases for fatal stroke per 100,000 individuals per year. The increased risk of total stroke associated with depression was consistent across most subgroups.Depression is associated with a significantly increased risk of stroke morbidity and mortality.

Project description:BackgroundTargeted public health response to obesity in Nigeria is relatively low due to limited epidemiologic understanding. We aimed to estimate nationwide and sub-national prevalence of overweight and obesity in the adult Nigerian population.MethodsMEDLINE, EMBASE, Global Health, and Africa Journals Online were systematically searched for relevant epidemiologic studies in Nigeria published on or after 01 January 1990. We assessed quality of studies and conducted a random-effects meta-analysis on extracted crude prevalence rates. Using a meta-regression model, we estimated the number of overweight and obese persons in Nigeria in the year 2020.ResultsFrom 35 studies (n = 52,816), the pooled crude prevalence rates of overweight and obesity in Nigeria were 25.0% (95% confidence interval, CI: 20.4-29.6) and 14.3% (95% CI: 12.0-15.5), respectively. The prevalence in women was higher compared to men at 25.5% (95% CI: 17.1-34.0) versus 25.2% (95% CI: 18.0-32.4) for overweight, and 19.8% (95% CI: 3.9-25.6) versus 12.9% (95% CI: 9.1-16.7) for obesity, respectively. The pooled mean body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference were 25.6 kg/m2 and 86.5 cm, respectively. We estimated that there were 21 million and 12 million overweight and obese persons in the Nigerian population aged 15 years or more in 2020, accounting for an age-adjusted prevalence of 20.3% and 11.6%, respectively. The prevalence rates of overweight and obesity were consistently higher among urban dwellers (27.2% and 14.4%) compared to rural dwellers (16.4% and 12.1%).ConclusionsOur findings suggest a high prevalence of overweight and obesity in Nigeria. This is marked in urban Nigeria and among women, which may in part be due to widespread sedentary lifestyles and a surge in processed food outlets, largely reflective of a trend across many African settings.KEY MESSAGESAbout 12 million persons in Nigeria were estimated to be obese in 2020, with prevalence considerably higher among women. Nutritional and epidemiological transitions driven by demographic changes, rising income, urbanization, unhealthy lifestyles, and consumption of highly processed diets appear to be driving an obesity epidemic in the country.

Project description:BackgroundObservational studies have suggested a complex relationship between alcohol consumption and stroke, dependent on sex, type of stroke and outcome (morbidity vs. mortality). We undertook a systematic review and a meta-analysis of studies assessing the association between levels of average alcohol consumption and relative risks of ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes separately by sex and outcome. This meta-analysis is the first to explicitly separate morbidity and mortality of alcohol-attributable stroke and thus has implications for public health and prevention.MethodsUsing Medical Subject Headings (alcohol drinking, ethanol, cerebrovascular accident, cerebrovascular disorders, and intracranial embolism and thrombosis and the key word stroke), a literature search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, CABS, WHOlist, SIGLE, ETOH, and Web of Science databases between 1980 to June 2009 was performed followed by manual searches of bibliographies of key retrieved articles. From twenty-six observational studies (cohort or case-control) with ischemic or hemorrhagic strokes the relative risk or odds ratios or hazard ratios of stroke associated with alcohol consumption were reported; alcohol consumption was quantified; and life time abstention (manually estimated where data for current abstainers were given) was used as the reference group. Two reviewers independently extracted the information on study design, participant characteristics, level of alcohol consumption, stroke outcome, control for potential confounding factors, risk estimates and key criteria of study quality using a standardized protocol.ResultsThe dose-response relationship for hemorrhagic stroke had monotonically increasing risk for increasing consumption, whereas ischemic stroke showed a curvilinear relationship, with a protective effect of alcohol for low to moderate consumption, and increased risk for higher exposure. For more than 3 drinks on average/day, in general women had higher risks than men, and the risks for mortality were higher compared to the risks for morbidity.ConclusionsThese results indicate that heavy alcohol consumption increases the relative risk of any stroke while light or moderate alcohol consumption may be protective against ischemic stroke. Preventive measures that should be initiated are discussed.

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Estimating morbidity due to stroke in Nigeria: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

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Estimating morbidity due to stroke in Nigeria: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

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