Dataset Information

Effects of Prevalent and Incident Chronic Kidney Disease on Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a well-known complication of atrial fibrillation (AF) but how the incident CKD affects the clinical outcomes amongst AF patients is not clear.

Methods

Our study data were retrieved from National Health Insurance Research Data for the period from 1996 to 2013. Incident AF patients were classified as non-CKD group (n = 7272), prevalent CKD group (n = 2104), and incident CKD group (n = 1507) based on administrative codes. Patients with prevalent CKD were those participants who already had CKD ahead of the index date of AF, whereas patients with incident CKD were those who developed CKD after the index date and the remaining patients were designated as non-CKD. Multivariate-adjusted time-dependent Cox models were conducted to estimate the associations of CKD status with the outcomes of interest, including heart failure (HF), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke or systemic thromboembolism, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular (CV) mortality, expressed as hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).

Results

The mean age was 70.8 ± 13.3 years, and 55.4% of the studied population were men. In Cox models, the adjusted rate of HF, AMI, all-cause mortality, and CV mortality was greater in the prevalent and incident CKD groups, ranging from 1.31-fold to 4.28-fold, compared with non-CKD group. Notably, incident CKD was associated with higher rates of HF (HR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.67-1.93), stroke or systemic thromboembolism (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.22-1.45), AMI (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.25-1.71), all-cause mortality (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.68-1.85), and CV mortality (HR, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.92-2.36) compared with prevalent CKD.

Conclusion

The presence of CKD was associated with higher risks of subsequent adverse clinical outcomes in patients with AF. Our study was even highlighted by the finding that incident CKD was linked to higher risks of outcome events compared with prevalent CKD.

SUBMITTER: Lin HY

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6723547 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Effects of Prevalent and Incident Chronic Kidney Disease on Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation.

Lin Hsuan-Yu HY Kor Chew-Teng CT Hsieh Yao-Peng YP Chiu Ping-Fang PF

Journal of clinical medicine 20190807 8

<h4>Background</h4>Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a well-known complication of atrial fibrillation (AF) but how the incident CKD affects the clinical outcomes amongst AF patients is not clear.<h4>Methods</h4>Our study data were retrieved from National Health Insurance Research Data for the period from 1996 to 2013. Incident AF patients were classified as non-CKD group (<i>n</i> = 7272), prevalent CKD group (<i>n</i> = 2104), and incident CKD group (<i>n</i> = 1507) based on administrative codes ...[more]

PMID: 31394871

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Project description:Background and objectivesAtrial fibrillation (AF) is common in CKD and associated with poor kidney and cardiovascular outcomes. Prediction models developed using novel methods may be useful to identify patients with CKD at highest risk of incident AF. We compared a previously published prediction model with models developed using machine learning methods in a CKD population.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsWe studied 2766 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study without prior AF with complete cardiac biomarker (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T) and clinical data. We evaluated the utility of machine learning methods as well as a previously validated clinical prediction model (Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology [CHARGE]-AF, which included 11 predictors, using original and re-estimated coefficients) to predict incident AF. Discriminatory ability of each model was assessed using the ten-fold cross-validated C-index; calibration was evaluated graphically and with the Grønnesby and Borgan test.ResultsMean (SD) age of participants was 57 (11) years, 55% were men, 38% were Black, and mean (SD) eGFR was 45 (15) ml/min per 1.73 m2; 259 incident AF events occurred during a median of 8 years of follow-up. The CHARGE-AF prediction equation using original and re-estimated coefficients had C-indices of 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.71) and 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.70), respectively. A likelihood-based boosting model using clinical variables only had a C-index of 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.70); adding N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity troponin T, or both biomarkers improved the C-index by 0.04, 0.01, and 0.04, respectively. In addition to N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T, the final model included age, non-Hispanic Black race/ethnicity, Hispanic race/ethnicity, cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, myocardial infarction, peripheral vascular disease, use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers, calcium channel blockers, diuretics, height, and weight.ConclusionsUsing machine learning algorithms, a model that included 12 standard clinical variables and cardiac-specific biomarkers N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T had moderate discrimination for incident AF in a CKD population.

Project description:ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to examine the efficacy and safety of warfarin initiation following the diagnosis of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with late-stage chronic kidney disease (CKD) who transitioned to dialysis.BackgroundThe clinical benefit of warfarin therapy for thromboprophylaxis after incident AF diagnosis in patients with late-stage CKD who are transitioning to dialysis is unknown.MethodsIn this retrospective cohort analysis, the study population was a national cohort of 22,771 U.S. veterans with incident end-stage renal disease who developed incident AF before initiating renal replacement therapy. This study examined the association of warfarin therapy following the diagnosis of incident AF with ischemic cerebrovascular accidents (CVAs) (ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack), ischemic CVA-related hospitalization, major bleeding events (gastrointestinal or intracranial bleeding), bleeding event-related hospitalizations, and post-dialysis, all-cause mortality in multivariable adjusted Cox regression analyses that adjusted for demographic characteristics and comorbidities.ResultsThe mean ± SD age of the cohort was 73.5 ± 8.8 years, 13% were African American, and the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 5.7 ± 2.1. Of the overall cohort, 6,682 (29.3%) patients were started on warfarin during the follow-up period. The hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for ischemic CVA, bleeding events, and death for those started on warfarin were 1.23 (1.16 to 1.30), 1.36 (1.29 to 1.44), and 0.94 (0.90 to 0.97), respectively, compared with those who received no anticoagulation. Warfarin exposure was associated with higher risk for ischemic CVA and bleeding event-related hospitalizations.ConclusionsIn patients with late-stage CKD who transitioned to dialysis, warfarin use was associated with higher risk of ischemic and bleeding events but a lower risk of mortality. Future studies such as those comparing warfarin with newer oral anticoagulant agents are needed to granularly define the net clinical benefit of anticoagulation therapy in patients with advanced CKD with incident AF.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Cardiological societies recommend, in their guidelines, that patients with atrial fibrillation and an intermediate (or higher) risk of stroke and systemic embolization should be treated with oral anticoagulant drugs. For patients who do not have mitral valve stenosis or a mechanical valve prosthesis, non-vitamin-K dependent oral anticoagulants (NOAC) are preferred over vitamin K antagonists (VKA) for this purpose. It is unclear, however, whether patients with chronic kidney disease and atrial fibrillation benefit from oral anticoagulation to the same extent as those with normal kidney function. It is also unclear which of the two types of anti - coagulant drug is preferable for patients with chronic kidney disease; NOAC are, in part, renally eliminated. METHODS:This review is based on pertinent publications retrieved by a selective literature search, and on international guidelines. RESULTS:Current evidence suggests that patients with atrial fibrillation who have chronic kidney disease with a glomerular filtration rate (GFR) above 15 mL/ min/1.73 m² should be treated with an oral anticoagulant drug if they have an at least intermediate risk of embolization, as assessed with the CHA2DS2-VASc score. For patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (GFR from 15 to 29 mL/ min/1.73 m²), however, this recommendation is based only on registry studies. For dialysis patients with atrial fibrillation, decisions whether to give oral anticoagulant drugs should be taken on an individual basis, in view of the elevated risk of hemorrhage and the unclear efficacy of such drugs in these patients. The subgroup analyses of the NOAC approval studies show that, for patients with atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease with a creatinine clearance of >25-30 mL/min, NOAC should be given in preference to VKA, as long as the patient does not have mitral valve stenosis or a mechanical valve prosthesis. For those whose creatinine clearance is less than 25 mL/min, the relative merits of NOAC versus VKA are still debated. CONCLUSION:The cardiological societies' recommendation that patients with atrial fibrillation should be given oral anticoagulant drugs applies to the majority of such patients who also have chronic kidney disease.

Dataset Information

Effects of Prevalent and Incident Chronic Kidney Disease on Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Effects of Prevalent and Incident Chronic Kidney Disease on Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation.

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