Sites of synchronous distant metastases and prognosis in prostate cancer patients with bone metastases at initial diagnosis: a population-based study of 16,643 patients.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Zhao F
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6884608 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Nov
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Sites of synchronous distant metastases and prognosis in prostate cancer patients with bone metastases at initial diagnosis: a population-based study of 16,643 patients.
Zhao Feng F Wang Jili J Chen Meiqin M Chen Danni D Ye Sunyi S Li Xinke X Chen Xin X Ren Guoping G Yan Senxiang S
Clinical and translational medicine 20191129 1
<h4>Background</h4>Bone is a preferential site for prostate cancer (PCa) metastasis. However, sites of synchronous distant metastases in PCa patients with bone metastases at initial diagnosis and their impacts on prognosis are still unclear, limiting our ability to better stratify and treat the patients. In this study, we examined the sites of synchronous extra-skeletal metastases in de novo PCa patients with bone metastases and their associated prognoses.<h4>Methods</h4>In total, 16,643 de novo ...[more]
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Project description:ObjectiveCancer of the pancreas is a life-threatening condition and has a high distant metastasis (DM) rate of over 50% at diagnosis. Therefore, this study aimed to determine whether patterns of distant metastases correlated with prognosis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) with metastatic spread, and build a novel nomogram capable of predicting the 6, 12, 18-month survival rate with high accuracy.MethodsWe analyzed data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database for cases of PDAC with DM. Kaplan-Meier analysis, log-rank tests and Cox-regression proportional hazards model were used to assess the impact of site and number of DM on the cancer-specific survival (CSS) and over survival (OS). A total of 2709 patients with DM were randomly assigned to the training group and validation group in a 7:3 ratio. A nomogram was constructed by the dependent risk factors which were determined by multivariate Cox-regression analysis. An assessment of the discrimination and ability of the prediction model was made by measuring AUC, C-index, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). In addition, we collected 98 patients with distant metastases at the time of initial diagnosis from Ningbo University Affiliated LiHuili Hospital to verify the efficacy of the prediction model.ResultsThere was a highest incidence of liver metastases from pancreatic cancer (2387,74.36%), followed by lung (625,19.47%), bone (190,5.92%), and brain (8,0.25%). The prognosis of liver metastases differed from that of lung metastases, and the presence of multiple organ metastases was associated with poorer prognosis. According to univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analyses, seven factors (i.e., diagnosis age, tumor location, grade of tumor differentiation, T-stage, receipt of surgery, receipt of chemotherapy status, presence of multiple organ metastases) were included in our nomogram model. In internal and external validation, the ROC curves, C-index, calibration curves and DCA were calculated, which confirmed that this nomogram can precisely predict prognosis of PDAC with DM.ConclusionMetastatic PDAC patients with liver metastases tended to have a worse prognosis than those with lung metastases. The number of DM had significant effect on the overall survival rate of metastatic PDAC. This study had a high prediction accuracy, which was helpful clinicians to analyze the prognosis of PDAC with DM and implement individualized diagnosis and treatment.
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Project description:INTRODUCTION:Population-based data on the incidence and prognosis of bone metastases at diagnosis of breast cancer are currently limited. Hence, we conducted this study to analyze the incidence proportions and prognostic factors of patients with breast cancer and bone metastases at the time of cancer diagnosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS:Patients with primary invasive breast cancer and bone metastases at initial diagnosis between 2010 and 2014 were identified using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) dataset and Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (FUSCC) cohort. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of the presence of bone metastases at diagnosis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the effects of each variable on survival. RESULTS:Of 229, 195 patients from SEER database included in the analysis, 8295 patients had bone metastases at initial diagnosis, reflecting 3.6% of the entire study population, and 65.1% of the subset with metastatic disease to any distant site. Patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative represented the highest incidence proportions among patients with metastatic disease (73.9%). Among entire cohort, multivariable logistic regression identified eight factors as predictors of the presence of bone metastases at diagnosis. Median OS for the patients with bone metastases in SEER and FUSCC cohorts was 30.0 and 68.2 months, respectively. Patients with HR-positive HER2-positive subtype had the longest median OS, and patients with triple-negative subtype showed the shortest median OS. Multivariable Cox model in SEER cohort confirmed age, histology, grade, tumor subtype, extraosseous metastatic sites, history of primary surgery, insurance status, marital status, and income as independent prognostic factors for both OS and BCSS. CONCLUSIONS:The findings of this study provide population-based estimates of the incidence and prognosis for patients with bone metastases at initial diagnosis of breast cancer.
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Project description:Background Bone is the most common metastatic site of patients with advanced breast cancer and the survival time is their primary concern; however, we lack accurate predictive models in clinical practice. In addition to this, primary surgery for breast cancer patients with bone metastases is still controversial. Method The data used for analysis in this study were obtained from the SEER database (2010–2019). We made a COX regression analysis to identify prognostic factors of patients with bone metastatic breast cancer (BMBC). Through cross-validation, we constructed an XGBoost model to predicting survival in patients with BMBC. We also investigated the prognosis of patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus surgical and chemotherapy alone using propensity score matching and K–M survival analysis. Results Our validation results showed that the model has high sensitivity, specificity, and correctness, and it is the most accurate one to predict the survival of patients with BMBC (1-year AUC = 0.818, 3-year AUC = 0.798, and 5-year survival AUC = 0.791). The sensitivity of the 1-year model was higher (0.79), while the specificity of the 5-year model was higher (0.86). Interestingly, we found that if the time from diagnosis to therapy was ≥1 month, patients with BMBC had even better survival than those who started treatment immediately (HR = 0.920, 95%CI 0.869–0.974, P < 0.01). The BMBC patients with an income of more than USD$70,000 had better OS (HR = 0.814, 95%CI 0.745–0.890, P < 0.001) and BCSS (HR = 0.808 95%CI 0.735–0.889, P < 0.001) than who with income of < USD$50,000. We also found that compared with chemotherapy alone, neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus surgical treatment significantly improved OS and BCSS in all molecular subtypes of patients with BMBC, while only the patients with bone metastases only, bone and liver metastases, bone and lung metastases could benefit from neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus surgical treatment. Conclusion We constructed an AI model to provide a quantitative method to predict the survival of patients with BMBC, and our validation results indicate that this model should be highly reproducible in a similar patient population. We also identified potential prognostic factors for patients with BMBC and suggested that primary surgery followed by neoadjuvant chemotherapy might increase survival in a selected subgroup of patients.
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| S-EPMC4366891 | biostudies-other
Project description:ObjectiveTo evaluate the therapeutic value of primary tumor resection (PTR) in metastatic ampullary cancer at the initial presentation.Patients and methodsPatients with metastatic ampullary cancer were identified from Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to balance the characteristics of our cohort. Kaplan-Meier analyses, log-rank tests and multivariate Cox regression models were employed to evaluate the therapeutic value of PTR.ResultsA total of 346 patients with metastatic ampullary cancer were identified from 2004 to 2014 and 90 patients were screened by PSM. PTR was associated with favorable overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) after PSM (PTR vs no-PTR: 16.0, 95% CI: 9.0-22.0 vs 8.0, 95% CI: 5.0-11.0 for median OS; 22.0, 95% CI: 13.0-33.0 vs 9.0, 95% CI: 5.0-11.0 for median CSS; both log-rank P<0.001). Patients receiving PTR plus chemotherapy showed better survival compared with those receiving only chemotherapy (median OS: 18, 95% CI: 13-27 vs 9.0, 95% CI: 8.0-11.0; median CSS: 23.0, 95% CI: 14.0-36.0 vs 9.0, 95% CI: 8.0-13.0; both log-rank P<0.001).ConclusionPTR might bring a survival benefit to ampullary cancer patients with distant metastasis at the initial presentation and might provide a more favorable prognosis when combined with chemotherapy.
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Project description:It is rare and understudied for patients with stage T1 colorectal cancer to have synchronous distant metastasis. This study was to determine the clinicopathological factors associated with distant metastasis and prognosis. T1 colorectal cancer patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 were obtained from the SEER database. Logistic regression was applied to determine risk factors related to distant metastasis. Cox-proportional hazard models were used to identify the prognostic factors for patients with distant metastasis. Among 21,321 patients identified, 359 (1.8%) had synchronous distant metastasis and 1807 (8.5%) had lymph node metastasis. Multivariate analysis revealed that younger age, positive serum CEA, larger tumor size, positive tumor deposit, perineural invasion, lymph node metastasis, histology of non-adenocarcinoma and poorer differentiation were significantly associated with the increased risk of synchronous distant metastasis. Older age, female, Black, positive CEA, positive lymph node metastasis, positive tumor deposit, larger tumor size, no chemotherapy, inadequate lymph node harvesting and no metastasectomy were correlated with worse survival in these patients with synchronous distant metastasis. Patients with metastasis to the liver displayed the highest rate of positive CEA. We conclude that T1 colorectal cancer patients with multiple risk factors need thorough examinations to exclude synchronous distant metastasis. Chemotherapy, adequate lymph node cleaning and metastasectomy are associated with improved survival for those patients with distant metastases. Positive serum CEA may be useful in predicting distant metastases in patients at stage T1.
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Project description:Purpose To investigate the non-cancer causes of death (COD) in cancer patients with synchronous bone metastasis (BM) that is based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Methods The retrospective cohort study included malignant cancer patients with synchronous BM diagnosed from 2010 to 2018 in the SEER database. The frequencies and proportion of non-cancer COD were calculated and analyzed in different genders, ages, and races subgroups. Results A total of 97,997 patients were deceased and included into the current study and 6,782 patients were died of non-cancer causes with a male predominance (N = 4,515, 66.6%). Around half of deaths (N = 3,254, 48.0%) occurred within 6 months after diagnosis while 721 patients were deceased after 3 years. Lung and bronchus cancer, prostate cancer, breast cancer, kidney and renal pelvis cancer, and liver cancer were proved to be the top five cancer types resulting in non-cancer caused death. Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases were the leading non-cancer cause of death (N = 2,618), followed by COPD and associated conditions (N = 553) and septicemia, infectious and parasitic diseases (N = 544). Sub-analyses stratified by gender, age and race were performed and the similar results with slightly difference were observed. Conclusions Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases were the main non-cancer cause of death in cancer patients with synchronous BM. Other non-cancer causes included COPD, septicemia, infectious and parasitic diseases, and so on. These findings should be considered by physicians. Physicians can counsel cancer patients with BM regarding survivorship with death causes screening and focus on prevention of non-cancer deaths.
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Project description:PURPOSEBone lesions on prostate MRI often raise concern about metastases. This study aimed to evaluate the prevalence of bone metastases on staging prostate MRI and evaluate associations between their MRI features and clinical/pathologic characteristics.METHODSRetrospective, IRB-approved study of 3765 patients undergoing prostate MRI for newly diagnosed PCa between 2000 and 2014. The reference standard to calculate the prevalence of bone metastases was bone biopsy and/or ?1-year follow-up after MRI. In a subsample of 228 patients, the MRI characteristics of bone lesions were recorded by two radiologists independently. Associations between MRI and clinical/pathologic findings, including National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk categories, were calculated.RESULTS57/3765 patients (1.5%, 95% CI 1.2-2.0%) had bone metastases. No patient with NCCN low-risk PCa (Gleason < 7, PSA < 10 ng/mL, cT1-2a) had bone metastases. In the subsample, ?1 bone lesion was present on MRI in 74% (95% CI 0.67-0.79) and 72% (95% CI 0.66-0.78) of patients (R1 and R2). Larger lesion diameter (OR 1.33/1.19; p < 0.001 for both readers) and the absence of intralesional fat (OR 0.07/0.11; p = 0.004/0.002 for R1/R2) were significantly associated with bone metastases.CONCLUSIONBone lesions are common in prostate MRI, but only rarely represent metastases. MRI should be interpreted in the context of clinical features that influence the likelihood of metastatic disease.
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Project description:BackgroundNasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a relatively common type of cancer in Southern China, with local recurrence or distant metastases even after radical treatment; consequently, it is critical to identify the patients at higher risk for these events beforehand. This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of regional lymph node density (RLND) associated nomograms in NPC and to evaluate the utility of nomograms in risk stratification.MethodsA total of 610 NPC patients without distant metastases (425 in the training and 185 in the validation cohort) were enrolled. The MRI-identified nodal features and clinical characteristics were documented, and the RLND was calculated. Cox analyses were conducted to identify prognostic-associated factors. Nomograms were generated based on the multivariate analysis results. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram models were determined using the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and calibration curve; the results were compared with those of the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and C-index were used to assess the prognostic effect and added discriminative ability of RLND. We also estimated the optimal RLND-based nomogram score cut-off values for survival prediction.ResultsRLND was an independent predictor of overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), with hazard ratios of 1.36 and 1.30, respectively. RLND was utilized in the construction of nomograms, alongside other independent prognostic factors. The RLND-based nomogram models presented a more effective discriminative ability than the TNM classification for predicting OS (C-index, 0.711 vs. 0.680) and DFS (C-index, 0.681 vs. 0.669), with favorable calibration and consistency. The comparison of C-index values between the nomogram models with and without RLND provided substantiation of the crucial role RLND plays in these models. DCA confirmed the satisfactory clinical practicability of RLND. Moreover, the nomograms were used to categorize the patients into three groups (high-, middle-, and low-risk), and the Kaplan-Meier curves showed significant differences in prognosis between them (p < 0.05). These results were verified in the validation cohort.ConclusionRLND stands as a robust prognostic factor in NPC. The RLND-based nomograms excel in predicting survival, surpassing the TNM classification.
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