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Patterns of symptoms before a diagnosis of first episode psychosis: a latent class analysis of UK primary care electronic health records.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:The nature of symptoms in the prodromal period of first episode psychosis (FEP) remains unclear. The objective was to determine the patterns of symptoms recorded in primary care in the 5 years before FEP diagnosis. METHODS:The study was set within 568 practices contributing to a UK primary care health record database (Clinical Practice Research Datalink). Patients aged 16-45?years with a first coded record of FEP, and no antipsychotic prescription more than 1 year prior to FEP diagnosis (n?=?3045) was age, gender, and practice matched to controls without FEP (n?=?12,180). Fifty-five symptoms recorded in primary care in the previous 5?years, categorised into 8 groups (mood-related, 'neurotic', behavioural change, volition change, cognitive change, perceptual problem, substance misuse, physical symptoms), were compared between cases and controls. Common patterns of symptoms prior to FEP diagnosis were identified using latent class analysis. RESULTS:Median age at diagnosis was 30?years, 63% were male. Non-affective psychosis (67%) was the most common diagnosis. Mood-related, 'neurotic', and physical symptoms were frequently recorded (>?30% of patients) before diagnosis, and behavioural change, volition change, and substance misuse were also common (>?10%). Prevalence of all symptom groups was higher in FEP patients than in controls (adjusted odds ratios 1.33-112). Median time from the first recorded symptom to FEP diagnosis was 2-2.5?years except for perceptual problem (70?days). The optimal latent class model applied to FEP patients determined three distinct patient clusters: 'no or minimal symptom cluster' (49%) had no or few symptoms recorded; 'affective symptom cluster' (40%) mainly had mood-related and 'neurotic' symptoms; and 'multiple symptom cluster' (11%) consulted for three or more symptom groups before diagnosis. The multiple symptom cluster was more likely to have drug-induced psychosis, female, obese, and have a higher morbidity burden. Affective and multiple symptom clusters showed a good discriminative ability (C-statistic 0.766; sensitivity 51.2% and specificity 86.7%) for FEP, and many patients in these clusters had consulted for their symptoms several years before FEP diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS:Distinctive patterns of prodromal symptoms may help alert general practitioners to those developing psychosis, facilitating earlier identification and referral to specialist care, thereby avoiding potentially detrimental treatment delay.

SUBMITTER: Chen Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6894287 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Patterns of symptoms before a diagnosis of first episode psychosis: a latent class analysis of UK primary care electronic health records.

Chen Ying Y Farooq Saeed S Edwards John J Chew-Graham Carolyn A CA Shiers David D Frisher Martin M Hayward Richard R Sumathipala Athula A Jordan Kelvin P KP

BMC medicine 20191204 1

<h4>Background</h4>The nature of symptoms in the prodromal period of first episode psychosis (FEP) remains unclear. The objective was to determine the patterns of symptoms recorded in primary care in the 5 years before FEP diagnosis.<h4>Methods</h4>The study was set within 568 practices contributing to a UK primary care health record database (Clinical Practice Research Datalink). Patients aged 16-45 years with a first coded record of FEP, and no antipsychotic prescription more than 1 year prior ...[more]

PMID: 31801530

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Project description:BackgroundNowadays, patients with chronic diseases such as diabetes and hypertension have reached alarming numbers worldwide. These diseases increase the risk of developing acute complications and involve a substantial economic burden and demand for health resources. The widespread adoption of Electronic Health Records (EHRs) is opening great opportunities for supporting decision-making. Nevertheless, data extracted from EHRs are complex (heterogeneous, high-dimensional and usually noisy), hampering the knowledge extraction with conventional approaches.MethodsWe propose the use of the Denoising Autoencoder (DAE), a Machine Learning (ML) technique allowing to transform high-dimensional data into latent representations (LRs), thus addressing the main challenges with clinical data. We explore in this work how the combination of LRs with a visualization method can be used to map the patient data in a two-dimensional space, gaining knowledge about the distribution of patients with different chronic conditions. Furthermore, this representation can be also used to characterize the patient's health status evolution, which is of paramount importance in the clinical setting.ResultsTo obtain clinical LRs, we considered real-world data extracted from EHRs linked to the University Hospital of Fuenlabrada in Spain. Experimental results showed the great potential of DAEs to identify patients with clinical patterns linked to hypertension, diabetes and multimorbidity. The procedure allowed us to find patients with the same main chronic disease but different clinical characteristics. Thus, we identified two kinds of diabetic patients with differences in their drug therapy (insulin and non-insulin dependant), and also a group of women affected by hypertension and gestational diabetes. We also present a proof of concept for mapping the health status evolution of synthetic patients when considering the most significant diagnoses and drugs associated with chronic patients.ConclusionOur results highlighted the value of ML techniques to extract clinical knowledge, supporting the identification of patients with certain chronic conditions. Furthermore, the patient's health status progression on the two-dimensional space might be used as a tool for clinicians aiming to characterize health conditions and identify their more relevant clinical codes.

Project description:AimsThe main focus of this study is to illustrate the importance of the statistical analysis in the evaluation of the accuracy of malaria diagnostic tests, without admitting a reference test, exploring a dataset (n=3317) collected in São Tomé and Príncipe.MethodsBayesian Latent Class Models (without and with constraints) are used to estimate the malaria infection prevalence, together with sensitivities, specificities, and predictive values of three diagnostic tests (RDT, Microscopy and PCR), in four subpopulations simultaneously based on a stratified analysis by age groups (< 5, ? 5 years old) and fever status (febrile, afebrile).ResultsIn the afebrile individuals with at least five years old, the posterior mean of the malaria infection prevalence is 3.2% with a highest posterior density interval of [2.3-4.1]. The other three subpopulations (febrile ? 5 years, afebrile or febrile children less than 5 years) present a higher prevalence around 10.3% [8.8-11.7]. In afebrile children under-five years old, the sensitivity of microscopy is 50.5% [37.7-63.2]. In children under-five, the estimated sensitivities/specificities of RDT are 95.4% [90.3-99.5]/93.8% [91.6-96.0]--afebrile--and 94.1% [87.5-99.4]/97.5% [95.5-99.3]--febrile. In individuals with at least five years old are 96.0% [91.5-99.7]/98.7% [98.1-99.2]--afebrile--and 97.9% [95.3-99.8]/97.7% [96.6-98.6]--febrile. The PCR yields the most reliable results in four subpopulations.ConclusionsThe utility of this RDT in the field seems to be relevant. However, in all subpopulations, data provide enough evidence to suggest caution with the positive predictive values of the RDT. Microscopy has poor sensitivity compared to the other tests, particularly, in the afebrile children less than 5 years. This type of findings reveals the danger of statistical analysis based on microscopy as a reference test. Bayesian Latent Class Models provide a powerful tool to evaluate malaria diagnostic tests, taking into account different groups of interest.

Dataset Information

Patterns of symptoms before a diagnosis of first episode psychosis: a latent class analysis of UK primary care electronic health records.

Publications

Patterns of symptoms before a diagnosis of first episode psychosis: a latent class analysis of UK primary care electronic health records.

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