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Changing Impact of Obesity on Active Life Expectancy of Older Americans.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:The rise in the number and earlier age of onset of obese persons has raised critical concerns about consequences of obesity; however, recent evidence suggests that the impact of obesity on health outcomes may have changed. This study aims to assess the change of the impact of obesity on active life expectancy among Americans aged 70 years and older over almost two decades, 1993-1998 to 2010-2014. METHODS:For each period, we use three waves of data from the Health and Retirement Study to estimate age-specific transition probabilities between health states. The average number of years active and disabled is calculated with Interpolated Markov Chain software based on estimated transition probabilities. RESULTS:Overall obesity and severe obesity increased markedly over time yet active life expectancy expanded for all individuals and the increases are greater among the obese and women. Increases in total and active life expectancy occurred because of the changing association of obesity with disability and mortality. CONCLUSIONS:Individuals at age 70 years in the later period in each weight group could expect to live a smaller proportion of remaining life with activities of daily living disability than those in the earlier period. High levels of obesity continue to have significant adverse effects on the quality of life. The increasing prevalence of severe obesity and the growing number of older persons may result in substantial additional health care needs and costs. Continued effort to improve cardiovascular health is required to control the burden of obesity in later life in an era of rising obesity.

SUBMITTER: Zhang YS

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6853657 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Changing Impact of Obesity on Active Life Expectancy of Older Americans.

Zhang Yuan S YS Saito Yasuhiko Y Crimmins Eileen M EM

The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences 20191101 12

<h4>Background</h4>The rise in the number and earlier age of onset of obese persons has raised critical concerns about consequences of obesity; however, recent evidence suggests that the impact of obesity on health outcomes may have changed. This study aims to assess the change of the impact of obesity on active life expectancy among Americans aged 70 years and older over almost two decades, 1993-1998 to 2010-2014.<h4>Methods</h4>For each period, we use three waves of data from the Health and Re ...[more]

PMID: 31120111

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Project description:Obesity and knee osteoarthritis are among the most frequent chronic conditions affecting Americans aged 50 to 84 years.To estimate quality-adjusted life-years lost due to obesity and knee osteoarthritis and health benefits of reducing obesity prevalence to levels observed a decade ago.The U.S. Census and obesity data from national data sources were combined with estimated prevalence of symptomatic knee osteoarthritis to assign persons aged 50 to 84 years to 4 subpopulations: nonobese without knee osteoarthritis (reference group), nonobese with knee osteoarthritis, obese without knee osteoarthritis, and obese with knee osteoarthritis. The Osteoarthritis Policy Model, a computer simulation model of knee osteoarthritis and obesity, was used to estimate quality-adjusted life-year losses due to knee osteoarthritis and obesity in comparison with the reference group.United States.U.S. population aged 50 to 84 years.Quality-adjusted life-years lost owing to knee osteoarthritis and obesity.Estimated total losses of per-person quality-adjusted life-years ranged from 1.857 in nonobese persons with knee osteoarthritis to 3.501 for persons affected by both conditions, resulting in a total of 86.0 million quality-adjusted life-years lost due to obesity, knee osteoarthritis, or both. Quality-adjusted life-years lost due to knee osteoarthritis and/or obesity represent 10% to 25% of the remaining quality-adjusted survival of persons aged 50 to 84 years. Hispanic and black women had disproportionately high losses. Model findings suggested that reversing obesity prevalence to levels seen 10 years ago would avert 178,071 cases of coronary heart disease, 889,872 cases of diabetes, and 111,206 total knee replacements. Such a reduction in obesity would increase the quantity of life by 6,318,030 years and improve life expectancy by 7,812,120 quality-adjusted years in U.S. adults aged 50 to 84 years.Comorbidity incidences were derived from prevalence estimates on the basis of life expectancy of the general population, potentially resulting in conservative underestimates. Calibration analyses were conducted to ensure comparability of model-based projections and data from external sources.The number of quality-adjusted life-years lost owing to knee osteoarthritis and obesity seems to be substantial, with black and Hispanic women experiencing disproportionate losses. Reducing mean body mass index to the levels observed a decade ago in this population would yield substantial health benefits.The National Institutes of Health and the Arthritis Foundation.

Dataset Information

Changing Impact of Obesity on Active Life Expectancy of Older Americans.

Publications

Changing Impact of Obesity on Active Life Expectancy of Older Americans.

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