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Prediction of Onset of Substance-Induced Psychotic Disorder and Its Progression to Schizophrenia in a Swedish National Sample.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVE:The objective of this study was to clarify the etiology of substance-induced psychotic disorder and its progression to schizophrenia in a Swedish national sample. METHODS:Individuals with a registration of substance-induced psychotic disorder between 1997 and 2015 in national medical registries (N=7,606) were followed up for a mean of 84 months. Data from medical, criminal, and pharmacy registries on first-degree through third-degree relatives were used to calculate familial risk scores for nonaffective psychosis, drug abuse, and alcohol use disorder. RESULTS:Individuals with substance-induced psychotic disorder had large elevations in standardized familial risk scores for drug abuse (+1.09, 95% CI=1.02, 1.15) and alcohol use disorder (+0.98, 95% CI=0.93, 1.03) and modest elevations for nonaffective psychosis (+0.35, 95% CI=0.30, 0.41). The cumulative risk for progression to schizophrenia was 11.3%; it was lowest for alcohol-induced and highest for cannabis-induced psychotic disorder, and it was predicted by early age at diagnosis of substance-induced psychotic disorder, male sex, and further registrations for episodes of drug abuse, alcohol use disorder, and substance-induced psychotic disorder. A risk prediction model found that 47% of individuals who converted to schizophrenia were in the upper 20% of risk. Familial risk scores for drug abuse and alcohol use disorder did not significantly discriminate those who converted to schizophrenia from those who did not, while familial risk score for nonaffective psychosis did (0.67, 95% CI=0.40, 0.95, versus 0.33, 95% CI=0.28, 0.39). Familial risk scores for nonaffective psychosis were indistinguishable between individuals with schizophrenia with and without prior substance-induced psychosis. Assignment of early retirement by the Swedish Social Insurance Agency strongly discriminated between individuals with substance-induced psychotic disorder with and without later schizophrenia. CONCLUSIONS:Substance-induced psychotic disorder appears to result from substantial drug exposure in individuals at high familial risk for substance abuse and moderately elevated familial risk for psychosis. Familial risk for psychosis, but not substance abuse, predicts progression from substance-induced psychosis to schizophrenia. Schizophrenia following substance-induced psychosis is likely a drug-precipitated disorder in highly vulnerable individuals, not a syndrome predominantly caused by drug exposure.

SUBMITTER: Kendler KS

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6718312 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of Onset of Substance-Induced Psychotic Disorder and Its Progression to Schizophrenia in a Swedish National Sample.

Kendler Kenneth S KS Ohlsson Henrik H Sundquist Jan J Sundquist Kristina K

The American journal of psychiatry 20190506 9

<h4>Objective</h4>The objective of this study was to clarify the etiology of substance-induced psychotic disorder and its progression to schizophrenia in a Swedish national sample.<h4>Methods</h4>Individuals with a registration of substance-induced psychotic disorder between 1997 and 2015 in national medical registries (N=7,606) were followed up for a mean of 84 months. Data from medical, criminal, and pharmacy registries on first-degree through third-degree relatives were used to calculate fami ...[more]

PMID: 31055966

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Project description:ImportanceFamily and genetic approaches have traditionally been used to evaluate our diagnostic concepts. Using a novel method, the family genetic risk score (FGRS), can we validate the genetic architecture of major affective and psychotic disorders in a national Swedish sample?ObjectiveTo determine whether FGRSs, calculated for the entire Swedish population, can elucidate the genetic relationship between major affective and psychotic disorders and clarify the association of genetic risk with important clinical features of disease.Design, setting, and participantsThis cohort study included the native Swedish population born from January 1, 1950, through December 31, 1995, and followed up through December 31, 2017. Data were collected from Swedish population-based primary care, specialist, and hospital registers, including age at first registration for a psychiatric diagnosis and number of registrations for major depression, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia. Data were analyzed from October 15, 2020, to February 2, 2021.ExposuresFGRSs for major depression, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia calculated from morbidity risks for disorders in first- through fifth-degree relatives, controlling for cohabitation.Main outcomes and measuresDiagnoses of major depression, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, schizoaffective disorder, and other nonaffective psychoses (ONAPs), age at registration, and number of registrations for major depression, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia. Diagnostic conversion of major depression to bipolar disorder and ONAPs to schizophrenia was assessed by Cox proportional hazards regression models.ResultsThe cohort included 4 129 002 individuals (51.4% male) with a mean (SD) age at follow-up of 45.5 (13.4) years. Mean FGRSs for major depression, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia produced distinct patterns for major depression, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, schizoaffective disorder, and ONAPs with large separations between disorders. In major depression, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia, high FGRSs were associated with early age at onset and high rates of recurrence: a high mean FGRS for bipolar disorder was associated with early age at onset (younger than 25 years, 0.11; 95% CI, 0.11-0.12) and higher recurrence (8 or more registrations, 0.11; 95% CI, 0.11-0.12) in major depression. The schizophrenia FGRS was separately associated with psychotic and nonpsychotic forms of major depression (0.10; 95% CI, 0.06-0.14 vs 0.03; 95% CI, 0.02-0.03) and bipolar disorder (0.22; 95% CI, 0.16-0.28 vs 0.11; 95% CI, 0.09-0.12). The bipolar disorder and schizophrenia FGRSs were associated with conversion from major depression to bipolar disorder (eg, hazard ratio, 1.70 [95% CI, 1.63-1.78] for high vs low bipolar FGRS) and ONAP to schizophrenia (eg, hazard ratio, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.27-1.51] for high vs low schizophrenia FGRS).Conclusions and relevanceIn this Swedish cohort study, the FGRSs for major depression, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia for the Swedish population clearly separated major affective and psychotic disorders from each other in a larger and more representative patient sample than previously possible. These findings provide possible validation, from a genetic perspective, for these major diagnostic categories. These results replicated and extended prior observations on more limited samples of the association of FGRS with age at onset, recurrence, psychotic subtypes, and diagnostic conversions.

Project description:Neuropsychological impairment is heterogeneous in psychosis. The association of intracranial volume (ICV) and total brain volume (TBV) with cognition suggests brain structure abnormalities in psychosis will covary with the severity of cognitive impairment. We tested the following hypotheses: (1) brain structure abnormalities will be more extensive in neuropsychologically impaired psychosis patients; (2) psychosis patients with premorbid cognitive limitations will show evidence of hypoplasia (ie, smaller ICV); and (3) psychosis patients with evidence of cognitive decline will demonstrate atrophy (ie, smaller TBV, but normal ICV).One hundred thirty-one individuals with psychosis and 97 healthy subjects underwent structural magnetic resonance imaging and neuropsychological testing. Patients were divided into neuropsychologically normal and impaired groups. Impaired patients were further subdivided into deteriorated and compromised groups if estimated premorbid intellect was average or below average, respectively. ICV and TBV were compared across groups. Localized brain volumes were qualitatively examined using voxel-based morphometry.Compared to healthy subjects, neuropsychologically impaired patients exhibited smaller TBV, reduced grey matter volume in frontal, temporal, and subcortical brain regions, and widespread white matter volume loss. Neuropsychologically compromised patients had smaller ICV relative to healthy subjects, and neuropsychologically normal and deteriorated patient groups, but relatively normal TBV. Deteriorated patients exhibited smaller TBV compared to healthy subjects, but relatively normal ICV. Unexpectedly, TBV, adjusted for ICV, was reduced in neuropsychologically normal patients.Patients with long-standing cognitive limitations exhibit evidence of early cerebral hypoplasia, whereas neuropsychologically normal and deteriorated patients show evidence of brain tissue loss consistent with progression or later cerebral dysmaturation.

Dataset Information

Prediction of Onset of Substance-Induced Psychotic Disorder and Its Progression to Schizophrenia in a Swedish National Sample.

Publications

Prediction of Onset of Substance-Induced Psychotic Disorder and Its Progression to Schizophrenia in a Swedish National Sample.

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