Dataset Information

Construction of Quantitative Structure Activity Relationship (QSAR) Models to Predict Potency of Structurally Diversed Janus Kinase 2 Inhibitors.

ABSTRACT: Janus kinase 2 (JAK2) inhibitors represent a promising therapeutic class of anticancer agents against many myeloproliferative disorders. Bioactivity data on pIC 50 of 2229 JAK2 inhibitors were employed in the construction of quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models. The models were built from 100 data splits using decision tree (DT), support vector machine (SVM), deep neural network (DNN) and random forest (RF). The predictive power of RF models were assessed via 10-fold cross validation, which afforded excellent predictive performance with R 2 and RMSE of 0.74 ± 0.05 and 0.63 ± 0.05, respectively. Moreover, test set has excellent performance of R 2 (0.75 ± 0.03) and RMSE (0.62 ± 0.04). In addition, Y-scrambling was utilized to evaluate the possibility of chance correlation of the predictive model. A thorough analysis of the substructure fingerprint count was conducted to provide insights on the inhibitory properties of JAK2 inhibitors. Molecular cluster analysis revealed that pyrazine scaffolds have nanomolar potency against JAK2.

SUBMITTER: Simeon S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6930640 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Construction of Quantitative Structure Activity Relationship (QSAR) Models to Predict Potency of Structurally Diversed Janus Kinase 2 Inhibitors.

Simeon Saw S Jongkon Nathjanan N

Molecules (Basel, Switzerland) 20191201 23

Janus kinase 2 (JAK2) inhibitors represent a promising therapeutic class of anticancer agents against many myeloproliferative disorders. Bioactivity data on pIC 50 of 2229 JAK2 inhibitors were employed in the construction of quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models. The models were built from 100 data splits using decision tree (DT), support vector machine (SVM), deep neural network (DNN) and random forest (RF). The predictive power of RF models were assessed via 10-fold cross ...[more]

PMID: 31805692

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Project description:Human health risk assessment for environmental chemical exposure is limited by a vast majority of chemicals with little or no experimental in vivo toxicity data. Data gap filling techniques, such as quantitative structure activity relationship (QSAR) models based on chemical structure information, can predict hazard in the absence of experimental data. Risk assessment requires identification of a quantitative point-of-departure (POD) value, the point on the dose-response curve that marks the beginning of a low-dose extrapolation. This study presents two sets of QSAR models to predict POD values (PODQSAR) for repeat dose toxicity. For training and validation, a publicly available in vivo toxicity dataset for 3592 chemicals was compiled using the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Toxicity Value database (ToxValDB). The first set of QSAR models predict point-estimates of POD values (PODQSAR) using structural and physicochemical descriptors for repeat dose study types and species combinations. A random forest QSAR model using study type and species as descriptors showed the best performance, with an external test set root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.71 log10-mg/kg/day and coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.53. The second set of QSAR models predict the 95% confidence intervals for PODQSAR using a constructed POD distribution with a mean equal to the median POD value and a standard deviation of 0.5 log10-mg/kg/day, based on previously published typical study-to-study variability that may lead to uncertainty in model predictions. Bootstrap resampling of the pre-generated POD distribution was used to derive point-estimates and 95% confidence intervals for each POD prediction. Enrichment analysis to evaluate the accuracy of PODQSAR showed that 80% of the 5% most potent chemicals were found in the top 20% of the most potent chemical predictions, suggesting that the repeat dose POD QSAR models presented here may help inform screening level human health risk assessments in the absence of other data.

Project description:The International Conference on Harmonization (ICH) M7 guideline allows the use of in silico approaches for predicting Ames mutagenicity for the initial assessment of impurities in pharmaceuticals. This is the first international guideline that addresses the use of quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models in lieu of actual toxicological studies for human health assessment. Therefore, QSAR models for Ames mutagenicity now require higher predictive power for identifying mutagenic chemicals. To increase the predictive power of QSAR models, larger experimental datasets from reliable sources are required. The Division of Genetics and Mutagenesis, National Institute of Health Sciences (DGM/NIHS) of Japan recently established a unique proprietary Ames mutagenicity database containing 12140 new chemicals that have not been previously used for developing QSAR models. The DGM/NIHS provided this Ames database to QSAR vendors to validate and improve their QSAR tools. The Ames/QSAR International Challenge Project was initiated in 2014 with 12 QSAR vendors testing 17 QSAR tools against these compounds in three phases. We now present the final results. All tools were considerably improved by participation in this project. Most tools achieved >50% sensitivity (positive prediction among all Ames positives) and predictive power (accuracy) was as high as 80%, almost equivalent to the inter-laboratory reproducibility of Ames tests. To further increase the predictive power of QSAR tools, accumulation of additional Ames test data is required as well as re-evaluation of some previous Ames test results. Indeed, some Ames-positive or Ames-negative chemicals may have previously been incorrectly classified because of methodological weakness, resulting in false-positive or false-negative predictions by QSAR tools. These incorrect data hamper prediction and are a source of noise in the development of QSAR models. It is thus essential to establish a large benchmark database consisting only of well-validated Ames test results to build more accurate QSAR models.

Dataset Information

Construction of Quantitative Structure Activity Relationship (QSAR) Models to Predict Potency of Structurally Diversed Janus Kinase 2 Inhibitors.

Publications

Construction of Quantitative Structure Activity Relationship (QSAR) Models to Predict Potency of Structurally Diversed Janus Kinase 2 Inhibitors.

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