Extending Bayesian back-calculation to estimate age and time specific HIV incidence.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Brizzi F
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6776486 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Oct
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Extending Bayesian back-calculation to estimate age and time specific HIV incidence.
Brizzi Francesco F Birrell Paul J PJ Plummer Martyn T MT Kirwan Peter P Brown Alison E AE Delpech Valerie C VC Gill O Noel ON De Angelis Daniela D
Lifetime data analysis 20190227 4
CD4-based multi-state back-calculation methods are key for monitoring the HIV epidemic, providing estimates of HIV incidence and diagnosis rates by disentangling their inter-related contribution to the observed surveillance data. This paper, extends existing approaches to age-specific settings, permitting the joint estimation of age- and time-specific incidence and diagnosis rates and the derivation of other epidemiological quantities of interest. This allows the identification of specific age-g ...[more]
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