Dataset Information

External Validation of Radiation-Induced Dyspnea Models on Esophageal Cancer Radiotherapy Patients.

ABSTRACT: Purpose: Radiation-induced lung disease (RILD), defined as dyspnea in this study, is a risk for patients receiving high-dose thoracic irradiation. This study is a TRIPOD (Transparent Reporting of A Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis) Type 4 validation of previously-published dyspnea models via secondary analysis of esophageal cancer SCOPE1 trial data. We quantify the predictive performance of these two models for predicting the maximal dyspnea grade ? 2 within 6 months after the end of high-dose chemo-radiotherapy for primary esophageal cancer. Materials and methods: We tested the performance of two previously published dyspnea risk models using baseline, treatment and follow-up data on 258 esophageal cancer patients in the UK enrolled into the SCOPE1 multi-center trial. The tested models were developed from lung cancer patients treated at MAASTRO Clinic (The Netherlands) from the period 2002 to 2011. The adverse event of interest was dyspnea ? Grade 2 (CTCAE v3) within 6 months after the end of radiotherapy. As some variables were missing randomly and cannot be imputed, 212 patients in the SCOPE1 were used for validation of model 1 and 255 patients were used for validation of model 2. The model parameter Forced Expiratory Volume in 1 s (FEV1), as a predictor to both validated models, was imputed using the WHO performance status. External validation was performed using an automated, decentralized approach, without exchange of individual patient data. Results: Out of 258 patients with esophageal cancer in SCOPE1 trial data, 38 patients (14.7%) developed radiation-induced dyspnea (? Grade 2) within 6 months after chemo-radiotherapy. The discrimination performance of the models in esophageal cancer patients treated with high-dose external beam radiotherapy was moderate, area under curve (AUC) of 0.68 (95% CI 0.55-0.76) and 0.70 (95% CI 0.58-0.77), respectively. The curves and AUCs derived by distributed learning were identical to the results from validation on a local host. Conclusion: We have externally validated previously published dyspnea models using an esophageal cancer dataset. FEV1 that is not routinely measured for esophageal cancer was imputed using WHO performance status. Prediction performance was not statistically different from previous training and validation sets. Risk estimates were dominated by WHO score in Model 1 and baseline dyspnea in Model 2. The distributed learning approach gave the same answer as local processing, and could be performed without accessing a validation site's individual patients-level data.

SUBMITTER: Shi Z

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6927468 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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External Validation of Radiation-Induced Dyspnea Models on Esophageal Cancer Radiotherapy Patients.

Shi Zhenwei Z Foley Kieran G KG Pablo de Mey Juan J Spezi Emiliano E Whybra Philip P Crosby Tom T van Soest Johan J Dekker Andre A Wee Leonard L

Frontiers in oncology 20191216

<b>Purpose:</b> Radiation-induced lung disease (RILD), defined as dyspnea in this study, is a risk for patients receiving high-dose thoracic irradiation. This study is a TRIPOD (Transparent Reporting of A Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis) Type 4 validation of previously-published dyspnea models via secondary analysis of esophageal cancer SCOPE1 trial data. We quantify the predictive performance of these two models for predicting the maximal dyspnea grade ≥ 2 w ...[more]

PMID: 31921668

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Project description:BackgroundThe machine learning models with dose factors and the deep learning models with dose distribution matrix have been used to building lung toxics models for radiotherapy and achieve promising results. However, few studies have integrated clinical features into deep learning models. This study aimed to explore the role of three-dimension dose distribution and clinical features in predicting radiation pneumonitis (RP) in esophageal cancer patients after radiotherapy and designed a new hybrid deep learning network to predict the incidence of RP.MethodsA total of 105 esophageal cancer patients previously treated with radiotherapy were enrolled in this study. The three-dimension (3D) dose distributions within the lung were extracted from the treatment planning system, converted into 3D matrixes and used as inputs to predict RP with ResNet. In total, 15 clinical factors were normalized and converted into one-dimension (1D) matrixes. A new prediction model (HybridNet) was then built based on a hybrid deep learning network, which combined 3D ResNet18 and 1D convolution layers. Machine learning-based prediction models, which use the traditional dosiomic factors with and without the clinical factors as inputs, were also constructed and their predictive performance compared with that of HybridNet using tenfold cross validation. Accuracy and area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the model effect. DeLong test was used to compare the prediction results of the models.ResultsThe deep learning-based model achieved superior prediction results compared with machine learning-based models. ResNet performed best in the group that only considered dose factors (accuracy, 0.78 ± 0.05; AUC, 0.82 ± 0.25), whereas HybridNet performed best in the group that considered both dose factors and clinical factors (accuracy, 0.85 ± 0.13; AUC, 0.91 ± 0.09). HybridNet had higher accuracy than that of Resnet (p = 0.009).ConclusionBased on prediction results, the proposed HybridNet model could predict RP in esophageal cancer patients after radiotherapy with significantly higher accuracy, suggesting its potential as a useful tool for clinical decision-making. This study demonstrated that the information in dose distribution is worth further exploration, and combining multiple types of features contributes to predict radiotherapy response.

Project description:PurposeTo assess possible differences in radiation-induced lymphocyte depletion for esophageal cancer patients being treated with the following 3 treatment modalities: intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT), passive scattering proton therapy (PSPT), and intensity-modulated proton therapy (IMPT).Methods and materialsWe used 2 prediction models to estimate lymphocyte depletion based on dose distributions. Model I used a piecewise linear relationship between lymphocyte survival and voxel-by-voxel dose. Model II assumes that lymphocytes deplete exponentially as a function of total delivered dose. The models can be fitted using the weekly absolute lymphocyte counts measurements collected throughout treatment. We randomly selected 45 esophageal cancer patients treated with IMRT, PSPT, or IMPT at our institution (15 per modality) to demonstrate the fitness of the 2 models. A different group of 10 esophageal cancer patients who had received PSPT were included in this study of in silico simulations of multiple modalities. One IMRT and one IMPT plan were created, using our standards of practice for each modality, as competing plans to the existing PSPT plan for each patient. We fitted the models by PSPT plans used in treatment and predicted absolute lymphocyte counts for IMRT and IMPT plans.ResultsModel validation on each modality group of patients showed good agreement between measured and predicted absolute lymphocyte counts nadirs with mean squared errors from 0.003 to 0.023 among the modalities and models. In the simulation study of IMRT and IMPT on the 10 PSPT patients, the average predicted absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) nadirs were 0.27, 0.35, and 0.37 K/μL after IMRT, PSPT, and IMPT treatments using Model I, respectively, and 0.14, 0.22, and 0.33 K/μL using Model II.ConclusionsProton plans carried a lower predicted risk of lymphopenia after the treatment course than did photon plans. Moreover, IMPT plans outperformed PSPT in terms of predicted lymphocyte preservation.

Dataset Information

External Validation of Radiation-Induced Dyspnea Models on Esophageal Cancer Radiotherapy Patients.

Publications

External Validation of Radiation-Induced Dyspnea Models on Esophageal Cancer Radiotherapy Patients.

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