Incidence of Lyme disease in the UK: a population-based cohort study.
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ABSTRACT: Objectives
The purpose of this study was to estimate the annual incidence of Lyme disease (LD) in the UK.Design
This was a retrospective descriptive cohort study.Setting
Study data were extracted from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD), a primary care database covering about 8% of the population in the UK in 658 primary care practices.Participants
Cohort of 8.4 million individuals registered with general practitioners with 52.4 million person-years of observation between 1 January 2001 and 31 December 2012.Primary and secondary outcome measures
LD was identified from recorded medical codes, notes indicating LD, laboratory tests and use of specific antibiotics. Annual incidence rates and the estimated total number of LD cases were calculated separately for each UK region.Results
The number of cases of LD increased rapidly over the years 2001 to 2012, leading to an estimated incidence rate of 12.1 (95% CI 11.1 to 13.2) per 100 000 individuals per year and a UK total of 7738 LD cases in 2012. LD was detected in every UK region with highest incidence rates and largest number of cases in Scotland followed by South West and South England. If the number of cases has continued to rise since the end of the study period, then the number in the UK in 2019 could be over 8000. : Conclusions : The incidence of LD is about threefold higher than previously estimated, and people are at risk throughout the UK. These results should lead to increased awareness of the need for preventive measures.Trial registration number
This study was approved by the Independent Scientific Advisory Committee for CPRD research (Protocol number 13_210R).
SUBMITTER: Cairns V
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6677952 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BACKGROUND:Primary care is likely to see the highest number of Lyme disease patients. Despite this, there is limited published data regarding Lyme disease patients accessing primary care in the UK. We aim to describe trends in the incidence of a new diagnosis, and demographics of patients identified in a primary care electronic health database. METHODS:A descriptive epidemiological study of Lyme disease coded patients in UK primary care. 3725 patients coded for Lyme disease during 1998-2016 were identified within The Health Improvement Network (THIN). Incidence rates and the demographics of cases identified were described. Poisson regression was used to analyse socio-demographic characteristics of the cases. RESULTS:There was an increase in annual crude incidence rates, peaking in 2015 at 5.47 (95% CI 4.85-6.14) cases per 100,000 population per year. Multivariable analysis showed there were significant differences in the ages of those affected, incidence of a new diagnosis rose as deprivation levels improved, and that there was a higher incidence of cases living in rural areas compared to urban areas. There was no significant difference between sexes for the UK. Cases were significantly more likely to identify with being white compared to the national population. CONCLUSIONS:An increasing incidence of patients newly coded with Lyme disease related Read codes was identified using data from a UK national primary care database. By comparing these incidence figures with national laboratory-confirmed surveillance data, a multiplication factor of 2.35 (95%CI 1.81-2.88) can be calculated in order to estimate the annual number of cases seen in primary care. The significant socio-demographic variables associated with a Lyme disease diagnosis likely reflect a complex interplay of socio-economic issues, which needs to be further explored. Future work is needed to examine the treatment and management of patients within this database.
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Project description:ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to evaluate the incidence of diabetes among patients with PsA and RA in the general population.MethodsWe conducted a cohort study using an electronic medical records database representative of the UK general population (1986-2010). We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for incident diabetes in PsA, psoriasis and RA cohorts compared with age- and sex-matched comparison cohorts without the corresponding conditions, adjusting for BMI, smoking, alcohol use, co-morbidities and glucocorticoids at baseline.ResultsCohorts included 4196 persons with PsA, 59 281 with psoriasis and 11 158 with RA, with mean follow-up times of 5.9, 5.8 and 5.5 years, respectively. Incidence rates for diabetes were 7.3, 6.4 and 6.3 cases per 1000 person-years among individuals with PsA, psoriasis and RA, respectively. Age- and sex-matched HRs for diabetes were 1.72 (95% CI 1.46, 2.02) in PsA, 1.39 (95% CI 1.32, 1.45) in psoriasis and 1.12 (95% CI 1.01, 1.25) in RA. After adjustment for BMI, smoking and alcohol, the HRs were attenuated substantially (1.43, 1.24 and 1.00, respectively). With further adjustment for baseline glucocorticoid use and co-morbidities, the HRs were 1.33 (1.09, 1.61) in PsA, 1.21 (1.15, 1.27) in psoriasis and 0.94 (0.84, 1.06) in RA.ConclusionThis general population study suggests an increased incidence of diabetes in PsA and RA, which is substantially explained by obesity and lifestyle factors. These findings support the importance of managing such factors in PsA and RA patients.
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Project description:Background: There is a need for updated incidence rates (IRs) of Lyme borreliosis (LB) in Europe, including the Netherlands. We estimated LB IRs stratified by geographic area, year, age, sex, immunocompromised status, and socioeconomic status (SES). Methods: All subjects registered in the PHARMO General Practitioner (GP) Database without prior diagnosis of LB or disseminated LB and having ≥1 year of continuous database enrolment were included. IRs and corresponding confidence intervals (CIs) of GP-recorded LB, erythema migrans (EM), and disseminated LB were estimated during the period 2015‒2019. Results: We identified 14,794 events (suspected, probable, or confirmed) with a diagnostic code for LB that included 8219 with a recorded clinical manifestation: 7985 (97%) with EM and 234 (3%) with disseminated LB. National annual LB IRs were relatively consistent, ranging from 111 (95% CI 106‒115) in 2019 to 131 (95% CI 126‒136) in 2018 per 100,000 person-years. Incidence of LB showed a bimodal age distribution, with peak IRs observed among subjects aged 5‒14 and 60‒69 years in men and women. Higher LB incidence was found in subjects who were residents of the provinces of Drenthe and Overijssel, immunocompromised, or of lower SES. Similar patterns were observed for EM and disseminated LB. Conclusions: Our findings confirm that LB incidence remains substantial throughout the Netherlands with no indication of decline in the past 5 years. Foci in two provinces and among vulnerable populations suggest potential initial target groups for preventive strategies such as vaccination.
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