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The Norovirus Epidemiologic Triad: Predictors of Severe Outcomes in US Norovirus Outbreaks, 2009-2016.


ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Noroviruses are the leading cause of acute gastroenteritis outbreaks worldwide. Clarifying the viral, host, and environmental factors (epidemiologic triad) associated with severe outcomes can help target public health interventions. METHODS:Acute norovirus outbreaks reported to the National Outbreak Reporting System (NORS) in 2009-2016 were linked to laboratory-confirmed norovirus outbreaks reported to CaliciNet. Outbreaks were analyzed for differences in genotype (GII.4 vs non-GII.4), hospitalization, and mortality rates by timing, setting, transmission mode, demographics, clinical symptoms, and health outcomes. RESULTS:A total of 3747 norovirus outbreaks were matched from NORS and CaliciNet. Multivariable models showed that GII.4 outbreaks (n = 2353) were associated with healthcare settings (odds ratio [OR], 3.94 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 2.99-5.23]), winter months (November-April; 1.55 [95% CI, 1.24-1.93]), and older age of cases (?50% aged ?75 years; 1.37 [95% CI, 1.04-1.79]). Severe outcomes were more likely among GII.4 outbreaks (hospitalization rate ratio [RR], 1.54 [95% CI, 1.23-1.96]; mortality RR, 2.77 [95% CI, 1.04-5.78]). Outbreaks in healthcare settings were also associated with higher hospitalization (RR, 3.22 [95% CI, 2.34-4.44]) and mortality rates (RR, 5.65 [95% CI, 1.92-18.70]). CONCLUSIONS:Severe outcomes more frequently occurred in norovirus outbreaks caused by GII.4 and those in healthcare settings. These results should help guide preventive interventions for targeted populations, including vaccine development.

SUBMITTER: Burke RM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6939307 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The Norovirus Epidemiologic Triad: Predictors of Severe Outcomes in US Norovirus Outbreaks, 2009-2016.

Burke Rachel M RM   Shah Minesh P MP   Wikswo Mary E ME   Barclay Leslie L   Kambhampati Anita A   Marsh Zachary Z   Cannon Jennifer L JL   Parashar Umesh D UD   Vinjé Jan J   Hall Aron J AJ  

The Journal of infectious diseases 20190401 9


<h4>Background</h4>Noroviruses are the leading cause of acute gastroenteritis outbreaks worldwide. Clarifying the viral, host, and environmental factors (epidemiologic triad) associated with severe outcomes can help target public health interventions.<h4>Methods</h4>Acute norovirus outbreaks reported to the National Outbreak Reporting System (NORS) in 2009-2016 were linked to laboratory-confirmed norovirus outbreaks reported to CaliciNet. Outbreaks were analyzed for differences in genotype (GII.  ...[more]

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