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Risk factors for unsuccessful tuberculosis treatment outcomes in children.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVE:Pakistan has a high pediatric burden of tuberculosis, but few studies describe the treatment experience of children with tuberculosis in Pakistan. We sought to identify risk factors for unsuccessful treatment outcomes in children with drug-susceptible tuberculosis identified in eight hospitals in Karachi, Pakistan. DESIGN:We conducted a retrospective cohort study among children (<15 years old) treated with first-line anti-tuberculosis drugs for presumed or confirmed drug-susceptible tuberculosis between 2016 and 2017. We assessed risk factors for experiencing an unsuccessful treatment outcome through multivariable logistic regression analysis. RESULTS:In total, 1,665 children initiated tuberculosis treatment, including 916 (55.0%) identified through intensified case finding. Unsuccessful treatment outcomes were experienced by 197 (11.8%) children, comprising 27 (1.6%) deaths, 16 (1.0%) treatment failures, and 154 (9.3%) lost to follow-up. An additional 47 (2.8%) children had outcomes not evaluable. In multivariable analysis, children 0-4 years old (OR: 1.80, 95% CI: 1.07-3.04), males (OR: 1.48, 95% CI: 1.04, 2.11), and those with bacteriologic confirmation of disease (OR: 3.39, 95% CI: 1.98, 5.80) had increased odds of experiencing an unsuccessful treatment outcome. CONCLUSION:Our findings suggest a need to deploy strategies to identify children earlier in the disease process and point to the need for interventions tailored for young children once treatment is initiated.

SUBMITTER: Hamid M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6760830 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Risk factors for unsuccessful tuberculosis treatment outcomes in children.

Hamid Meherunissa M Brooks Meredith B MB Madhani Falak F Ali Hassan H Naseer Mohammad Junaid MJ Becerra Mercedes M Amanullah Farhana F

PloS one 20190925 9

<h4>Objective</h4>Pakistan has a high pediatric burden of tuberculosis, but few studies describe the treatment experience of children with tuberculosis in Pakistan. We sought to identify risk factors for unsuccessful treatment outcomes in children with drug-susceptible tuberculosis identified in eight hospitals in Karachi, Pakistan.<h4>Design</h4>We conducted a retrospective cohort study among children (<15 years old) treated with first-line anti-tuberculosis drugs for presumed or confirmed drug ...[more]

PMID: 31553758

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Project description:BackgroundDespite widespread availability of curative therapy, tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes remain suboptimal. Clinical prediction models can inform treatment strategies to improve outcomes. Using baseline clinical data, we developed a prediction model for unsuccessful TB treatment outcome and evaluated the incremental value of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-related severity and isoniazid acetylator status.MethodsData originated from the Regional Prospective Observational Research for Tuberculosis Brazil cohort, which enrolled newly diagnosed TB patients in Brazil from 2015 through 2019. This analysis included participants with culture-confirmed, drug-susceptible pulmonary TB who started first-line anti-TB therapy and had ≥12 months of follow-up. The end point was unsuccessful TB treatment: composite of death, treatment failure, regimen switch, incomplete treatment, or not evaluated. Missing predictors were imputed. Predictors were chosen via bootstrapped backward selection. Discrimination and calibration were evaluated with c-statistics and calibration plots, respectively. Bootstrap internal validation estimated overfitting, and a shrinkage factor was applied to improve out-of-sample prediction. Incremental value was evaluated with likelihood ratio-based measures.ResultsOf 944 participants, 191 (20%) had unsuccessful treatment outcomes. The final model included 7 baseline predictors: hemoglobin, HIV infection, drug use, diabetes, age, education, and tobacco use. The model demonstrated good discrimination (c-statistic = 0.77; 95% confidence interval, .73-.80) and was well calibrated (optimism-corrected intercept and slope, -0.12 and 0.89, respectively). HIV-related factors and isoniazid acetylation status did not improve prediction of the final model.ConclusionsUsing information readily available at treatment initiation, the prediction model performed well in this population. The findings may guide future work to allocate resources or inform targeted interventions for high-risk patients.

Project description:BackgroundInterim treatment outcomes at 6-months for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) treatment are among the most basic performance monitoring and key evaluation indicators in the Stop and End TB strategy of the World Health Organization (WHO). Therefore, this study was conducted to evaluate the interim treatment outcomes of MDR-TB patients in Pakistan.MethodsThis study was conducted at the Programmatic Management Unit for Drug-resistance TB (PMDT) site of the National Tuberculosis Program (NTP), Pakistan. It is located in the Chest Disease Unit (CDU) of the Bahawal Victoria Hospital (BVH), Bahawalpur, Punjab, Pakistan. Data was collected between April 1, 2014 and December 31, 2015. The medical records, Electronic Nominal Recording Reporting System (ENRS) data and MRD-TB notification forms of the MDR-TB patients registered at the PMDT site were reviewed to obtain data. For reporting and calculation of interim treatment outcomes, standardized WHO methodology was adopted. Simple logistic regression analysis was used to examine the possible association between the dependent variable (i.e. unsuccessful interim treatment outcome) and selected socio-demographic and clinical variables.ResultsA total of 100 drug-resistant TB (DR-TB) patients (all types) were registered during the study period. Out of these, 80 were MDR-TB patients for whom interim results were available. Out of the 80 MDR-TB cases, 48 (60%) were classified under the successful interim treatment outcome category. The remaining 40% had unsuccessful 6-month treatment outcomes and 12 (15%) patients died, while nine (11.3%) were lost to follow-up by six months. The final predictors of unsuccessful interim treatment outcomes were; being resistant to ofloxacin (AOR 3.23, 95% CI 0.96-10.89; p-value = 0.04), having above normal baseline serum creatinine levels (AOR 6.49, 95% CI 1.39-30.27; p-value = 0.02), and being culture positive at the second month of treatment (AOR 6.94, 95% CI 2-24.12; p-value = 0.01).ConclusionsDespite free treatment and programmatic efforts to ensure patient adherence, the high rate of unsuccessful interim treatment outcomes is concerning. The identified risk factors for unsuccessful interim treatment outcomes in the current study provides clinicians an opportunity to identify high-risk patients and ensure enhanced clinical management and greater treatment success rates.

Project description:BackgroundThe treatment success rate for tuberculosis (TB) has stagnated at 80-81% in South Korea, indicating unsatisfactory outcomes. Enhancing treatment success rate necessitates the development of individualized treatment approaches for each patient. This study aimed to identify the risk factors associated with unfavorable treatment outcomes to facilitate tailored TB care.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed the data of patients with active TB between January 2019 and December 2020 at a single tertiary referral center. We classified unfavorable treatment outcomes according to the 2021 World Health Organization guidelines as follows: "lost to follow-up" (LTFU), "not evaluated" (NE), "death," and "treatment failure" (TF). Moreover, we analyzed risk factors for each unfavorable outcome using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis.ResultsA total of 659 patients (median age 62 years; male 54.3%) were included in the study. The total unfavorable outcomes were 28.1%: 4.6% LTFU, 9.6% NE, 9.1% deaths, and 4.9% TF. Multivariate analysis showed that a culture-confirmed diagnosis of TB was associated with a lower risk of LTFU (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.10-0.63), whereas the occurrence of adverse drug reactions (ADRs) significantly increased the risk of LTFU (aHR, 6.63; 95% CI, 2.63-16.69). Patients living far from the hospital (aHR, 4.47; 95% CI, 2.50-7.97) and those with chronic kidney disease (aHR, 3.21; 95% CI, 1.33-7.75) were at higher risk of being transferred out to other health institutions (NE). Higher mortality was associated with older age (aHR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.04-1.09) and comorbidities. The ADRs that occurred during TB treatment were a risk factor for TF (aHR, 6.88; 95% CI, 2.24-21.13).ConclusionUnfavorable outcomes of patients with TB were substantial at a tertiary referral center, and the risk factors for each unfavorable outcome varied. To improve treatment outcomes, close monitoring and the provision of tailored care for patients with TB are necessary.

Project description:BackgroundEritrea has achieved the global target (90%) for tuberculosis (TB) treatment success rate. Though, events of unsuccessful TB treatment outcomes (death, treatment failure, lost to follow up and not evaluated) could lead to further TB transmission and the development of resistant strains. Hence, factors related to these events should be explored and addressed. This study aims to fill the gap in evidence by identifying the determinants of unsuccessful TB treatment outcomes in Eritrea's Northern Red Sea region.MethodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted in Eritrea's Northern Red Sea region. Data collected using a data extraction tool was analyzed using Stata version 13. Frequencies, proportions, median and standard deviations were used to describe the data. Furthermore, univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis were performed to determine the risk factors for unsuccessful TB treatment outcomes. Crude odds ratio (COR) and adjusted odds ratio (AOR) with their 95% confidence interval (CI) presented and p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.ResultsAmong 1227 TB patients included in this study, 9.6% had unsuccessful TB treatment outcomes. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, TB cases 55-64 years old (AOR: 2.75[CI: 1.21-6.32], p = 0.016) and those ≥ 65 years old (AOR: 4.02[CI: 1.72-9.45], p = 0.001) had 2.7 and 4 times higher likelihood of unsuccessful TB treatment outcome respectively. In addition, HIV positive TB patients (AOR: 5.13[CI: 1.87-14.06], p = 0.002) were 5 times more likely to have unsuccessful TB treatment outcome. TB treatment in Ghindae Regional Referral Hospital (AOR: 5.01[2.61-9.61], p < 0.001), Massawa Hospital (AOR: 4.35[2.28-8.30], p< 0.001) and Nakfa Hospital (AOR: 2.53[1.15-5.53], p = 0.021) was associated with 5, 4 and 2.5 higher odds of unsuccessful TB treatment outcome respectively.ConclusionIn this setting, old age, HIV co-infection and health facility were the independent predictors of unsuccessful TB treatment outcome.

Project description:BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) is a leading cause of public health challenges among immigrant refugees and their surrounding communities in developing countries. Evaluating the treatment outcome of TB patients is one of the key indicators to understand the performance of TB control program. Hence, this study aims to assess profile, treatment outcome and factors associated with unsuccessful outcome of TB patients treated under the TB control program among refugees and their surrounding communities (SCs) in Gambella Regional State, Ethiopia.MethodologyRetrospective study was conducted in the health facilities of refugee and their SCs in Gambella Regional State from March 1 to May 30, 2017. Demographic and related data of all TB patients registered in TB Control Program between September, 2008 and October, 2017 in health facilities of refugee and the SCs was extracted using data extraction format. Eight years trend of TB, treatment outcome and factors associated with unsuccessful outcome among refugees and the SCs were computed using SPSS version 20.0 software.ResultA total of 886 refugees and 3284 SCs TB patients, registered for anti TB treatment in the last eight years, were evaluated in the study. The trend of all forms of TB is progressively increasing among refugees contrary to the SCs in the course of the study period (X2 trend = 207.7; P<0.0001). Smear positive pulmonary TB (PTB+) was found to be predominant (57.6%) TB form in refugees while smear negative pulmonary TB (PTB-) (44.8%) is in the SCs (X2 = 185.834; P<0.0001). There was also significant difference in the treatment outcome (X2 = 170.915; P<0.0001). Mean treatment success rate was 74.2% and 88.1% for refugees and the SCs, respectively (X2 = 92.887; P<0.0001). The study also revealed that the risk of unsuccessful TB treatment outcome was significantly higher among refugee (AOR = 2.17; 95% CI: 1.69-2.77), retreated cases (AOR = 1.53; 95% CI: 1.07-2.17), patients aged between 35-44 years (AOR = 1.38; 95% CI: 1.0-1.91), and greater than 44 years old (AOR = 1.77; 95% CI: 1.28-2.44), and patients with extra pulmonary TB (EPTB) form (AOR = 1.34; 95% CI: 1.04-1.73) compared to their counterparts. Patient coming from rural area (AOR = 0.77; 95% CI: 0.62-0.97), who are female (AOR = 0.76; 95% CI: 0.63-0.91) and TB/HIV non-infected (AOR = 0.63; 95% CI: 0.51-0.77) were more likely to be successfully treated.ConclusionThe study confirmed that there was low treatment success rate among refugees compared to the SCs. Being refugee, retreated case, patient's age ?35 years old, EPTB form, gender, rural patient address and HIV status were predictor factors for unsuccessful treatment outcome. Hence, the study urges the need for strengthened TB prevention program among refugees with due consideration of identified predictor factors to prevent the potential effect of hosting refugee to the SCs and the nations at large.

Project description:RationaleMulti-drug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) poses a significant public health challenge to the control and successful eradication of TB globally. Suboptimal treatment outcomes are common among persons with MDR-TB necessitating a need to understand the contextual factors.ObjectiveWe determined the factors associated with unsuccessful TB treatment among persons with MDR-TB at a large TB Unit in Central Uganda.MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed medical records for all persons with MDR-TB at Mubende Regional Referral Hospital MDR-TB Clinic in Central Uganda. The patients were treated with either second-line, modified second-line, or individualized anti-TB regimens and completed treatment between January 2012 and October 2023. The primary outcome was unsuccessful TB treatment defined as death, treatment failure, or loss to follow-up and measured as a binary outcome. We used a multivariable binary logistic regression analysis to determine the factors independently associated with unsuccessful TB treatment at a 5 % statistical significance level. We reported the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) and the 95 % confidence interval (CI).Measurements and resultsWe analyzed data from 98 persons with MDR-TB who were aged 15-78 years (mean 36.4 ± 15.4 years). Of these, 40 (40.8 %) were cured, 25 (25.5 %) completed TB treatment, 1 (1.0 %) had treatment failure, 13 (13.3 %) died, and 19 (19.4 %) were lost to follow-up. Overall, 33 (33.7 %) participants had unsuccessful TB treatment which was associated with older age for a 1-year increase in age (aOR 1.05, 95 % CI 1.01-1.09), malnutrition-mid-upper arm circumference of <12.5 cm (aOR 2.99, 95 % CI 1.16-7.98), and previous TB treatment (aOR 0.28, 95 % CI 0.10-0.77).ConclusionUnsuccessful TB treatment is high among persons with MDR-TB at this TB Unit. It is more likely as age advances and when persons with MDR-TB have malnutrition, but less likely when they have been previously treated for TB. Therefore, interventions to improve treatment outcomes may be beneficial for persons with MDR-TB who are older, malnourished, and those newly diagnosed with the disease. For example, routine nutritional assessment and counseling, including nutritional support for malnourished persons with MDR-TB may be needed to optimize their TB treatment success.

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Risk factors for unsuccessful tuberculosis treatment outcomes in children.

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Risk factors for unsuccessful tuberculosis treatment outcomes in children.

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