Dataset Information

Prediction of Uropathogens by Flow Cytometry and Dip-stick Test Results of Urine Through Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis.

ABSTRACT: PURPOSE:Multidrug-resistant Enterobacteriaceae in urinary tract infection (UTI) has spread worldwide; one cause is overuse of broad-spectrum antimicrobial agents such as fluoroquinolone antibacterials. To improve antimicrobial agent administration, this study aimed to calculate a probability prediction formula to predict the organism strain causing UTI in real time from dip-stick testing and flow cytometry. METHODOLOGY:We examined 372 outpatient spot urine samples with observed pyuria and bacteriuria using dip-stick testing and flow cytometry. We performed multiple logistic-regression analysis on the basis of 11 measurement items and BACT scattergram analysis with age and sex as explanatory variables and each strain as the response variable and calculated a probability prediction formula. RESULTS:The best prediction formula for discrimination of the bacilli group and cocci or polymicrobial group was a model with 5 explanatory variables that included percentage of scattergram dots in an angular area of 0-25° (P<0.001), sex (P<0.001), nitrite (P = 0.002), and ketones (P = 0.133). For a predicted cut-off value of Y = 0.395, sensitivity was 0.867 and specificity was 0.775 (cross-validation group: sensitivity = 0.840, specificity = 0.760). The best prediction formula for P. mirabilis and other bacilli was a model with percentage of scattergram dots in an angular area of 0-20° (P<0.001) and nitrite (P = 0.090). For a predicted cut-off value of Y = 0.064, sensitivity was 0.889 and specificity was 0.788 (cross-validation group: sensitivity = 1.000, specificity = 0.766). CONCLUSION:Simultaneous use of the calculated probability prediction formula with urinalysis results facilitates real-time prediction of organisms causing UTI, thus providing helpful information for empiric therapy.

SUBMITTER: Nakamura A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6946154 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of Uropathogens by Flow Cytometry and Dip-stick Test Results of Urine Through Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis.

Nakamura Akihiro A Kohno Aya A Noguchi Nobuyoshi N Kawa Kenji K Ohno Yuki Y Komatsu Masaru M Yamanishi Hachiro H

PloS one 20200107 1

<h4>Purpose</h4>Multidrug-resistant Enterobacteriaceae in urinary tract infection (UTI) has spread worldwide; one cause is overuse of broad-spectrum antimicrobial agents such as fluoroquinolone antibacterials. To improve antimicrobial agent administration, this study aimed to calculate a probability prediction formula to predict the organism strain causing UTI in real time from dip-stick testing and flow cytometry.<h4>Methodology</h4>We examined 372 outpatient spot urine samples with observed py ...[more]

PMID: 31910242

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Project description:Multivariable logistic regression (MLR) has been increasingly used in Chinese clinical medical research during the past few years. However, few evaluations of the quality of the reporting strategies in these studies are available.To evaluate the reporting quality and model accuracy of MLR used in published work, and related advice for authors, readers, reviewers, and editors.A total of 316 articles published in 5 leading Chinese clinical medical journals with high impact factor from January 2010 to July 2015 were selected for evaluation. Articles were evaluated according 12 established criteria for proper use and reporting of MLR models.Among the articles, the highest quality score was 9, the lowest 1, and the median 5 (4-5). A total of 85.1% of the articles scored below 6. No significant differences were found among these journals with respect to quality score (χ = 6.706, P = .15). More than 50% of the articles met the following 5 criteria: complete identification of the statistical software application that was used (97.2%), calculation of the odds ratio and its confidence interval (86.4%), description of sufficient events (>10) per variable, selection of variables, and fitting procedure (78.2%, 69.3%, and 58.5%, respectively). Less than 35% of the articles reported the coding of variables (18.7%). The remaining 5 criteria were not satisfied by a sufficient number of articles: goodness-of-fit (10.1%), interactions (3.8%), checking for outliers (3.2%), collinearity (1.9%), and participation of statisticians and epidemiologists (0.3%). The criterion of conformity with linear gradients was applicable to 186 articles; however, only 7 (3.8%) mentioned or tested it.The reporting quality and model accuracy of MLR in selected articles were not satisfactory. In fact, severe deficiencies were noted. Only 1 article scored 9. We recommend authors, readers, reviewers, and editors to consider MLR models more carefully and cooperate more closely with statisticians and epidemiologists. Journals should develop statistical reporting guidelines concerning MLR.

Project description:The goals of this study were to examine whether machine-learning algorithms outperform multivariable logistic regression in the prediction of insufficient response to methotrexate (MTX); secondly, to examine which features are essential for correct prediction; and finally, to investigate whether the best performing model specifically identifies insufficient responders to MTX (combination) therapy. The prediction of insufficient response (3-month Disease Activity Score 28-Erythrocyte-sedimentation rate (DAS28-ESR) > 3.2) was assessed using logistic regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), random forest, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The baseline features of 355 rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients from the "treatment in the Rotterdam Early Arthritis CoHort" (tREACH) and the U-Act-Early trial were combined for analyses. The model performances were compared using area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), and sensitivity and specificity. Finally, the best performing model following feature selection was tested on 101 RA patients starting tocilizumab (TCZ)-monotherapy. Logistic regression (AUC = 0.77 95% CI: 0.68-0.86) performed as well as LASSO (AUC = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.85), random forest (AUC = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.61 = 0.81), and XGBoost (AUC = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.61-0.81), yet logistic regression reached the highest sensitivity (81%). The most important features were baseline DAS28 (components). For all algorithms, models with six features performed similarly to those with 16. When applied to the TCZ-monotherapy group, logistic regression's sensitivity significantly dropped from 83% to 69% (p = 0.03). In the current dataset, logistic regression performed equally well compared to machine-learning algorithms in the prediction of insufficient response to MTX. Models could be reduced to six features, which are more conducive for clinical implementation. Interestingly, the prediction model was specific to MTX (combination) therapy response.

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Dataset Information

Prediction of Uropathogens by Flow Cytometry and Dip-stick Test Results of Urine Through Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis.

Publications

Prediction of Uropathogens by Flow Cytometry and Dip-stick Test Results of Urine Through Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis.

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