Impact of weather seasonality and sexual transmission on the spread of Zika fever.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Denes A
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6863851 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Nov
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Impact of weather seasonality and sexual transmission on the spread of Zika fever.
Dénes Attila A Ibrahim Mahmoud A MA Oluoch Lillian L Tekeli Miklós M Tekeli Tamás T
Scientific reports 20191119 1
We establish a compartmental model to study the transmission of Zika virus disease including spread through sexual contacts and the role of asymptomatic carriers. To incorporate the impact of the seasonality of weather on the spread of Zika, we apply a nonautonomous model with time-dependent mosquito birth rate and biting rate, which allows us to explain the differing outcome of the epidemic in different countries of South America: using Latin Hypercube Sampling for fitting, we were able to repr ...[more]
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