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The risk of morbidity and mortality following recurrent malaria in Papua, Indonesia: a retrospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:An acute episode of malaria can be followed by multiple recurrent episodes either due to re-infection, recrudescence of a partially treated parasite or, in the case of Plasmodium vivax or P. ovale, relapse from the dormant liver stage of the parasite. The aim of this study was to quantify the impact of recurrent malaria episodes on morbidity and mortality in Papua, Indonesia. METHODS:We undertook a retrospective analysis of routinely collected data from malaria patients attending the primary referral hospital in Papua, Indonesia, between April 2004 and December 2013. Multi-state modelling was used to estimate the effect of recurring malaria episodes on re-presentation and admission to hospital and death. The risks of early (??14?days) and late (15 to 365?days) hospital admission and death were estimated separately in our study to distinguish between the direct and indirect effects of malaria recurrence on adverse outcomes. RESULTS:A total of 68,361 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 37,168 (54.4%) presented initially with P. falciparum, 22,209 (32.5%) with P. vivax, and 8984 (13.1%) with other species. During 12?months of follow-up after each of the first four malaria episodes, 10,868 (15.9%) patients were admitted to hospital and 897 (1.3%) died. The risk of re-presenting to the hospital with malaria increased from 34.7% (95% CI 34.4%, 35.1%) at first episode to 58.6% (57.5%, 59.6%) following the third episode of malaria. After adjusting for co-factors, infection with P. vivax was a significant risk factor for re-presentation (hazard ratio (HR)?=?1.48 (95% CI 1.44, 1.51)) and late admission to hospital (HR?=?1.17 (1.11, 1.22)). Patients infected with P. falciparum had a greater overall rate of mortality within 14?days (HR?=?1.54 (1.25, 1.92)), but after multiple episodes of malaria, there was a trend towards a higher rate of early death in patients infected with P. vivax compared to P. falciparum (HR?=?1.91 (0.73, 4.97)). CONCLUSIONS:Compared to patients initially infected with P. falciparum, those infected with P. vivax had significantly more re-presentations to hospital with malaria, and this contributed to a high risk of inpatient admission and death. These findings highlight the importance of radical cure of P. vivax to eliminate the dormant liver stages that trigger relapses.

SUBMITTER: Dini S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7031957 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The risk of morbidity and mortality following recurrent malaria in Papua, Indonesia: a retrospective cohort study.

Dini Saber S Douglas Nicholas M NM Poespoprodjo Jeanne Rini JR Kenangalem Enny E Sugiarto Paulus P Plumb Ian D ID Price Ric N RN Simpson Julie A JA

BMC medicine 20200220 1

<h4>Background</h4>An acute episode of malaria can be followed by multiple recurrent episodes either due to re-infection, recrudescence of a partially treated parasite or, in the case of Plasmodium vivax or P. ovale, relapse from the dormant liver stage of the parasite. The aim of this study was to quantify the impact of recurrent malaria episodes on morbidity and mortality in Papua, Indonesia.<h4>Methods</h4>We undertook a retrospective analysis of routinely collected data from malaria patients ...[more]

PMID: 32075649

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Project description:BackgroundIn endemic regions, the age distribution of malaria varies according to the infecting Plasmodium species. We aimed to delineate the pattern of malaria-related hospitalization from birth in Timika, Papua-an area co-endemic for P. falciparum and P. vivax.MethodsBetween April 2004 and December 2013, infants born at Mitra Masyarakat Hospital, or presenting within the first 7 days of life, were enrolled retrospectively into a cohort study and followed passively using routinely-collected hospital surveillance data. Outcomes were stratified by the presence or absence of Plasmodium parasitemia and included re-presentation to hospital, requirement for hospital admission and death.ResultsOverall, 11,408 infants were enrolled into the cohort. Median follow-up was 4.3 (maximum 9.7) years. In total, 7,847 (68.9%) infants made 90,766 re-presentations to hospital, 18,105 (19.9%) of which were associated with Plasmodium parasitemia. The incidence of re-presentations with malaria during the first year of life was 213 per 1,000 person-years (py) for P. vivax and 79 per 1,000py for P. falciparum (Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) = 2.69, 95% Confidence Interval (95%CI): 2.48-2.92). After the age of 5 years, the incidence of P. vivax had fallen to 77/1,000py and the incidence of P. falciparum had risen to 95/1,000py (IRR = 0.80, 95%CI: 0.73-0.88). Overall, 79.7% (14,431/18,105) of malaria re-presentations were recurrences rather than initial infections. Malaria accounted for 31.7% (2,126/3,120) of all hospital admissions. The infant mortality rate in this study was 52 deaths per 1,000 live births. Beyond the early neonatal period, 13.4% of deaths were associated with Plasmodium parasitemia.ConclusionsIn Papua, Indonesia, malaria is a major cause of hospital presentation and admission in early life. The initial predominance of P. vivax over P. falciparum inverts after five years of age. Malaria is directly associated with nearly one in seven deaths after the early neonatal period.

Project description:BackgroundMalaria control activities can have a disproportionately greater impact on Plasmodium falciparum than on P. vivax in areas where both species are coendemic. We investigated temporal trends in malaria-related morbidity and mortality in Papua, Indonesia, before and after introduction of a universal, artemisinin-based antimalarial treatment strategy for all Plasmodium species.Methods and findingsA prospective, district-wide malariometric surveillance system was established in April 2004 to record all cases of malaria at community clinics and the regional hospital and maintained until December 2013. In March 2006, antimalarial treatment policy was changed to artemisinin combination therapy for uncomplicated malaria and intravenous artesunate for severe malaria due to any Plasmodium species. Over the study period, a total of 418,238 patients presented to the surveillance facilities with malaria. The proportion of patients with malaria requiring admission to hospital fell from 26.9% (7,745/28,789) in the pre-policy change period (April 2004 to March 2006) to 14.0% (4,786/34,117) in the late transition period (April 2008 to December 2009), a difference of -12.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] -13.5% to -12.2%). There was a significant fall in the mortality of patients presenting to the hospital with P. falciparum malaria (0.53% [100/18,965] versus 0.32% [57/17,691]; difference = -0.21% [95% CI -0.34 to -0.07]) but not in patients with P. vivax malaria (0.28% [21/7,545] versus 0.23% [28/12,397]; difference = -0.05% [95% CI -0.20 to 0.09]). Between the same periods, the overall proportion of malaria due to P. vivax rose from 44.1% (30,444/69,098) to 53.3% (29,934/56,125) in the community clinics and from 32.4% (9,325/28,789) to 44.1% (15,035/34,117) at the hospital. After controlling for population growth and changes in treatment-seeking behaviour, the incidence of P. falciparum malaria fell from 511 to 249 per 1,000 person-years (py) (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 0.49 [95% CI 0.48-0.49]), whereas the incidence of P. vivax malaria fell from 331 to 239 per 1,000 py (IRR = 0.72 [95% CI 0.71-0.73]). The main limitations of our study were possible confounding from changes in healthcare provision, a growing population, and significant shifts in treatment-seeking behaviour following implementation of a new antimalarial policy.ConclusionsIn this area with high levels of antimalarial drug resistance, adoption of a universal policy of efficacious artemisinin-based therapy for malaria infections due to any Plasmodium species was associated with a significant reduction in total malaria-attributable morbidity and mortality. The burden of P. falciparum malaria was reduced to a greater extent than that of P. vivax malaria. In coendemic regions, the timely elimination of malaria will require that safe and effective radical cure of both the blood and liver stages of the parasite is widely available for all patients at risk of malaria.

Project description:The widespread use of primaquine (PQ) radical cure for P. vivax, is constrained by concerns over its safety. We used routinely collected patient data to compare the overall morbidity and mortality in patients treated with and without PQ without prior testing of Glucose-6-Phosphate-Dehydrogenase (G6PD) deficiency in Papua, Indonesia, where there is a low prevalence of G6PD deficiency. Records were collated from patients older than 1 year, with P. vivax infection, who were treated with an artemisinin combination therapy (ACT). The risks of re-presentation, hospitalization, major fall in haemoglobin and death within 30 days were quantified and compared between patients treated with and without PQ using a Cox regression model. In total 26,216 patients with P. vivax malaria presented to the hospital with malaria during the study period. Overall 27.56% (95% Confidence Interval (95%CI): 26.96-28.16) of 21,344 patients treated with PQ re-presented with any illness within 30 days and 1.69% (1.51-1.88) required admission to hospital. The corresponding risks were higher in the 4,872 patients not treated with PQ; Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) = 0.84 (0.79-0.91; p<0.001) and 0.54 (0.41-0.70; p<0.001) respectively. By day 30, 14.15% (12.45-16.05) of patients who had received PQ had a fall in haemoglobin (Hb) below 7g/dl compared to 20.43% (16.67-24.89) of patients treated without PQ; AHR = 0.66 (0.45-0.97; p = 0.033). A total of 75 (0.3%) patients died within 30 days of treatment with a mortality risk of 0.27% (0.21-0.35) in patients treated with PQ, compared to 0.38% (0.24-0.60) without PQ; AHR = 0.79 (0.43-1.45; p = 0.448). In Papua, Indonesia routine administration of PQ radical cure without prior G6PD testing, was associated with lower risk of all cause hospitalization and other serious adverse clinical outcomes. In areas where G6PD testing is not available or cannot be delivered reliably, the risks of drug induced haemolysis should be balanced against the potential benefits of reducing recurrent P. vivax malaria and its associated morbidity and mortality.

Dataset Information

The risk of morbidity and mortality following recurrent malaria in Papua, Indonesia: a retrospective cohort study.

Publications

The risk of morbidity and mortality following recurrent malaria in Papua, Indonesia: a retrospective cohort study.

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