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A human mission to Mars: Predicting the bone mineral density loss of astronauts.

ABSTRACT: A round-trip human mission to Mars is anticipated to last roughly three years. Spaceflight conditions are known to cause loss of bone mineral density (BMD) in astronauts, increasing bone fracture risk. There is an urgent need to understand BMD progression as a function of spaceflight time to minimize associated health implications and ensure mission success. Here we introduce a nonlinear mathematical model of BMD loss for candidate human missions to Mars: (i) Opposition class trajectory (400-600 days), and (ii) Conjunction class trajectory (1000-1200 days). Using femoral neck BMD data (N = 69) from astronauts after 132-day and 228-day spaceflight and the World Health Organization's fracture risk recommendation, we predicted post-mission risk and associated osteopathology. Our model predicts 62% opposition class astronauts and 100% conjunction class astronauts will develop osteopenia, with 33% being at risk for osteoporosis. This model can help in implementing countermeasure strategies and inform space agencies' choice of crew candidates.

SUBMITTER: Axpe E

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6975633 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A human mission to Mars: Predicting the bone mineral density loss of astronauts.

Axpe Eneko E Chan Doreen D Abegaz Metadel F MF Schreurs Ann-Sofie AS Alwood Joshua S JS Globus Ruth K RK Appel Eric A EA

PloS one 20200122 1

A round-trip human mission to Mars is anticipated to last roughly three years. Spaceflight conditions are known to cause loss of bone mineral density (BMD) in astronauts, increasing bone fracture risk. There is an urgent need to understand BMD progression as a function of spaceflight time to minimize associated health implications and ensure mission success. Here we introduce a nonlinear mathematical model of BMD loss for candidate human missions to Mars: (i) Opposition class trajectory (400-600 ...[more]

PMID: 31967993

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Project description:RATIONALE:Osteoporosis is common in individuals with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Lung-specific factors, including radiographic emphysema, independently associate with low bone mineral density in cross-sectional smoking cohorts. However, factors associated with progressive bone loss in smokers are understudied and largely unknown. OBJECTIVES:To determine the relationship between radiographic emphysema, circulating bone metabolism markers, and pulmonary function and accelerated bone mineral density loss in smokers. METHODS:Two hundred and forty male and female current and former smokers, 40 years of age or older, underwent baseline and 2-year assessments of pulmonary function, computed tomography-assessed emphysema, dual X-ray absorptiometry-measured bone mineral density, and circulating bone metabolism biomarker levels (type I collagen C-telopeptide [CTX], amino-terminal propeptide of type I procollagen [P1NP]). The association of radiographic emphysema, bone metabolism biomarker levels, and pulmonary function with accelerated hip bone mineral density loss, defined by the 75th percentile of annual hip bone mineral density decline, was determined by logistic regression modeling with adjustment for age, sex, inhaled and intermittent steroid use, active smoking, body mass index, and the presence of baseline low hip bone mineral density. RESULTS:Of those participants with accelerated hip bone mineral density loss, 22% had moderate or severe visually assessed emphysema compared with 7.2% of smokers without accelerated bone mineral density decline. Moderate to severe visually assessed emphysema (odds ratio, 2.84; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-7.98 compared with trace/mild or no visually assessed emphysema) and the 75th percentile of CTX levels (odds ratio, 2.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.20-4.72 compared with CTX levels below the 75th percentile), a marker of bone resorption, were associated with accelerated hip bone mineral density decline after adjustment for covariates and the presence of baseline low hip bone mineral density. FEV1% predicted was not associated with accelerated bone mineral density decline after adjustment for covariates. Multivariate modeling showed moderate to severe visually assessed emphysema, and the 75th percentiles of CTX were independently associated with accelerated hip bone mineral density decline after adjustment for covariates. CONCLUSIONS:Emphysema and elevated markers of bone resorption are independently associated with progressive bone mineral density loss in smokers. These clinical markers may guide targeted bone mineral density screening and monitoring in smokers at highest risk.

Project description:BackgroundMany studies have shown that lipids play important roles in bone metabolism. However, the association between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and bone mineral density (BMD) is unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the linear or nonlinear relation between HDL-C levels and BMD and addressed whether the HDL-C levels had the potential values for predicting the risk of osteoporosis or osteopenia.MethodsTwo researchers independently extracted all information from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database. Participants over 20 years of age with available HDL-C and BMD data were enrolled in the final analysis. The linear relationship between HDL-C levels and BMD was assessed using multivariate linear regression models. Moreover, the nonlinear relationship was also characterized by fitted smoothing curves and generalized additive models. In addition, the odds ratio (OR) for osteopenia and osteoporosis was evaluated with multiple logistic regression models.ResultsThe weighted multivariable linear regression models demonstrated that HDL-C levels displayed an inverse association with BMD, especially among females and subjects aged 30 to 39 or 50 to 59. Moreover, the nonlinear relationship characterized by smooth curve fittings and generalized additive models suggested that (i) HDL-C levels displayed an inverted U-shaped relationship with BMD among women 30 to 39 or over 60 years of age; (ii) HDL-C levels exhibited a U-shaped association with BMD among women 20 to 29 or 50 to 59 years of age. In addition, females with high HDL levels (62-139 mg/dL) had an increased risk of osteopenia or osteoporosis.ConclusionThis study demonstrated that HDL-C levels exhibit an inverse correlation with BMD. Especially in females, clinicians need to be alert to patients with high HDL-C levels, which may indicate an increased risk of osteoporosis or osteopenia. For these patients, close monitoring of BMD and early intervention may be necessary.

Project description:Use of bone mineral density (BMD) by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) is controversial for diagnosing bone loss in CKD patients on dialysis. The alternative quantitative computed tomography (QCT) is expensive and requires high radiation exposure. This study compared the two techniques and evaluated serum biochemical parameters for prediction of bone loss.This prospective study enrolled patients from dialysis centers throughout Kentucky. BMD of the spine and hip was measured at baseline and after 1 year by DXA and QCT. Customary and novel serum biochemical parameters were obtained at the same times, including calcium, phosphorus, whole and intact parathyroid hormone, bone-specific alkaline phosphatase, procollagen type 1 N-terminal propeptide, tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase-5b, Dickkopf-1, fibroblast growth factor, and sclerostin. Rates of detection of osteoporosis by DXA and QCT were compared. Correlations were calculated between baseline biochemical parameters and BMD at baseline and changes over 1 year. Multivariable regression was performed to adjust for age, sex, body mass index, and race.Eighty-one patients completed the study (mean age=52.6 ± 12.3 years, 56% men, 53% African American, and median dialysis vintage=41 months). At baseline, QCT and DXA of the spine identified similar rates of osteoporosis (13.6% and 13.6%), but at the hip, DXA identified more osteoporosis (22.2% versus 13.6%). At any site and by either method, 33.3% of the patients were osteoporotic. Baseline BMD correlated with sclerostin, intact parathyroid hormone, bone-specific alkaline phosphatase, tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase-5b, and fibroblast growth factor. At 1 year, hip QCT identified a higher number of patients experiencing bone loss (51.3%) than DXA (38.5%). After multivariable adjustment, baseline sclerostin and tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase-5b predicted bone loss measured by QCT of the hip; procollagen type 1 N-terminal propeptide predicted cortical spine bone gain by QCT.QCT identified prospectively more bone loss at the hip than DXA. The baseline serum biochemical parameters sclerostin and tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase-5b were noninvasive independent predictors of bone loss in CKD patients on dialysis.

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A human mission to Mars: Predicting the bone mineral density loss of astronauts.

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A human mission to Mars: Predicting the bone mineral density loss of astronauts.

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