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Nomogram to Predict the Benefit of Intensive Treatment for Locoregionally Advanced Head and Neck Cancer.


ABSTRACT: PURPOSE:Previous studies indicate that the benefit of therapy depends on patients' risk for cancer recurrence relative to noncancer mortality (? ratio). We sought to test the hypothesis that patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) with a higher ? ratio selectively benefit from intensive therapy. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN:We analyzed 2,688 patients with stage III-IVB HNC undergoing primary radiotherapy (RT) with or without systemic therapy on three phase III trials (RTOG 9003, RTOG 0129, and RTOG 0522). We used generalized competing event regression to stratify patients according to ? ratio and compared the effectiveness of intensive therapy as a function of predicted ? ratio (i.e., ? score). Intensive therapy was defined as treatment on an experimental arm with altered fractionation and/or multiagent concurrent systemic therapy. A nomogram was developed to predict patients' ? score on the basis of tumor, demographic, and health factors. Analysis was by intention to treat. RESULTS:Decreasing age, improved performance status, higher body mass index, node-positive status, P16-negative status, and oral cavity primary predicted a higher ? ratio. Patients with ? score ?0.80 were more likely to benefit from intensive treatment [5-year overall survival (OS), 70.0% vs. 56.6%; HR of 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.57-0.94; P = 0.016] than those with ? score <0.80 (5-year OS, 46.7% vs. 45.3%; HR of 1.02, 95% CI: 0.92-1.14; P = 0.69; P = 0.019 for interaction). In contrast, the effectiveness of intensive therapy did not depend on risk of progression. CONCLUSIONS:Patients with HNC with a higher ? score selectively benefit from intensive treatment. A nomogram was developed to help select patients for intensive therapy.

SUBMITTER: Mell LK 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7028339 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Nomogram to Predict the Benefit of Intensive Treatment for Locoregionally Advanced Head and Neck Cancer.

Mell Loren K LK   Shen Hanjie H   Nguyen-Tân Phuc Felix PF   Rosenthal David I DI   Zakeri Kaveh K   Vitzthum Lucas K LK   Frank Steven J SJ   Schiff Peter B PB   Trotti Andy M AM   Bonner James A JA   Jones Christopher U CU   Yom Sue S SS   Thorstad Wade L WL   Wong Stuart J SJ   Shenouda George G   Ridge John A JA   Zhang Qiang E QE   Le Quynh-Thu QT  

Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research 20190816 23


<h4>Purpose</h4>Previous studies indicate that the benefit of therapy depends on patients' risk for cancer recurrence relative to noncancer mortality (ω ratio). We sought to test the hypothesis that patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) with a higher ω ratio selectively benefit from intensive therapy.<h4>Experimental design</h4>We analyzed 2,688 patients with stage III-IVB HNC undergoing primary radiotherapy (RT) with or without systemic therapy on three phase III trials (RTOG 9003, RTOG 0129  ...[more]

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