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Oxygenation Index in the First 24 Hours after the Diagnosis of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome as a Surrogate Metric for Risk Stratification in Children.

ABSTRACT: Background:The diagnosis of pediatric acute respiratory distress syndrome (PARDS) is a pragmatic decision based on the degree of hypoxia at the time of onset. We aimed to determine whether reclassification using oxygenation metrics 24 hours after diagnosis could provide prognostic ability for outcomes in PARDS. Methods:Two hundred and eighty-eight pediatric patients admitted between January 1, 2010 and January 30, 2017, who met the inclusion criteria for PARDS were retrospectively analyzed. Reclassification based on data measured 24 hours after diagnosis was compared with the initial classification, and changes in pressure parameters and oxygenation were investigated for their prognostic value with respect to mortality. Results:PARDS severity varied widely in the first 24 hours; 52.4% of patients showed an improvement, 35.4% showed no change, and 12.2% either showed progression of PARDS or died. Multivariate analysis revealed that mortality risk significantly increased for the severe group, based on classification using metrics collected 24 hours after diagnosis (adjusted odds ratio, 26.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.43 to 209.89; P=0.002). Compared to changes in pressure variables (peak inspiratory pressure and driving pressure), changes in oxygenation (arterial partial pressure of oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen) over the first 24 hours showed statistically better discriminative power for mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.701; 95% CI, 0.636 to 0.766; P<0.001). Conclusions:Implementation of reclassification based on oxygenation metrics 24 hours after diagnosis effectively stratified outcomes in PARDS. Progress within the first 24 hours was significantly associated with outcomes in PARDS, and oxygenation response was the most discernable surrogate metric for mortality.

SUBMITTER: Kim SY

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6849030 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Oxygenation Index in the First 24 Hours after the Diagnosis of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome as a Surrogate Metric for Risk Stratification in Children.

Kim Soo Yeon SY Kim Byuhree B Choi Sun Ha SH Kim Jong Deok JD Sol In Suk IS Kim Min Jung MJ Kim Yoon Hee YH Kim Kyung Won KW Sohn Myung Hyun MH Kim Kyu-Earn KE

Acute and critical care 20181129 4

<h4>Background</h4>The diagnosis of pediatric acute respiratory distress syndrome (PARDS) is a pragmatic decision based on the degree of hypoxia at the time of onset. We aimed to determine whether reclassification using oxygenation metrics 24 hours after diagnosis could provide prognostic ability for outcomes in PARDS.<h4>Methods</h4>Two hundred and eighty-eight pediatric patients admitted between January 1, 2010 and January 30, 2017, who met the inclusion criteria for PARDS were retrospectively ...[more]

PMID: 31723889

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Project description:Children with an immunocompromised condition and requiring invasive mechanical ventilation have high risk of death. Such patients are commonly transitioned to rescue modes of nonconventional ventilation, including airway pressure release ventilation and high-frequency oscillatory ventilation, for acute respiratory distress syndrome refractory to conventional ventilation. Our aim was to describe our experience with airway pressure release ventilation and high-frequency oscillatory ventilation in children with an immunocompromised condition and acute respiratory distress syndrome refractory to conventional ventilation and to identify factors associated with survival.Retrospective cohort study.Tertiary care, university-affiliated PICU.Sixty pediatric patients with an immunocompromised condition and acute respiratory distress syndrome refractory to conventional ventilation transitioned to either airway pressure release ventilation or high-frequency oscillatory ventilation.None.Demographic data, ventilator settings, arterial blood gases, oxygenation index, and PaO(2)/FIO(2) were recorded before transition to either mode of nonconventional ventilation and at predetermined intervals after transition for up to 5 days. Mortality in the entire cohort was 63% and did not differ between patients transitioned to airway pressure release ventilation and high-frequency oscillatory ventilation. For both airway pressure release ventilation and high-frequency oscillatory ventilation, improvements in oxygenation index and PaO(2)/FIO(2) at 24 hours expressed as a fraction of pretransition values (oxygenation index(24)/oxygenation index(pre) and PaO(2)/FIO(224)/PaO(2)/FIO(2pre)) reliably discriminated nonsurvivors from survivors, with receiver operating characteristic areas under the curves between 0.89 and 0.95 (p for all curves < 0.001). Sensitivity-specificity analysis suggested that less than 15% reduction in oxygenation index (90% sensitive, 75% specific) or less than 90% increase in PaO(2)/FIO(2) (80% sensitive, 94% specific) 24 hours after transition to airway pressure release ventilation were the optimal cutoffs to identify nonsurvivors. The comparable values 24 hours after transition to high-frequency oscillatory ventilation were less than 5% reduction in oxygenation index (100% sensitive, 83% specific) or less than 80% increase in PaO(2)/FIO(2) (91% sensitive, 89% specific) to identify nonsurvivors.In this single-center retrospective study of pediatric patients with an immunocompromised condition and acute respiratory distress syndrome failing conventional ventilation transitioned to either airway pressure release ventilation or high-frequency oscillatory ventilation, improved oxygenation at 24 hours expressed as PaO(2)/FIO(224)/PaO(2)/FIO(2pre) or oxygenation index(24)/oxygenation indexpre reliably discriminates nonsurvivors from survivors. These findings should be prospectively verified.

Project description:ObjectiveAcute respiratory distress syndrome trials powered for mortality require significant resources, limiting the number of evaluable therapies. Validation of intermediate endpoints would enhance the feasibility of testing novel acute respiratory distress syndrome therapies in pilot studies and potentially reduce the frequency of failed large clinical trials. We sought to determine whether a change in the oxygenation index over the first 7 days of acute respiratory distress syndrome could discriminate between therapies likely or unlikely to show benefit in larger clinical trials.DesignA derivation cohort from three acute respiratory distress syndrome studies was used to estimate the 7-day change in oxygenation index. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to calculate optimal thresholds and predictability of the change in oxygenation index for 28-day mortality and ventilator-free days. The thresholds were then validated in two cohorts. Then, for each individual acute respiratory distress syndrome study, the threshold 7-day oxygenation index change was tested as an outcome measure and compared with mortality and ventilator-free days as reported in the original study.SettingMedical ICUs.PatientsAcute respiratory distress syndrome patients.InterventionsVarious.Measurements and main resultsChange in oxygenation index, 28-day mortality, and ventilator-free days. In the derivation cohort, the mean 7-day oxygenation index improved by 4.2 (± 11.7) in 28-day survivors compared with an increase of 2.4 (± 11.6) in 28-day nonsurvivors (p < 0.001). The mean 7-day oxygenation index decreased by 5.9 (± 8.4) in patients with more than 14 ventilator-free days, compared with a decrease of 1.9 (± 12.4) among those with less than 14 ventilator-free days (p = 0.001). The optimal 7-day oxygenation index threshold for predicting mortality was an increase of 1.71 and for predicting less than 14 ventilator-free days, a decrease of 2.34. When used as a surrogate endpoint, the optimal 7-day oxygenation index change closely approximated mortality and ventilator-free day outcomes in three Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Network studies used for the derivation cohort and a distinct study used for validation. The change in oxygenation index was a poor predictor of individual patient outcome.ConclusionsFailure to meet a threshold improvement in the oxygenation index over the first 7 days of therapy can be used to identify therapies unlikely to succeed in subsequent trials powered for mortality and ventilator-free days. By reducing trial time and costs, use of the 7-day oxygenation index change as an intermediate endpoint could increase the number of clinical trials of promising therapies for acute respiratory distress syndrome and reduce the number of large-scale trials of therapies unlikely to be of benefit.

Dataset Information

Oxygenation Index in the First 24 Hours after the Diagnosis of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome as a Surrogate Metric for Risk Stratification in Children.

Publications

Oxygenation Index in the First 24 Hours after the Diagnosis of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome as a Surrogate Metric for Risk Stratification in Children.

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