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The effect of the look-back period for estimating incidence using administrative data.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:The look-back period is needed to define baseline population for estimating incidence. However, short look-back period is known to overestimate incidence of diseases misclassifying prevalent cases to incident cases. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of the various length of look-back period on the observed incidences of uterine leiomyoma, endometriosis and adenomyosis, and to estimate true incidences considering the misclassification errors in the longitudinal administrative data in Korea. METHODS:A total of 319,608 women between 15 to 54?years of age in 2002 were selected from Korea National Health Insurance Services (KNHIS) cohort database. In order to minimize misclassification bias incurred when applying various length of look-back period, we used 11?years of claim data to estimate the incidence by equally setting the look-back period to 11?years for each year using prediction model. The association between the year of diagnosis and the number of prevalent cases with the misclassification rates by each look-back period was investigated. Based on the findings, prediction models on the proportion of misclassified incident cases were developed using multiple linear regression. RESULTS:The proportion of misclassified incident cases of uterine leiomyoma, endometriosis and adenomyosis were 32.8, 10.4 and 13.6% respectively for the one-year look-back period in 2003. These numbers decreased to 6.3% in uterine leiomyoma and?-?0.8% in both endometriosis and adenomyosis using all available look-back periods (11?years) in 2013. CONCLUSION:This study demonstrates approaches for estimating incidences considering the different proportion of misclassified cases for various length of look-back period. Although the prediction model used for estimation showed strong R-squared values, follow-up studies are required for validation of the study results.

SUBMITTER: Kim M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7057623 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The effect of the look-back period for estimating incidence using administrative data.

Kim Mira M Chae Kyung-Hee KH Chung Youn-Jee YJ Hwang HyeJin H Lee MinKyung M Kim Hyun-Kyung HK Cho Hyun-Hee HH Kim Mee-Ran MR Jung Chai-Young CY Kim Sukil S

BMC health services research 20200304 1

<h4>Background</h4>The look-back period is needed to define baseline population for estimating incidence. However, short look-back period is known to overestimate incidence of diseases misclassifying prevalent cases to incident cases. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of the various length of look-back period on the observed incidences of uterine leiomyoma, endometriosis and adenomyosis, and to estimate true incidences considering the misclassification errors in the longitudina ...[more]

PMID: 32131818

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Project description:ImportanceDespite the large health burden, reliable data on sepsis epidemiology are lacking; studies using International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD)-coded hospital discharge diagnosis for sepsis identification suffer from limited sensitivity. Also, ICD data do not allow investigation of underlying pathogens and antimicrobial resistance.ObjectivesTo generate reliable epidemiological estimates by linking data from a population-based database to a reference standard of clinical medical record review.Design, setting, and participantsThis was a retrospective, observational cohort study using a population-based administrative database including all acute care hospitals of the Scania region in Sweden in 2019 and 2020 to identify hospital-treated sepsis cases by ICD codes. From this database, clinical medical records were also selected for review within 6 strata defined by ICD discharge diagnosis (both with and without sepsis diagnosis). Data were analyzed from April to October 2022.Main outcomes and measuresHospital and population incidences of sepsis, case fatality, antimicrobial resistance, and temporal dynamics due to COVID-19 were assessed, as well as validity of ICD-10 case identification methods compared with the reference standard of clinical medical record review.ResultsOut of 295 531 hospitalizations in 2019 in the Scania region of Sweden, 997 patient medical records were reviewed, among which 457 had sepsis according to clinical criteria. Of the patients with clinical sepsis, 232 (51%) were female, and 357 (78%) had at least 1 comorbidity. The median (IQR) age of the cohort was 76 (67-85) years. The incidence of sepsis in hospitalized patients according to the Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3) criteria in 2019 was 4.1% (95% CI, 3.6-4.5) by medical record review. This corresponds to an annual incidence rate of 747 (95% CI, 663-832) patients with sepsis per 100 000 population. No significant increase in sepsis during the COVID-19 pandemic nor a decrease in sepsis incidence when excluding COVID-19 sepsis was observed. Few sepsis cases caused by pathogens with antimicrobial resistance were found. The validity of ICD-10-based case identification in administrative data was low.Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study of sepsis epidemiology, sepsis was a considerable burden to public health in Sweden. Supplying administrative data with information from clinical medical records can help to generate reliable data on sepsis epidemiology.

Project description:IntroductionThe incidence and prevalence of diabetes within a population are important public health metrics. Pharmaceutical administrative data may offer a resource that can contribute to quantifying these measures using the recorded signals derived from the drugs used to treat people with diabetes.ObjectiveTo estimate the longitudinal incidence and prevalence of drug treated (DT) diabetes in Australia utilising an Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) dataset and compare estimates with community survey data for all diabetes reported in the Australian National Health Survey (NHS).MethodsPersons with DT diabetes were identified within the PBS dataset using assigned Anatomic Therapeutic Chemical codes for 'Drugs used in diabetes'. Prevalent persons with DT diabetes were determined by a single annual treatment, and incident cases from the earliest treatment with diabetes medications. Counts were aggregated by age group and utilised Australian national census data as a denominator to calculate diabetes disease frequencies for the period 2004-14. Comparison of PBS prevalence data was made with NHS surveys over equivalent years.ResultsThe age adjusted incidence of DT diabetes was 3.4/1000 in 2006 and increased to 3.8/1000 in 2011 and 5.1/1000 in 2014. Age adjusted prevalence of DT diabetes in Australia also rose from 26.7/1000 in 2006 to 32.1/1000 in 2011 and 42.1/1000 in 2014. DT diabetes prevalence estimates correlated with NHS estimates of self-reported diabetes prevalence across age groups and in 2014 was r = 0.987. However, PBS estimates of DT diabetes prevalence generally underestimated NHS values of self-reported diabetes in older age groups with mean percentage differences of -22% to -3%. In contrast, PBS data captured more younger persons with diabetes in comparison to NHS data. These differences were then used to adjust DT diabetes incidence rates to provide age specific estimates that could potentially reflect diabetes incidence estimates acquired by community survey.ConclusionsPBS data representing dispensed medications prescribed to persons with diabetes offers a perspective for the assessment of diabetes incidence and prevalence. PBS derived DT diabetes prevalence estimates correlate well with community survey estimates of self-reported diabetes, but underestimate NHS data in older age groups. Calibrated DT incidence estimates may potentially reflect community survey derived diabetes incidence estimates and may offer a method for longitudinal monitoring.

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The effect of the look-back period for estimating incidence using administrative data.

Publications

The effect of the look-back period for estimating incidence using administrative data.

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