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A Quantitative Clinicopathological Signature for Predicting Recurrence Risk of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma After Radical Resection.

ABSTRACT: Recurrence and distant metastases were main reasons of unfavorable outcomes for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) after surgery. The aim of this study was to describe the patterns, timing, and predictors of recurrence or metastasis in PDAC patients after curative surgery. Patients with PDAC who underwent radical pancreatectomy were included. Associations between clinicopathological and radiological characteristics and specific pattern of progression were investigated. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and Cox regression were applied to assess the prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). A total of 302 patients were included into present study, and 173 patients were documented as recurrence after a median survival of 24.7 months. More than half of patients recurred after 12 months after surgery, and the liver was the most common metastatic site. Decreased time interval to progression, elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) level, and lymph node (LN)16 metastasis were independent predictors for reduced OS. Independent prognostic factors for PFS included elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, local progression, liver or lung-only metastasis, local + distant progression, multiple metastases, LN16 metastasis, imaging tumor size, chemotherapy, and tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage. The predictive system showed valuable prediction performance with values of concordance indexes (C-indexes) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) over 0.80. Different survival curves and predictive factors for specific patterns of disease progression suggested the biological heterogeneity, providing new versions into personal management of recurrence in PDAC patients after surgery.

SUBMITTER: He C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6861378 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundThe high recurrence rate after radical resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) leads to its poor prognosis. We aimed to develop a model to preoperatively predict the risk of recurrence based on computed tomography (CT) radiomics and multiple clinical parameters.MethodsDatasets were retrospectively collected and analysed of 220 PDAC patients who underwent contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CE-CT) and received radical resection at 3 institutions in China between 2013 and 2017, with 153 from one institution as a training set, the remaining 67 as a validation set. For each patient, CT radiomics features were extracted from intratumoral and peritumoral regions to establish intratumoral, peritumoral and combined radiomics models using artificial neural network (ANN) algorithm. By incorporating clinical factors, radiomics-clinical nomograms were finally built by multivariable logistic regression analysis to predict 1- and 2-year recurrence risk.FindingsThe developed radiomics model integrating intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics features was superior to the conventionally constructed model merely using intratumoral radiomics features. Further, radiomics-clinical nomograms outperformed other models in predicting 1-year recurrence with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.916 (95%CI, 0.860-0.955) in the training set and 0.764 (95%CI, 0.644-0.859) in the validation set, and 2-year recurrence with an AUROC of 0.872 (95%CI: 0.809-0.921) in the training set and 0.773 (95%CI, 0.654-0.866) in the validation set.InterpretationThis study has developed and externally validated a radiomics-clinical nomogram integrating intra- and peritumoral CT radiomics signature as well as clinical factors to predict the recurrence risk of PDAC after radical resection, which will facilitate optimized and individualized treatment strategies.FundingThis work was supported by the National Key R&D Program of China [grant number: 2018YFE0114800], the General Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant number: 81772562, 2017; 81871351, 2018], the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [grant number: 2021FZZX005-08], and Zhejiang Provincial Key Projects of Technology Research [grant number: WKJ-ZJ-2033].

Project description:Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a disease with a very unfavorable prognosis. Surgical resection represents the only potentially curative treatment option, but recurrence after complete resection is almost certain. In an exploratory attempt we here aimed at identifying preoperative plasma protein biomarkers with the potential to predict early recurrence after resection of PDAC. Peripheral blood samples from 14 PDAC patients divided into three groups according to their time to tumor recurrence after curatively intended resection (early: < 6 months, medium: 6-12 months, late: > 12 months) underwent targeted proteome analysis. Proteins most strongly discriminating early and late recurrence were then examined in a number of established PDAC cell lines and their culture supernatants. Finally, PDAC organoid lines from primary tumors of patients with early and late recurrence were analyzed for confirmation and validation of results. In total, 23 proteins showed differential abundance in perioperative plasma from PDAC patients with early recurrence when compared to patients with late recurrence. Following confirmation of expression on a transcriptional and translational level in PDAC cell lines we further focused on three upregulated (MAEA, NT5E, AZU1) and two downregulated proteins (ATP6AP2, MICA). Increased expression of NT5E was confirmed in a subset of PDAC organoid cultures from tumors with early recurrence. MICA expression was heterogeneous and ATP6AP2 levels were very similar in both organoids from early and late recurrent tumors. Most strikingly, we observed high MAEA expression in all tested PDAC (n = 7) compared to a non-cancer ductal organoid line. MAEA also demonstrated potential to discriminate early recurrence from late recurrence PDAC organoids. Our study suggests that identification of plasma protein biomarkers released by tumor cells may be feasible and of value to predict the clinical course of patients. Prediction of recurrence dynamics would help to stratify up-front resectable PDAC patients for neoadjuvant chemotherapy approaches in an individualized fashion. Here, MAEA and NT5E were the most promising candidates for further evaluation.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) represents a paradigm shift in the management of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) with perceived benefits including a higher R0 rate. However, it is unclear whether NAT affects the sites and patterns of recurrence after surgery. This review seeks to compare sites and patterns of recurrence after resection between patients undergoing upfront surgery (US) or after NAT. METHODS:The EMBASE, SCOPUS, PubMed, and Cochrane library databases were systematically searched to identify eligible studies that compare recurrence patterns between patients who had NAT (followed by resection) with those that had US. The primary outcome included site-specific recurrence. RESULTS:26 articles were identified including 4986 patients who underwent resection. Borderline resectable pancreatic cancer (BRPC, 47% 1074/2264) was the most common, followed by resectable pancreatic cancer (RPC 42%, 949/2264). The weighted overall recurrence rates were lower among the NAT group, 63.4% vs. 74% (US) (OR 0.67 (CI 0.52-0.87), p = 0.006). The overall weighted locoregional recurrence rate was lower amongst patients who received NAT when compared to US (12% vs 27% OR 0.39 (CI 0.22-0.70), p = 0.004). In BRPC, locoregional recurrence rates improved with NAT (NAT 25.8% US 37.7% OR 0.62 (CI 0.44-0.87), p = 0.007). NAT was associated with a lower weighted liver recurrence rate (NAT 19.4% US 30.1% OR 0.55 (CI 0.34-0.89), p = 0.023). Lung and peritoneal recurrence rates did not differ between NAT and US cohorts (p = 0.705 and p = 0.549 respectively). NAT was associated with a significantly longer weighted mean time to first recurrence 18.8 months compared to US (15.7 months) (OR 0.18 (CI 0.05-0.32), p = 0.015). CONCLUSION:NAT was associated with lower overall recurrence rate and improved locoregional disease control particularly for those with BRPC. Although the burden of liver metastases was less, there was no overall effect upon distant metastatic disease.

Project description:PurposePancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the highest fatality rate cancers with poor survival rates. The tumor microenvironment (TME) is vital for tumor immune responses, leading to resistance to chemotherapy and poor prognosis of PDAC patients. This study aimed to provide a comprehensive evaluation of the immune genes and microenvironment in PDAC that might help in predicting prognosis and guiding clinical treatments.MethodsWe developed a prognosis-associated immune signature (i.e., PAIS) based on immune-associated genes to predict the overall survival of patients with PDAC. The clinical significance and immune landscapes of the signature were comprehensively analyzed.ResultsOwing to gene expression profiles from TCGA database, functional enrichment analysis revealed a significant difference in the immune response between PDAC and normal pancreas. Using transcriptome data analysis of a training set, we identified an immune signature represented by 5 genes (ESR2, IDO1, IL20RB, PPP3CA, and PLAU) related to the overall survival of patients with PDAC, significantly. This training set was well-validated in a test set. Our results indicated a clear association between a high-risk score and a very poor prognosis. Stratification analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that PAIS was an important prognostic factor. We also found that the risk score was positively correlated with the inflammatory response, antigen-presenting process, and expression level of some immunosuppressive checkpoint molecules (e.g., CD73, PD-L1, CD80, and B7-H3). These results suggested that high-risk patients had a suppressed immune response. However, they could respond better to chemotherapy. In addition, PAIS was positively correlated with the infiltration of M2 macrophages in PDAC.ConclusionsThis study highlighted the relationship between the immune response and prognosis in PDAC and developed a clinically feasible signature that might serve as a powerful prognostic tool and help further optimize the cancer therapy paradigm.

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A Quantitative Clinicopathological Signature for Predicting Recurrence Risk of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma After Radical Resection.

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