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Burden of HIV-associated histoplasmosis compared with tuberculosis in Latin America: a modelling study.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Fungal infections remain a major contributor to the opportunistic infections that affect people living with HIV. Among them, histoplasmosis is considered neglected, often being misdiagnosed as tuberculosis, and is responsible for numerous deaths in Latin America. The objective of this study was to estimate the burden of HIV-associated histoplasmosis compared with tuberculosis in Latin American countries. METHODS:For this modelling study, we estimated prevalence of previous exposure to Histoplasma capsulatum, HIV-associated histoplasmosis annual incidence, and number of deaths in 2012 in Latin American countries based on historical histoplasmin skin test studies in the general population, with an antigen dilution level of more than 1/10. Studies were identified in a literature search. Data on HIV-associated tuberculosis were extracted from the WHO notifications and outcomes tables and data on people living with HIV were extracted from the UNAIDS report for the year 2012. We systematically propagated uncertainty throughout all the steps of the estimation process. FINDINGS:Among 1310 articles identified as of June 1, 2015, 24 articles were included in the study, representing 129 histoplasmin skin test studies led in the general population of Latin American countries. For the year 2012, we estimated a range of 6710 (95% CI 5680-7867) to 15?657 (13?254-18?357) cases of symptomatic HIV-associated histoplasmosis in Latin America. Hotspot areas for histoplasmosis prevalence (>30%) and incidence (>1·5 cases per 100 people living with HIV) were Central America, the northernmost part of South America, and Argentina. According to realistic scenarios, we estimated a range of 671 (95% CI 568-787) to 9394 (7952-11?014) deaths related to histoplasmosis, compared with 5062 (3777-6405) deaths related to tuberculosis reported in Latin America. INTERPRETATION:Our estimates of histoplasmosis incidence and deaths are high and consistent with published data. For the first time, the burden of histoplasmosis is estimated to be equivalent in incidence and even higher in deaths when compared with tuberculosis among people living with HIV in Latin America. FUNDING:None.

SUBMITTER: Adenis AA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6746313 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Burden of HIV-associated histoplasmosis compared with tuberculosis in Latin America: a modelling study.

Adenis Antoine A AA Valdes Audrey A Cropet Claire C McCotter Orion Z OZ Derado Gordana G Couppie Pierre P Chiller Tom T Nacher Mathieu M

The Lancet. Infectious diseases 20180823 10

<h4>Background</h4>Fungal infections remain a major contributor to the opportunistic infections that affect people living with HIV. Among them, histoplasmosis is considered neglected, often being misdiagnosed as tuberculosis, and is responsible for numerous deaths in Latin America. The objective of this study was to estimate the burden of HIV-associated histoplasmosis compared with tuberculosis in Latin American countries.<h4>Methods</h4>For this modelling study, we estimated prevalence of previ ...[more]

PMID: 30146320

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Project description:BACKGROUND:Tuberculosis (TB) burden shows wide disparities across ages in Taiwan. In 2016, the age-specific notification rate in those older than 65?years old was about 100 times as much as in those younger than 15?years old (185.0 vs 1.6 per 100,000 population). Similar patterns are observed in other intermediate TB burden settings. However, driving mechanisms for such age disparities are not clear and may have importance for TB control efforts. METHODS:We hypothesised three mechanisms for the age disparity in TB burden: (i) older age groups bear a higher risk of TB progression due to immune senescence, (ii) elderly cases acquired TB infection during a past period of high transmission, which has since rapidly declined and thus contributes to little recent infections, and (iii) assortative mixing by age allows elders to maintain a higher risk of TB infection, while limiting spillover transmission to younger age groups. We developed a series of dynamic compartmental models to incorporate these mechanisms, individually and in combination. The models were calibrated to the TB notification rates in Taiwan over 1997-2016 and evaluated by goodness-of-fit to the age disparities and the temporal trend in the TB burden, as well as the deviance information criterion (DIC). According to the model performance, we compared contributions of the hypothesised mechanisms. RESULTS:The 'full' model including all the three hypothesised mechanisms best captured the age disparities and temporal trend of the TB notification rates. However, dropping individual mechanisms from the full model in turn, we found that excluding the mechanism of assortative mixing yielded the least change in goodness-of-fit. In terms of their influence on the TB dynamics, the major contribution of the 'immune senescence' and 'assortative mixing' mechanisms was to create disparate burden among age groups, while the 'declining transmission' mechanism served to capture the temporal trend of notification rates. CONCLUSIONS:In settings such as Taiwan, the current TB burden in the elderly may be impacted more by prevention of active disease following latent infection, than by case-finding for blocking transmission. Further studies on these mechanisms are needed to disentangle their impacts on the TB epidemic and develop corresponding control strategies.

Project description:BackgroundThe epilepsy prevalence in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) had remained high over the last 20 years. Data on the burden of epilepsy are needed for healthcare planning and resource allocation. However, no systematic analysis had been performed for epilepsy burden in LAC.MethodsWe extracted data of all LAC countries from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study from 1990 to 2019. Epilepsy burden was measured as prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs; defined by the sum of years of life lost [YLLs] for premature mortality and years lived with disability [YLDs]), by age, sex, year, and country. Absolute numbers, rates, and 95% uncertainty intervals were reported. We performed correlational analyses among burden metrics and Socio-demographic Index (SDI).FindingsThe burden of epilepsy decreased around 20% in LAC, led by YLLs reduction. In 2019, 6·3 million people were living with active epilepsy of all causes (95% UI 5·3 - 7·4), with 3·22 million (95% UI 2·21 - 4·03) and 3·11 million (95% UI 2·21 to 4·03) cases of epilepsy with identifiable aetiology and idiopathic epilepsy, respectively. The number of DALYs represented the 9·51% (1.37 million, 95% UI 0·99 -1·86) of the global epilepsy burden in 2019. The age-standardized burden was 175·9 per 100 000 population (95% UI 119·4 - 253·3), which tend to have a bimodal age distribution (higher in the youth and elderly) and was driven by high YLDs estimates. The burden was higher in men and older adults, primarily due to high YLLs and mortality. Alcohol use was associated with 17% of the reported DALYs. The SDI estimates significantly influenced this burden (countries with high SDI have less epilepsy burden and mortality, but not prevalence or disability).InterpretationThe epilepsy burden has decreased in LAC over the past 30 years. Even though, LAC is still ranked as the third region with the highest global epilepsy burden. This reduction was higher in children, but burden and mortality increased for older adults. The epilepsy burden is disability predominant; however, the mortality-related estimates are still higher than in other regions. Alcohol consumption and countries' development are important determinants of this burden. There is an urgent need to improve access to epilepsy care in LAC, particularly for older adults. Strengthening primary care with online learning and telemedicine tools, and promoting risk factors modification should be prioritized in the region.FundingThis research was self-funded by the authors.

Project description:Approximately 150 triatomine species are suspected to be infected with the Chagas parasite, Trypanosoma cruzi, but they differ in the risk they pose to human populations. The largest risk comes from species that have a domestic life cycle and these species have been targeted by indoor residual spraying campaigns, which have been successful in many locations. It is now important to consider residual transmission that may be linked to persistent populations of dominant vectors, or to secondary or minor vectors. The aim of this project was to define the geographical distributions of the community of triatomine species across the Chagas endemic region. Presence-only data with over 12, 000 observations of triatomine vectors were extracted from a public database and target-group background data were generated to account for sampling bias in the presence data. Geostatistical regression was then applied to estimate species distributions and fine-scale distribution maps were generated for thirty triatomine vector species including those found within one or two countries and species that are more widely distributed from northern Argentina to Guatemala, Bolivia to southern Mexico, and Mexico to the southern United States of America. The results for Rhodnius pictipes, Panstrongylus geniculatus, Triatoma dimidiata, Triatoma gerstaeckeri, and Triatoma infestans are presented in detail, including model predictions and uncertainty in these predictions, and the model validation results for each of the 30 species are presented in full. The predictive maps for all species are made publicly available so that they can be used to assess the communities of vectors present within different regions of the endemic zone. The maps are presented alongside key indicators for the capacity of each species to transmit T. cruzi to humans. These indicators include infection prevalence, evidence for human blood meals, and colonisation or invasion of homes. A summary of the published evidence for these indicators shows that the majority of the 30 species mapped by this study have the potential to transmit T. cruzi to humans.

Project description:Vitiligo is a common chronic autoimmune disorder characterized by skin and hair depigmentation that affects 0.5%-2.0% of the global population. Vitiligo is associated with diminished quality of life (QoL) and psychosocial burden. The burden of vitiligo may vary based on skin tone and cultural differences as well as geographical variations in disease awareness, societal stigma, healthcare systems and treatment options. Data on the burden and management of vitiligo in Africa, the Middle East and Latin America are scarce. Literature searches using terms covering vitiligo in Africa, the Middle East and Latin America were conducted using PubMed to identify relevant publications that focused on disease prevalence and burden, QoL and psychosocial impact and disease management between 2011 and 2021. Most of the reviewed studies were conducted in the Middle East, and most Latin American studies were from Brazil. Most studies involved small patient numbers and may not be generalizable. Reported prevalence of vitiligo ranged from 0.18% to 5.3% in Africa and the Middle East, and from 0.04% to 0.57% in Latin America. In several studies, prevalence was higher among female participants. Generally, non-segmental vitiligo was the dominant clinical variant identified and the age at onset varied widely across studies. Common comorbidities include autoimmune diseases such as Hashimoto's thyroiditis, alopecia areata and diabetes. Few treatment guidelines exist in these regions, with the exceptions of guidelines published by the Brazilian and Argentinian Societies of Dermatology. There is a clear unmet need for large epidemiological studies with uniform methodology to accurately ascertain the true prevalence of vitiligo in Africa, the Middle East and Latin America. Additional data on vitiligo burden and management in Africa and Latin America are also needed, along with local disease management guidelines that consider genetic variation, psychosocial burden and socioeconomic diversity in all 3 regions.

Project description:BackgroundTuberculosis in children is increasingly recognised as an important component of the global tuberculosis burden, with an estimated 1 million cases in 2015. Although younger children are vulnerable to severe forms of tuberculosis disease, no age-disaggregated estimates of paediatric tuberculosis mortality exist, and tuberculosis has never been included in official estimates of under-5 child mortality. We aimed to produce a global mortality burden estimate in children using a complementary approach not dependent on vital registration data.MethodsIn this mathematical modelling study, we estimated deaths in children younger than 5 years and those aged 5-14 years for 217 countries and territories using a case-fatality-based approach. We used paediatric tuberculosis notification data and HIV and antiretroviral treatment estimates to disaggregate the WHO paediatric tuberculosis incidence estimates by age, HIV, and treatment status. We then applied systematic review evidence on corresponding case-fatality ratios.FindingsWe estimated that 239 000 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 194 000-298 000) children younger than 15 years died from tuberculosis worldwide in 2015; 80% (191 000, 95% UI 132 000-257 000) of these deaths were in children younger than 5 years. More than 70% (182 000, 140 000-239 000) of deaths occurred in the WHO southeast Asia and Africa regions. We estimated that 39 000 (17%, 23 000-73 000) paediatric tuberculosis deaths worldwide were in children with HIV infections, with 31 000 (36%, 19 000-59 000) in the WHO Africa region. More than 96% (230 000, 185 000-289 000) of all tuberculosis deaths occurred in children not receiving tuberculosis treatment.InterpretationTuberculosis is a top ten cause of death in children worldwide and a key omission from previous analyses of under-5 mortality. Almost all these deaths occur in children not on tuberculosis treatment, implying substantial scope to reduce this burden.FundingUNITAID, National Institutes of Health, and National Institute for Health Research.

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Burden of HIV-associated histoplasmosis compared with tuberculosis in Latin America: a modelling study.

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Burden of HIV-associated histoplasmosis compared with tuberculosis in Latin America: a modelling study.

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