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Race and risk of subsequent aggressive breast cancer following ductal carcinoma in situ.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:General populations of black women have a higher risk of developing breast cancer negative for both estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) in comparison with white counterparts. Racial differences remain unknown in the risk of developing aggressive invasive breast cancer (IBC) that is characterized by negativity for both ER and PR (ER-PR-) or higher 21-gene recurrence scores after ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS). METHODS:This study identified 163,892 women (10.5% black, 9.8% Asian, and 8.6% Hispanic) with incident DCIS between 1990 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data sets. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazards ratios (HRs) of subsequent IBC classified by the hormone receptor status and 21-gene recurrence scores. RESULTS:During a median follow-up of 90 months, 8333 women developed IBC. In comparison with white women, the adjusted HR of subsequent ER-PR- breast cancer was 1.86 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.57-2.20) for black women (absolute 10-year difference, 2.2%) and 1.40 (95% CI, 1.14-1.71) for Asian women (absolute 10-year difference, 0.4%); this was stronger than the associations for ER+ and/or PR+ subtypes (Pheterogeneity = .0004). The 21-gene recurrence scores of subsequent early-stage, ER+ IBCs varied by race/ethnicity (Pheterogeneity = .057); black women were more likely than white women to have a recurrence score of 26 or higher (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.00-1.92). No significant difference was observed in the risks of subsequent IBC subtypes for Hispanic women. CONCLUSIONS:Black and Asian women with DCIS had higher risks of developing biologically aggressive IBC than white counterparts. This should be considered in treatment decisions for black and Asian patients with DCIS.

SUBMITTER: Liu Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6717007 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundStudies have failed to identify characteristics of women who have been diagnosed with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) and have a high or low risk of subsequent invasive cancer.MethodsWe conducted a nested case-control study in a population-based cohort of 1162 women who were diagnosed with DCIS and treated by lumpectomy alone from 1983 to 1994. We collected clinical characteristics and information on subsequent tumors, defined as invasive breast cancer or DCIS diagnosed in the ipsilateral breast containing the initial DCIS lesion or at a regional or distant site greater than 6 months after initial treatment of DCIS (N = 324). We also conducted standardized pathology reviews and immunohistochemical staining for the estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor, Ki67 antigen, p53, p16, epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (ERBB2, HER2/neu oncoprotein), and cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) on the initial paraffin-embedded DCIS tissue. Competing risk models were used to determine factors associated with risk of subsequent invasive cancer vs DCIS, and cumulative incidence survival functions were used to estimate 8-year risk.ResultsFactors associated with subsequent invasive cancer differed from those associated with subsequent DCIS. Eight-year risk of subsequent invasive cancer was statistically significantly (P = .018) higher for women with initial DCIS lesions that were detected by palpation or that were p16, COX-2, and Ki67 triple positive (p16(+)COX-2(+)Ki67(+)) (19.6%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 18.0% to 21.3%) than for women with initial lesions that were detected by mammography and were p16, COX-2, and Ki67 triple negative (p16(-)COX-2(-)Ki67(-)) (4.1%, 95% CI = 3.4% to 5.0%). In a multivariable model, DCIS lesions that were p16(+)COX-2(+)Ki67(+) or those detected by palpation were statistically significantly associated with subsequent invasive cancer, but nuclear grade was not. Eight-year risk of subsequent DCIS was highest for women with DCIS lesions that had disease-free margins of 1 mm or greater combined with either ER(-)ERBB2(+)Ki67(+) or p16(+)COX-2(-)Ki67(+) status (23.6%, 95% CI = 18.1% to 34.0%).ConclusionBiomarkers can identify which women who were initially diagnosed with DCIS are at high or low risk of subsequent invasive cancer, whereas histopathology information cannot.

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Race and risk of subsequent aggressive breast cancer following ductal carcinoma in situ.

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