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Increasing metabolic co-morbidities are associated with higher risk of advanced fibrosis in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

ABSTRACT: Hepatic fibrosis and advanced fibrosis in particular is the strongest predictor of liver-related outcomes and mortality among nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) patients. Understanding prevalence and predictors of NASH with advanced fibrosis is critical for healthcare resource planning. Using a large U.S. clinical laboratory database from 10/1/2017-9/30/2018, adults negative for hepatitis B and hepatitis C and after excluding for alcoholic liver disease and pregnancy were evaluated for prevalence of F3 and F4 fibrosis using a systematic algorithm of five fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) criteria: Criteria 1 (?F3: >2.67), Criteria 2 (2.674.12), Criteria 3 (2.673.15), Criteria 4 (3.253.5), Criteria 5 (3.254.12). Metabolic co-morbidities evaluated included decreased high density lipoprotein (<40 mg/dL men, <50 mg/dL women), high triglycerides (?150 mg/dL), elevated hemoglobin A1C (?6.5%). Parallel analyses of patients with specific NAFLD/NASH ICD-9/10 codes from 10/1/2013-9/30/2018 were performed. Multivariate logistic regression models evaluated for predictors of ?F3 fibrosis. Among patients with NAFLD/NASH ICD-9/10 codes, ?F3 prevalence ranged from 4.35% - 6.90%, and F4 prevalence ranged from 2.52%- 3.67%. Increasing metabolic co-morbidities was associated with higher risk of ?F3 fibrosis. Compared to NASH patients without metabolic co-morbidities, NASH with four concurrent metabolic co-morbidities had higher risk of ?F3 (OR 1.56, 95% CI 1.40-1.73, p<0.001). In summary, prevalence of NASH with advanced fibrosis among U.S. adults was as high as 6.90% and prevalence of NASH with cirrhosis was as high as 3.67%, representing 5.18 million and 2.75 million, respectively, when using an estimate of 75 million U.S. adults with NAFLD. Co-morbid metabolic abnormalities were associated with higher risk of advanced fibrosis among NASH patients.

SUBMITTER: Wong RJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6675045 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Increasing metabolic co-morbidities are associated with higher risk of advanced fibrosis in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

Wong Robert J RJ Tran Tram T Kaufman Harvey H Niles Justin J Gish Robert R

PloS one 20190801 8

Hepatic fibrosis and advanced fibrosis in particular is the strongest predictor of liver-related outcomes and mortality among nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) patients. Understanding prevalence and predictors of NASH with advanced fibrosis is critical for healthcare resource planning. Using a large U.S. clinical laboratory database from 10/1/2017-9/30/2018, adults negative for hepatitis B and hepatitis C and after excluding for alcoholic liver disease and pregnancy were evaluated for prevalen ...[more]

PMID: 31369606

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Project description:ImportanceNonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is projected to be the leading cause of liver transplantation by 2020. Advanced fibrosis (stage F3-F4) on liver biopsy independently predicts all-cause and liver-related mortality in NASH. There are no known efficacious treatments for advanced fibrosis related to NASH. Thiazolidinedione therapy has been extensively evaluated in NASH, and new randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of its efficacy have been completed.ObjectiveTo synthesize the evidence about the association of thiazolidinedione therapy with advanced liver fibrosis in NASH.Data sourcesMEDLINE, Ovid MEDLINE In-Process, Cochrane Library, EMBASE, clinicaltrials.gov, PubMed, and Scopus databases (without language restrictions), as well as other registries and scientific meeting presentations, from database inception through August 15, 2016.Study selectionRandomized clinical trials evaluating the effect of thiazolidinedione therapy on histologic features of the liver in biopsy-proven NASH.Data extraction and synthesisTwo investigators extracted study data independently and in duplicate and rated the risk of bias using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary outcome was a dichotomous improvement in advanced fibrosis on liver biopsy, defined as an improvement in fibrosis stage from F3-F4 to F0-F2. Secondary outcomes were at least a 1-point improvement in fibrosis of any stage and NASH resolution. This meta-analysis also evaluated adverse effects of thiazolidinedione therapy, including weight gain, lower limb edema, congestive heart failure, bone fractures, cancer, and anemia. With the use of random-effects models, dichotomous variables are presented as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs, and continuous variables are presented as weighted mean differences with 95% CIs.ResultsThis study analyzed 8 RCTs (5 evaluating pioglitazone use and 3 evaluating rosiglitazone maleate use) enrolling 516 patients with biopsy-proven NASH for a duration of 6 to 24 months. Among all studies combined, thiazolidinedione therapy was associated with improved advanced fibrosis (OR, 3.15; 95% CI, 1.25-7.93; P = .01; I2 = 0%), fibrosis of any stage (OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.12-2.47; P = .01; I2 = 0%), and NASH resolution (OR, 3.22; 95% CI, 2.17-4.79; P < .001; I2 = 0%). Analyses restricted to RCTs enrolling patients without diabetes yielded similar results for improvement in advanced fibrosis (OR, 2.95; 95% CI, 1.04-10.90; P = .02; I2 = 0%), improvement in fibrosis of any stage (OR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.02-3.03; P = .02; I2 = 0%), and NASH resolution (OR, 3.40; 95% CI, 1.95-5.93; P < .001; I2 = 0%). All effects were accounted for by pioglitazone use. Weight gain and lower limb edema occurred more frequently with thiazolidinedione therapy (initial body weight +2.70%; 95% CI, 1.96%-4.34%; P = .001). The small sample size of included RCTs prevented evaluation of more serious adverse effects of thiazolidinedione therapy.Conclusions and relevancePioglitazone use improves advanced fibrosis in NASH, even in patients without diabetes. Whether this finding translates to improvement in risk for clinical outcomes requires further study.

Project description:UnlabelledThe characteristics of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in elderly patients are unknown. Therefore, we aimed to examine the differences between elderly and nonelderly patients with NAFLD and to identify determinants of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and advanced fibrosis (bridging fibrosis or cirrhosis) in elderly patients. This is a cross-sectional analysis of adult participants who were prospectively enrolled in the NASH Clinical Research Network studies. Participants were included based on availability of the centrally reviewed liver histology data within 1 year of enrollment, resulting in 61 elderly (age ≥65 years) and 735 nonelderly (18-64 years) participants. The main outcomes were the presence of NASH and advanced fibrosis. Compared to nonelderly patients with NAFLD, elderly patients had a higher prevalence of NASH (56% versus 72%, P = 0.02), and advanced fibrosis (25% versus 44%, P = 0.002). Compared to nonelderly patients with NASH, elderly patients with NASH had higher rates of advanced fibrosis (35% versus 52%, P = 0.03), as well as other features of severe liver disease including the presence of ballooning degeneration, acidophil bodies, megamitochondria, and Mallory-Denk bodies (P ≤ 0.05 for each). In multiple logistic regression analyses, independent determinants of NASH in elderly patients included higher aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (odds ratio [OR] = 1.12, P = 0.007) and lower platelets (OR = 0.98, P = 0.02); and independent determinants of advanced fibrosis included higher AST (OR = 1.08, P = 0.007), lower alanine aminotransferase value (OR = 0.91, P = 0.002), and an increased odds of having low high-density lipoprotein (OR = 8.35, P = 0.02).ConclusionElderly patients are more likely to have NASH and advanced fibrosis than nonelderly patients with NAFLD. Liver biopsy may be considered in elderly patients and treatment should be initiated in those with NASH and advanced fibrosis.

Project description:BackgroundNonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), advanced fibrosis, and subsequent cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma are becoming the most common etiology for liver failure and liver transplantation; however, they can only be diagnosed at these potentially reversible stages with a liver biopsy, which is associated with various complications and high expenses. Knowing the difference between the more benign isolated steatosis and the more severe NASH and cirrhosis informs the physician regarding the need for more aggressive management.ObjectiveWe intend to explore the feasibility of using machine learning methods for noninvasive diagnosis of NASH and advanced liver fibrosis and compare machine learning methods with existing quantitative risk scores.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis of clinical data from a cohort of 492 patients with biopsy-proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), NASH, or advanced fibrosis. We systematically compared 5 widely used machine learning algorithms for the prediction of NAFLD, NASH, and fibrosis using 2 variable encoding strategies. Then, we compared the machine learning methods with 3 existing quantitative scores and identified the important features for prediction using the SHapley Additive exPlanations method.ResultsThe best machine learning method, gradient boosting (GB), achieved the best area under the curve scores of 0.9043, 0.8166, and 0.8360 for NAFLD, NASH, and advanced fibrosis, respectively. GB also outperformed 3 existing risk scores for fibrosis. Among the variables, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), triglyceride (TG), and BMI were the important risk factors for the prediction of NAFLD, whereas aspartate transaminase (AST), ALT, and TG were the important variables for the prediction of NASH, and AST, hyperglycemia (A1c), and high-density lipoprotein were the important variables for predicting advanced fibrosis.ConclusionsIt is feasible to use machine learning methods for predicting NAFLD, NASH, and advanced fibrosis using routine clinical data, which potentially can be used to better identify patients who still need liver biopsy. Additionally, understanding the relative importance and differences in predictors could lead to improved understanding of the disease process as well as support for identifying novel treatment options.

Project description:Limited evidence exists on the clinical and economic burden of advanced fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NAFLD/NASH) due to the invasiveness of liver biopsies for accurately staging liver disease. The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score allows for noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis by using clinical and laboratory data alone. This study aimed to characterize the comorbidity burden, health care resource use (HCRU), and costs among patients with NAFLD/NASH with FIB-4-defined F3 (bridging fibrosis) and F4 (compensated cirrhosis) fibrosis. Using the Optum Research Database, a retrospective cohort study was conducted among 251,725 commercially insured adult patients with ≥1 NAFLD/NASH diagnosis from January 1, 2008, to August 31, 2016, and laboratory data required to calculate FIB-4 scores. Five criteria using varying FIB-4 score cutoffs were identified based on expert clinical opinion and published literature. Date of the first valid FIB-4 score marked the index date. Mean annual HCRU and costs were calculated during the pre-index and post-index periods. The prevalence of FIB-4-based F3 and F4 fibrosis was 0.40%-2.72% and 1.03%-1.61%, respectively. Almost 50% of patients identified with FIB-4-based F3 or F4 had type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, or renal impairment. Total all-cause health care costs increased significantly from pre-index to post-index for patients with FIB-4-based F3 fibrosis across most criteria (17%-29% increase) and patients with FIB-4-based F4 fibrosis across all criteria (47%-48% increase). Inpatient costs were the primary drivers of this increment. Conclusion: Significant increases in HCRU and costs were observed following FIB-4-based identification of F3 and F4 fibrosis among U.S. adults with NAFLD/NASH. These data suggest the importance of early identification and management of NAFLD/NASH that may halt or reduce the risk of disease progression and limit the underlying burden.

Project description:Background Liver biopsy is the reference standard to diagnose nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) but is invasive with potential complications. Purpose To evaluate molecular MRI with type 1 collagen-specific probe EP-3533 and allysine-targeted fibrogenesis probe Gd-Hyd, MR elastography, and native T1 to characterize fibrosis and to assess treatment response in a rat model of NASH. Materials and Methods MRI was performed prospectively (June-November 2018) in six groups of male Wistar rats (a) age- and (b) weight-matched animals received standard chow (n = 12 per group); (c) received choline-deficient, l-amino acid-defined, high-fat diet (CDAHFD) for 6 weeks or (d) 9 weeks (n = 8 per group); (e) were fed 6 weeks of CDAHFD and switched to standard chow for 3 weeks (n = 12); (f) were fed CDAHFD for 9 weeks with daily treatment of elafibranor beginning at week 6 (n = 14). Differences in imaging measurements and tissue analyses among groups were tested with one-way analysis of variance. The ability of each imaging measurement to stage fibrosis was quantified by using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with quantitative digital pathology (collagen proportionate area [CPA]) as reference standard. Optimal cutoff values for distinguishing advanced fibrosis were used to assess treatment response. Results AUC for distinguishing fibrotic (CPA >4.8%) from nonfibrotic (CPA ≤4.8%) livers was 0.95 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.91, 1.00) for EP-3533, followed by native T1, Gd-Hyd, and MR elastography with AUCs of 0.90 (95% CI: 0.83, 0.98), 0.84 (95% CI: 0.74, 0.95), and 0.65 (95% CI: 0.51, 0.79), respectively. AUCs for discriminating advanced fibrosis (CPA >10.3%) were 0.86 (95% CI: 0.76, 0.97), 0.96 (95% CI: 0.90, 1.01), 0.84 (95% CI: 0.70, 0.98), and 0.74 (95% CI: 0.63, 0.86) for EP-3533, Gd-Hyd, MR elastography, and native T1, respectively. Gd-Hyd MRI had the highest accuracy (24 of 26, 92%; 95% CI: 75%, 99%) in identifying responders and nonresponders in the treated groups compared with MR elastography (23 of 26, 88%; 95% CI: 70%, 98%), EP-3533 (20 of 26, 77%; 95% CI: 56%, 91%), and native T1 (14 of 26, 54%; 95% CI: 33%, 73%). Conclusion Collagen-targeted molecular MRI most accurately detected early onset of fibrosis, whereas the fibrogenesis probe Gd-Hyd proved most accurate for detecting treatment response. © RSNA, 2020 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Project description:ObjectivesSoluble CD163 (sCD163), a marker of Kupffer cell activation detectable in serum, correlates with inflammation and fibrosis in chronic viral hepatitis, but its role in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is unknown. We hypothesized that sCD163 would correlate with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity and fibrosis.MethodsLiver biopsies and serum were obtained from 145 obese subjects undergoing gastric bypass surgery. Subjects were divided into four groups based on fibrosis stage and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score (NAS); Group 1: F0, NAS=0; Group 2: F<2, 0<NAS<5; Group 3: NAS≥5, F<3; or Group 4: F≥3, any NAS. Serum sCD163 and the monocyte/macrophage marker sCD14 were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Relationships between sCD163, sCD14, fibrosis stage, and NAS were examined. Area under the receiver operating charateristic for the diagnosis of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis based on the Clinical Research Network definition was calculated.ResultssCD163 increased with progressive liver histology, with lowest values in normal histology and highest levels in those with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and advanced fibrosis (Group 1: 552 ng/ml, Group 2: 721 ng/ml, Group 3: 803 ng/ml, and Group 4:1,031; P=0.001). sCD14 also differed significantly across groups (Group 1: 1,877 ng/ml, Group 2: 1632 ng/ml, Group 3: 1,706 ng/ml, and Group 4: 2111; P=0.008, respectively). sCD163 correlated with steatosis grade (P<0.001), lobular inflammation (P=0.033), and hepatocyte ballooning (P<0.001). In a multivariable ordered logistic regression model, there was a significant association between every 100 ng/ml increase in sCD163 and higher fibrosis stage, with an odds ratio of 1.16 (95% confidence interval 1.02-1.31), P=0.020. The odds ratios of the association between every 100 ng/ml increase in sCD163 and higher NAS was 1.17 (95% confidence interval 1.04-1.32), P=0.010. A sCD163-based predictive score demonstrated an area under the receiver operating charateristic of 0.70 (95% confidence interval: 0.58-0.82) for the diagnosis of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Soluble CD14 did not correlate with fibrosis stage or NAS.ConclusionsIn obese subjects, serum sCD163, but not sCD14, correlated with fibrosis stage and NAS. These data support a role for activated Kupffer cells in the pathogenesis of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and fibrosis, and suggest potential clinical utility for assessment of sCD163 levels.

Dataset Information

Increasing metabolic co-morbidities are associated with higher risk of advanced fibrosis in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

Publications

Increasing metabolic co-morbidities are associated with higher risk of advanced fibrosis in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

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