Dataset Information

Androgen decline and survival during docetaxel therapy in metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC).

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Multiple androgens drive prostate cancer progression and higher pre-treatment levels of androgens, even within the castrate range, have been previously shown to be associated with an improved overall survival (OS) in mCRPC. Docetaxel impairs microtubules, has androgen receptor (AR) inhibitory effects and is used in both the castration resistant and sensitive settings, where androgen dynamics may impact outcome. The present analysis evaluates the association of decline in serum androgen levels (Testosterone (T), Androstenedione (A) and DHEA in docetaxel-treated mCRPC patients with OS. METHODS:Data from 1050 men treated on CALGB 90401 with docetaxel, prednisone and either bevacizumab or placebo were evaluated. Eligibility required progressive mCRPC and no prior chemotherapy. Pre-treatment, 6 week and progression serum assays for T, A and DHEA were performed via tandem Liquid Chromatography-Mass Spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). Changes in T, A and DHEA levels from baseline to 6 weeks were calculated as the ratio of 6-week over baseline. The proportional hazards model was used to assess the prognostic significance of changes in T, A, and DHEA from baseline to 6 weeks in predicting OS adjusting for known prognostic factors. RESULTS:Median baseline values for T, A, and, DHEA were 1.0, 13.5, and 8.1?ng/dL respectively while 6 week levels were 0.64, 7.0, and 6.8?ng/dL respectively. Median OS for low testosterone decline is 20.9 months vs 26.3 months for high testosterone decline. In multivariable analysis including known prognostic variables, change in testosterone levels was independently associated with greater OS; the hazard ratio for death with each unit increase in the 6-week/baseline ratio is 1.02 (95% CI?=?1.01-1.03, p?=?0.001). Decline in A and DHEA were not significant predictors of OS. In multivariable analysis change in the serum changes did not predict PFS however the ratio of T at 6-weeks over baseline was prognostic of ?50% decline in PSA with an odds ratio of 0.93 (95% CI?=?0.85-0.98, p-value?=?0.039). CONCLUSIONS:Declines in testosterone during docetaxel treatment is associated with a longer survival, consistent with a favorable prognostic significance of higher serum androgens in the CRPC.

SUBMITTER: Ryan CJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6825875 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Androgen decline and survival during docetaxel therapy in metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC).

Ryan Charles J CJ Dutta Sandipan S Kelly William K WK Russell Carly C Small Eric J EJ Morris Michael J MJ Taplin Mary-Ellen ME Halabi Susan S

Prostate cancer and prostatic diseases 20190503 1

<h4>Background</h4>Multiple androgens drive prostate cancer progression and higher pre-treatment levels of androgens, even within the castrate range, have been previously shown to be associated with an improved overall survival (OS) in mCRPC. Docetaxel impairs microtubules, has androgen receptor (AR) inhibitory effects and is used in both the castration resistant and sensitive settings, where androgen dynamics may impact outcome. The present analysis evaluates the association of decline in serum ...[more]

PMID: 31053766

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Project description:Plasma androgen receptor (AR) gain identifies metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients with worse outcome on abiraterone/enzalutamide, but its relevance in the context of taxane chemotherapy is unknown. We aimed to evaluate whether docetaxel is active regardless of plasma AR and to perform an exploratory analysis to compare docetaxel with abiraterone/enzalutamide. This multi-institutional study was a pooled analysis of AR status, determined by droplet digital polymerase chain reaction, on pretreatment plasma samples. We evaluated associations between plasma AR and overall/progression-free survival (OS/PFS) and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) response rate in 163 docetaxel-treated patients. OS was significantly shorter in case of AR gain (hazard ratio [HR]=1.61, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.08-2.39, p=0.018), but not PFS (HR=1.04, 95% CI 0.74-1.46, p=0.8) or PSA response (odds ratio=1.14, 95% CI=0.65-1.99, p=0.7). We investigated the interaction between plasma AR and treatment type after incorporating updated data from our prior study of 73 chemotherapy-naïve, abiraterone/enzalutamide-treated patients, with data from 115 first-line docetaxel patients. In an exploratory analysis of mCRPC patients receiving first-line therapies, a significant interaction was observed between plasma AR and docetaxel versus abiraterone/enzalutamide for OS (HR=0.16, 95% CI=0.06-0.46, p<0.001) and PFS (HR=0.31, 95% CI=0.12-0.80, p=0.02). Specifically, we reported a significant difference for OS favoring abiraterone/enzalutamide for AR-normal patients (HR=1.93, 95% CI=1.19-3.12, p=0.008) and a suggestion favoring docetaxel for AR-gained patients (HR=0.53, 95% CI=0.24-1.16, p=0.11). These data suggest that AR-normal patients should receive abiraterone/enzalutamide and AR-gained could benefit from docetaxel. This treatment selection merits prospective evaluation in a randomized trial. PATIENT SUMMARY: We investigated whether plasma androgen receptor (AR) predicted outcome in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients treated with docetaxel, and we performed an exploratory analysis in patients treated with docetaxel or AR-directed drugs as first-line mCRPC therapy. We showed that plasma AR normal favored hormonal treatment, whilst plasma AR-gained patients may have had a longer response to docetaxel, suggesting that plasma AR status could be a useful treatment selection biomarker.

Project description:From March through August 2015, nearly 60 teams from around the world participated in the Prostate Cancer Dream Challenge (PCDC). Participating teams were faced with the task of developing prediction models for patient survival and treatment discontinuation using baseline clinical variables collected on metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients in the comparator arm of four phase III clinical trials. In total, over 2,000 mCRPC patients treated with first-line docetaxel comprised the training and testing data sets used in this challenge. In this paper we describe: (a) the sub-challenges comprising the PCDC, (b) the statistical metrics used to benchmark prediction performance, (c) our analytical approach, and finally (d) our team's overall performance in this challenge. Specifically, we discuss our curated, ad-hoc, feature selection (CAFS) strategy for identifying clinically important risk-predictors, the ensemble-based Cox proportional hazards regression framework used in our final submission, and the adaptation of our modeling framework based on the results from the intermittent leaderboard rounds. Strong predictors of patient survival were successfully identified utilizing our model building approach. Several of the identified predictors were new features created by our team via strategically merging collections of weak predictors. In each of the three intermittent leaderboard rounds, our prediction models scored among the top four models across all participating teams and our final submission ranked 9 th place overall with an integrated area under the curve (iAUC) of 0.7711 computed in an independent test set. While the prediction performance of teams placing between 2 nd- 10 th (iAUC: 0.7710-0.7789) was better than the current gold-standard prediction model for prostate cancer survival, the top-performing team, FIMM-UTU significantly outperformed all other contestants with an iAUC of 0.7915. In summary, our ensemble-based Cox regression framework with CAFS resulted in strong overall performance for predicting prostate cancer survival and represents a promising approach for future prediction problems.

Dataset Information

Androgen decline and survival during docetaxel therapy in metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC).

Publications

Androgen decline and survival during docetaxel therapy in metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC).

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