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Remission of persistent childhood asthma: Early predictors of adult outcomes.

ABSTRACT: Background: Few data exist on the predictors of asthma remission by early adulthood in North America.

Objective: The predictors of adult asthma remission were determined in a multiethnic population of patients with mild-to-moderate persistent childhood asthma.

Methods: Asthma remission in early adulthood was measured by using 2 definitions: a clinical and a strict definition. Both included normal lung function and the absence of symptoms, exacerbations, and medication use. The strict definition also included normal airways responsiveness. Predictors were identified from 23 baseline measures by using multivariate logistic regression. The probability of remission was modeled by using decision tree analysis.

Results: In 879 subjects the mean ± SD baseline age was 8.8 ± 2.1 years, 59.4% were male, and 68.7% were white. By adulthood, 229 (26.0%) of 879 participants were in clinical remission, and 111 (15.0%) of 741 participants were in strict remission. The degree of FEV₁/forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio impairment was the largest predictor of asthma remission. More than half of boys and two thirds of girls with baseline FEV₁/FVC ratios of 90% or greater were in remission at adulthood. Decreased airways responsiveness was also a predictor for both remission definitions (clinical remission odds ratio, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.09-1.39]; strict remission odds ratio, 1.52 [95% CI, 1.26-1.84]). The combination of normal FEV₁/FVC ratio, airways responsiveness, and serum eosinophil count at baseline yielded greater than 80% probability of remission by adulthood.

Conclusion: A considerable minority of patients with persistent childhood asthma will have disease remission by adulthood. Clinical prognostic indicators of asthma remission, including baseline lung function, can be seen from an early age.

SUBMITTER: Wang AL

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7061344 | biostudies-literature | 2019 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Remission of persistent childhood asthma: Early predictors of adult outcomes.

Wang Alberta L AL Datta Soma S Weiss Scott T ST Tantisira Kelan G KG

The Journal of allergy and clinical immunology 20181114 5

<h4>Background</h4>Few data exist on the predictors of asthma remission by early adulthood in North America.<h4>Objective</h4>The predictors of adult asthma remission were determined in a multiethnic population of patients with mild-to-moderate persistent childhood asthma.<h4>Methods</h4>Asthma remission in early adulthood was measured by using 2 definitions: a clinical and a strict definition. Both included normal lung function and the absence of symptoms, exacerbations, and medication use. The ...[more]

PMID: 30445065

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Project description:Childhood immune thrombocytopenia (ITP; platelet count < 100 × 109/L) is the most common bleeding disorder in children. A total of 3-5% of children with ITP face a greater risk of bleeding, resulting in significant morbidity and mortality. Childhood ITP is often benign and self-limited; however, children with severe ITP (platelet count < 30 × 109/L) require investigation and monitoring. In addition, 20% of ITP patients may not go into remission (platelet counts < 100 × 109/L by 12 months after diagnosis) and may develop chronic ITP. The early identifying predictors associated with the resolution of severe ITP at the time of diagnosis may be helpful for family guidance. However, there is still controversy about the associations between the clinical factors at the time of initial diagnosis and the definitions of disease remission assessed at different timepoints after diagnosis. This retrospective study aimed to analyze the shared clinical factors among the disease remission definitions at three arbitrarily set timepoints-3, 6, and 12 months after diagnosis. This study retrieved records for hospitalized children aged under 18 years and diagnosed with ITP from the hospital registry in a tertiary university hospital. Clinical variables were recorded by reviewing the medical records with structured data entry for ITP admission. The serial follow-up platelet counts within 12 months after diagnosis were recorded. The times of ITP remission were identified by experienced pediatric hematologists. Patients with mild-form ITP (platelet counts ≥ 30 × 109/L) at diagnosis or who were lost to follow-up within 3 months were excluded. From 1988 to 2019, 546 children were enrolled, and a total of 497 children with severe ITP were included in the further analysis. In total, one (0.2%) died of an intracranial hemorrhage, 363 (73.2%) children went into remission at 3 months, 40 (8.1%) went into remission between 6 and 12 months, and 104 (20.9%) developed chronic ITP. The shared significant predictors for remission by the third, sixth, and twelfth months included pre-adolescent age (<10 years) at diagnosis, abrupt onset (duration of symptoms prior to admission ≤ 2 weeks), and speedy recovery (platelet count > 100 × 109/L at 1 month post diagnosis). ITP patients with positive viral serology tests or vaccination within 4 weeks had trends of delayed remission. In conclusion, diagnosis before preadolescent age, abrupt onset, and speedy recovery may share favorable factors for the remission of childhood ITP assessed at different timepoints.

Project description:BackgroundWe sought to identify predictors of asthma development following severe early childhood RSV bronchiolitis. Different definitions of asthma were also compared.MethodsThis longitudinal, observational study (N = 343) followed patients (<2 years old) from a placebo-controlled trial (N = 979) of montelukast after RSV bronchiolitis to identify clinical, demographic, or biochemical predictors of asthma, atopic disorders, and chronic asthma therapy use at 6 years of age (Clinical Trials Registry Number: NCT01140048). Asthma (primary definition) was based on parental identification of wheeze at 6 AND 12 months before 6 years of age; definitions based on physician diagnosis as well as parental identification of wheeze at 6 OR 12 months (to consider seasonal effect) were also assessed. Post-hoc analyses evaluated agreement among asthma diagnosis criteria.ResultsPrevalence of asthma (primary definition by parental identification), asthma (physician diagnosis), atopic disorders, and chronic asthma therapy use (parental identification) was 6.1%, 22.4%, 36.2%, and 14.5%, respectively. Predictors for asthma (primary definition) included male gender, a relative with asthma, and RAST positive for dog dander; for physician diagnosis of asthma, high severity score for RSV bronchiolitis, high respiratory rate, and asthma diagnosis before enrollment. Predictors of atopic disorders included allergic rhinitis before enrollment, a relative with asthma, and the plasma biomarkers IL-5, IL-16, and IL-18. Predictors of chronic asthma therapy use included asthma diagnosis before enrollment and geographic region (Europe and Africa). Only 42% of patients with asthma (primary definition) also met the asthma definition by physician diagnosis and chronic asthma therapy use.ConclusionAmong children with early RSV bronchiolitis, hereditary factors (i.e., having a relative with asthma) and RSV bronchiolitis severity were predictors of asthma and atopic disorders at 6 years of age. Of interest, there was poor agreement among the asthma definitions evaluated. Pediatr Pulmonol. 2016;51:1382-1392. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

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Remission of persistent childhood asthma: Early predictors of adult outcomes.

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Remission of persistent childhood asthma: Early predictors of adult outcomes.

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