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Physical activity and preventable premature deaths from non-communicable diseases in Brazil.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Studies on the impact of counterfactual scenarios of physical activity on premature deaths from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are sparse in the literature. We estimated preventable premature deaths from NCDs (diabetes, ischemic heart disease, stroke, and breast and colon cancers) in Brazil by increasing population-wide physical activity (i) to theoretical minimum risk exposure levels; (ii) reaching the physical activity recommendation; (iii) reducing insufficient physical activity by 10%; and (iv) eliminating the gender differences in physical activity.

Methods

Preventable fractions were estimated using data from a nationally representative survey, relative risks from a meta-analysis and number of premature deaths (30-69 years) from the Brazilian Mortality Information System.

Results

Physical activity could potentially avoid up to 16 700 premature deaths from NCDs in Brazil, corresponding to 5.75 and 3.23% of premature deaths from major NCDs and of all-causes, respectively. Other scenarios suggested the following impact on premature deaths: reaching physical activity recommendation (5000 or 1.74% of major NCDs); 10% reduction in insufficient physical activity (500 or 0.17% of major NCDs); eliminating gender differences in physical activity (1000 or 0.33% of major NCDs).

Conclusions

Physical activity may play an important role to reduce premature deaths from NCD in Brazil.

SUBMITTER: Rezende LFM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6785690 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Physical activity and preventable premature deaths from non-communicable diseases in Brazil.

Rezende Leandro Fórnias Machado de LFM   Garcia Leandro Martin Totaro LMT   Mielke Grégore Iven GI   Lee Dong Hoon DH   Giovannucci Edward E   Eluf-Neto José J  

Journal of public health (Oxford, England) 20190901 3


<h4>Background</h4>Studies on the impact of counterfactual scenarios of physical activity on premature deaths from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are sparse in the literature. We estimated preventable premature deaths from NCDs (diabetes, ischemic heart disease, stroke, and breast and colon cancers) in Brazil by increasing population-wide physical activity (i) to theoretical minimum risk exposure levels; (ii) reaching the physical activity recommendation; (iii) reducing insufficient physical a  ...[more]

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