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Germany's decision to phase out coal by 2038 lags behind citizens' timing preferences.


ABSTRACT: Coal-fired power generation is the single most important source of carbon dioxide emissions in many countries, including Germany. A government commission recently proposed to phase out coal by 2038, which implies that the country will miss its 2020 climate target. Based on a representative sample of German voters assessing 31,744 hypothetical policy scenarios in a choice experiment, we show that voters prefer an earlier phase-out by 2025. They would uphold their support for greater climate ambition up to an additional cost to society of €8.50 billion. Voters in Rhineland and Lusatia, the country's main coal regions, support an earlier phase-out, too, although to a lesser extent. By demonstrating that political decision-makers are more reluctant to overcoming energy path dependence than voters, our analysis calls for further research explaining the influence of particular stakeholders in slowing energy transitions.

SUBMITTER: Rinscheid A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6894934 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Germany's decision to phase out coal by 2038 lags behind citizens' timing preferences.

Rinscheid Adrian A   Wüstenhagen Rolf R  

Nature energy 20190801 10


Coal-fired power generation is the single most important source of carbon dioxide emissions in many countries, including Germany. A government commission recently proposed to phase out coal by 2038, which implies that the country will miss its 2020 climate target. Based on a representative sample of German voters assessing 31,744 hypothetical policy scenarios in a choice experiment, we show that voters prefer an earlier phase-out by 2025. They would uphold their support for greater climate ambit  ...[more]

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