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Seasonal variations in cause-specific mortality and transition to renal replacement therapy among patients with end-stage renal disease.

ABSTRACT: Despite some studies showing seasonal variations in mortality and the transition to renal replacement therapy in patients with end-stage renal disease, detailed evidence is still scarce. We investigated seasonal variations in patients with end-stage renal disease using a large Japanese database for dialysis patients. We compared the fractions of all-cause and cause-specific mortality and the transition to renal replacement therapy among seasons and performed a mixed-effects Poisson regression analysis to compare the mortality among seasons after adjustment for some variables. The initiation of hemodialysis was highest in winter and lowest in summer. Seasonality in the initiation of peritoneal dialysis and transition to kidney transplantation differed from hemodialysis. All-cause mortality was highest in the winter and lowest in the summer. Death from coronary artery disease, heart failure, cerebral hemorrhage, and infectious pneumonia had similar seasonality, but death from cerebral infarction, septicemia, or malignant tumor did not have similar seasonality. In conclusion, the initiation of hemodialysis, all-cause mortality, and mortality from coronary heart disease, heart failure, cerebral hemorrhage, and infectious pneumonia were significantly highest in winter and lowest in summer. However, the initiation of peritoneal dialysis, transition to kidney transplantation, or mortality from cerebral infarction, septicemia, or malignant tumor did not have similar seasonal variations.

SUBMITTER: Goto S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7012814 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Seasonal variations in cause-specific mortality and transition to renal replacement therapy among patients with end-stage renal disease.

Goto Shunsuke S Hamano Takayuki T Ogata Satoshi S Masakane Ikuto I

Scientific reports 20200211 1

Despite some studies showing seasonal variations in mortality and the transition to renal replacement therapy in patients with end-stage renal disease, detailed evidence is still scarce. We investigated seasonal variations in patients with end-stage renal disease using a large Japanese database for dialysis patients. We compared the fractions of all-cause and cause-specific mortality and the transition to renal replacement therapy among seasons and performed a mixed-effects Poisson regression an ...[more]

PMID: 32047207

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Project description:BackgroundMortality exhibits seasonal variations, which to a certain extent can be considered as mid-to long-term influences of meteorological conditions. In addition to atmospheric effects, the seasonal pattern of mortality is shaped by non-atmospheric determinants such as environmental conditions or socioeconomic status. Understanding the influence of season and other factors is essential when seeking to implement effective public health measures. The pressures of climate change make an understanding of the interdependencies between season, climate and health especially important.MethodsThis study investigated daily death counts collected within the Sample Vital Registration System (VSRS) established by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS). The sample was stratified by location (urban vs. rural), gender and socioeconomic status. Furthermore, seasonality was analyzed for all-cause mortality, and several cause-specific mortalities. Daily deviation from average mortality was calculated and seasonal fluctuations were elaborated using non parametric spline smoothing. A seasonality index for each year of life was calculated in order to assess the age-dependency of seasonal effects.ResultsWe found distinctive seasonal variations of mortality with generally higher levels during the cold season. To some extent, a rudimentary secondary summer maximum could be observed. The degree and shape of seasonality changed with the cause of death as well as with location, gender, and SES and was strongly age-dependent. Urban areas were seen to be facing an increased summer mortality peak, particularly in terms of cardiovascular mortality. Generally, children and the elderly faced stronger seasonal effects than youths and young adults.ConclusionThis study clearly demonstrated the complex and dynamic nature of seasonal impacts on mortality. The modifying effect of spatial and population characteristics were highlighted. While tropical regions have been, and still are, associated with a marked excess of mortality in summer, only a weakly pronounced secondary summer peak could be observed for Bangladesh, possibly due to the reduced incidence of diarrhoea-related fatalities. These findings suggest that Bangladesh is undergoing an epidemiological transition from summer to winter excess mortality, as a consequence of changes in socioeconomic conditions and health care provision.

Project description:BackgroundPrevious studies have demonstrated that early pre-end-stage renal disease (ESRD) nephrology care could improve postdialysis prognosis. However, less is known about the specific types of interventions responsible for the improved outcomes. We hypothesized that more frequent predialysis laboratory testing is associated with better postdialysis outcomes in incident ESRD patients.MethodsIn all, 23?089 patients with available outpatient laboratory tests performed during the 2-year predialysis (i.e. prelude) period were identified from a total of 52?172 American veterans with chronic kidney disease (CKD) transitioning to dialysis between October 2007 and September 2011. The associations between the frequency of combined laboratory tests, including serum creatinine, serum potassium and hemoglobin (test trio), with postdialysis mortality and hospitalization were examined in multivariable adjusted Cox and logistic regression models.ResultsWhen entering the 2-year prelude period, the mean age (Standard Deviation) of the patients was 66.2 (SD 11.3)?years and the mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 46.8 (SD 23.9)?mL/min/1.73 m2. In all, 14% of patients had the test trio performed less than twice in 24?months and 8.9% had the trio measured more often than every other month. Over a 2.5-year median postdialysis follow-up period, 15?303 (66.3%) patients died (mortality rate 260/1000 patient-years). The adjusted hazard ratio of all-cause mortality and adjusted odds ratio of the composite of hospitalization or death associated with lab testing done >12/24?months compared with 2-?4/24 months were 0.68 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65-0.73] and 0.70 (95% CI 0.62-0.79), respectively.ConclusionsMore frequent laboratory testing in patients with advanced CKD is associated with better clinical outcomes after dialysis. Further examination in clinical trials is needed before the implementation of more frequent laboratory testing in clinical practice.

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Seasonal variations in cause-specific mortality and transition to renal replacement therapy among patients with end-stage renal disease.

Publications

Seasonal variations in cause-specific mortality and transition to renal replacement therapy among patients with end-stage renal disease.

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