Dataset Information

A global streamflow reanalysis for 1980-2018.

ABSTRACT: Global and continental scale hydrological reanalysis datasets receive growing attention due to their increasing number of applications, ranging from water resources management, climate change studies, water related hazards and policy support. Until recently, their use was mostly limited to qualitative assessments, due to their coarse spatial and temporal resolution, large uncertainty and bias in the model output, and limited extent of the dataset in space and time. This research reports on the setup of a gridded hydrological model with quasi-global coverage, able to reproduce a seamless 39-year streamflow simulation in all world's medium to large river basins. The model was calibrated at 1226 river sections with a total drainage area of 51 million km2 within 66 countries, using ECMWF's latest atmospheric reanalysis ERA5. A performance assessment revealed large improvements in reproducing past discharge observations, in comparison to the calibration used in the current operational setup of the hydrological model as part of the Copernicus - Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS, www.globalfloods.eu), with median scores of Kling-Gupta Efficiency KGE = 0.67 and correlation r = 0.8. The simulation bias was also dramatically reduced and narrowed around zero, with more than 60% of stations showing percent bias within ±20%. Pronounced regional differences in the simulation results remain, pointing out the need for detailed investigation of the hydrological processes in specific regions, including parts of Africa and South Asia. In addition, observed discharges with high data quality is key to achieving skillful model output. The new calibrated model will become part of the operational runs of GloFAS in the next system release foreseen for Spring 2020, together with a near real time extension of the streamflow reanalysis.

SUBMITTER: Alfieri L

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6988497 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A global streamflow reanalysis for 1980-2018.

Alfieri Lorenzo L Lorini Valerio V Hirpa Feyera A FA Harrigan Shaun S Zsoter Ervin E Prudhomme Christel C Salamon Peter P

Journal of hydrology: X 20200101

Global and continental scale hydrological reanalysis datasets receive growing attention due to their increasing number of applications, ranging from water resources management, climate change studies, water related hazards and policy support. Until recently, their use was mostly limited to qualitative assessments, due to their coarse spatial and temporal resolution, large uncertainty and bias in the model output, and limited extent of the dataset in space and time. This research reports on the s ...[more]

PMID: 32025657

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Project description:ImportanceGastric cancer is one of the most common cancers, with a high mortality-to-incidence ratio. It is uncertain whether developed nations may encounter an increasing burden of gastric cancer in young adults, as occurs for other cancers.ObjectivesTo evaluate the incidence and mortality of gastric cancer and compare the global incidence trends between younger (<40 years) and older (≥40 years) populations.Design, setting, and participantsThis population-based cohort study analyzed data from global and national cancer registries, including data from 1980 to 2018, with at least 15 calendar years of incidence and mortality data. Data on age-standardized incidence and mortality rates of gastric cancer among 48 countries were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program, the National Cancer Institute, the Nordic Cancer Registries, and the World Health Organization Mortality Database. The 10-year incidence trend of gastric cancer was assessed by age and sex. The 2018 GLOBOCAN database was used for reporting the global incidence and mortality of gastric cancer, the most recent data available at the time of analysis. Analyses were performed between January 10, 2020, and March 20, 2020.Main outcomes and measuresThe average annual percent change (AAPC) of the incidence and mortality trends as evaluated by joinpoint regression analysis.ResultsA total of 1 033 701 new cases of gastric cancer and 782 685 related deaths were reported in 2018. Overall, the incidence of gastric cancer decreased in 29 countries, and mortality decreased in 41 countries. The age-standardized incidence of gastric cancer decreased from a range of 2.6 to 59.1 in 1980 to a range of 2.5 to 56.8 in 2018 per 100 000 persons. The overall age-standardized mortality rate changed from a range of 1.3 to 25.8 in 1980 to a range of 1.5 to 18.5 in 2018 per 100 000 persons, but increasing mortality was observed in Thailand (female: AAPC, 5.30; 95% CI, 4.38-6.23; P < .001; male: AAPC, 3.92; 95% CI, 2.14-5.74; P < .001). The incidence of gastric cancer decreased in most regions among individuals 40 years or older and increased in populations younger than 40 years in several countries, including Sweden (male: AAPC, 13.92; 95% CI, 7.16-21.11; P = .001), Ecuador (female: AAPC, 6.05; 95% CI, 1.40-10.92; P = .02), and the UK (male: AAPC, 4.27; 95% CI, 0.15-8.55; P = .04; female: AAPC, 3.60; 95% CI, 3.59-3.61; P < .001).Conclusions and relevanceIn this population-based cohort study, an increasing incidence of gastric cancer was observed in younger individuals in some countries, highlighting the need for more preventive strategies in younger populations. Future research should explore the reasons for these epidemiologic trends.

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Dataset Information

A global streamflow reanalysis for 1980-2018.

Publications

A global streamflow reanalysis for 1980-2018.

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