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Comparison of Self-controlled Designs for Evaluating Outcomes of Drug-Drug Interactions: Simulation Study.


ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Self-controlled designs, both case-crossover and self-controlled case series, are well suited for evaluating outcomes of drug-drug interactions in electronic healthcare data. Their comparative performance in this context, however, is unknown. METHODS:We simulated cohorts of patients exposed to two drugs: a chronic drug (object) and a short-term drug (precipitant) with an associated interaction of 2.0 on the odds ratio scale. We analyzed cohorts using case-crossover and self-controlled case series designs evaluating exposure to the precipitant drug within person-time exposed to the object drug. Scenarios evaluated violations of key design assumptions: (1) time-varying, within-person confounding; (2) time trend in precipitant drug exposure prevalence; (3) nontransient precipitant exposure; and (4) event-dependent object drug discontinuation. RESULTS:Case-crossover analysis produced biased estimates when 30% of patients persisted on the precipitant drug (estimated OR 2.85) and when the use of the precipitant drug was increasing in simulated cohorts (estimated OR 2.56). Self-controlled case series produced biased estimates when patients discontinued the object drug following the occurrence of an outcome (estimated incidence ratio [IR] of 2.09 [50% of patients stopping therapy] and 2.22 [90%]). Both designs yielded similarly biased estimates in the presence of time-varying, within-person confounding. CONCLUSION:In settings with independent or rare outcomes and no substantial event-dependent censoring (<50%), self-controlled case series may be preferable to case-crossover design for evaluating outcomes of drug-drug interactions. With frequent event-dependent drug discontinuation, a case-crossover design may be preferable provided there are no time-related trends in drug exposure.

SUBMITTER: Bykov K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6768702 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Comparison of Self-controlled Designs for Evaluating Outcomes of Drug-Drug Interactions: Simulation Study.

Bykov Katsiaryna K   Franklin Jessica M JM   Li Hu H   Gagne Joshua J JJ  

Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.) 20191101 6


<h4>Background</h4>Self-controlled designs, both case-crossover and self-controlled case series, are well suited for evaluating outcomes of drug-drug interactions in electronic healthcare data. Their comparative performance in this context, however, is unknown.<h4>Methods</h4>We simulated cohorts of patients exposed to two drugs: a chronic drug (object) and a short-term drug (precipitant) with an associated interaction of 2.0 on the odds ratio scale. We analyzed cohorts using case-crossover and  ...[more]

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