Modified frailty index predicts postoperative outcomes in older gastrointestinal cancer patients.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Vermillion SA
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7064809 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Modified frailty index predicts postoperative outcomes in older gastrointestinal cancer patients.
Vermillion Sarah A SA Hsu Fang-Chi FC Dorrell Robert D RD Shen Perry P Clark Clancy J CJ
Journal of surgical oncology 20170424 8
<h4>Background and objectives</h4>Frailty disproportionately impacts older patients with gastrointestinal cancer, rendering them at increased risk for poor outcomes. A frailty index may aid in preoperative risk stratification. We hypothesized that high modified frailty index (mFI) scores are associated with adverse outcomes after tumor resection in older, gastrointestinal cancer patients.<h4>Methods</h4>Patients (60-90 years old) who underwent gastrointestinal tumor resection were identified in ...[more]
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Project description:The newly characterized modified frailty index (mFI) is a robust predictor of postoperative outcomes for surgical patients. The present study investigates the optimal cutoff for mFI specifically in older gastrointestinal (GI) cancer patients undergoing surgery. All patients more than 60 years old who underwent surgery for a GI malignancy (esophagus, stomach, colon, rectum, pancreas, liver, and bile duct) were identified in the 2005 to 2012 National Surgical Quality Improvement Program, Participant Use Data File (NSQIP PUF). Patients undergoing emergency procedures, of American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) five status, or diagnosed with preoperative sepsis were excluded. Logistic regression modeling and 10-fold cross validation were used to identify an optimal mFI cutoff. A total of 41,455 patients (mean age 72, 47.4% female) met the eligibility criteria. Among them, 19.0 per cent (n = 7891) developed a major postoperative complication and 2.8 per cent (n = 1150) died within 30 days. A random sampling by a cancer site was performed to create 90 per cent training and 10 per cent test sample datasets. Using 10-fold cross validation, logistical regression models evaluated the association between mFI and endpoints of 30-day mortality and major morbidity at various cutoffs. Optimal cutoffs for 30-day mortality and major morbidity were mFI ≥ 0.1 and ≥0.2, respectively. After adjusting for age, sex, ASA, albumin ≥3g/dl, and body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m2, mFI ≥ 0.1 was associated with increased mortality (odds ratio (OR) 1.49, 1.30-1.71 95% confidence interval (CI), P < 0.001) and mFI ≥ 0.2 was associated with increased morbidity (OR 1.52, 1.39-1.65 95% CI, P < 0.001). For older GI cancer patients, a very low mFI was a predictor of poor postoperative outcomes with an optimal cutoff of two or more mFI characteristics.
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Project description:BackgroundLimitations exist in available studies investigating effect of preoperative frailty on postoperative outcomes. This study was designed to analyze the association between composite risk index, an accumulation of preoperative frailty deficits, and the risk of postoperative complications in older patients recovering from elective digestive tract surgery.MethodsThis was a retrospective cohort study. Baseline and perioperative data of older patients (age ≥ 65 years) who underwent elective digestive tract surgery from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2018 were collected. The severity of frailty was assessed with the composite risk index, a composite of frailty deficits including modified frailty index. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of postoperative complications during hospital stay. The association between the composite risk index and the risk of postoperative complications was assessed with a multivariable logistic regression model.ResultsA total of 923 patients were included. Of these, 27.8% (257) developed postoperative complications. Four frailty deficits, i.e., modified frailty index ≥0.27, malnutrition, hemoglobin < 90 g/L, and albumin ≤30 g/L, were combined to generate a composite risk index. Multivariable analysis showed that, when compared with patients with composite risk index of 0, the odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 2.408 (1.714-3.383, P < 0.001) for those with a composite risk index of 1, 3.235 (1.985-5.272, P < 0.001) for those with a composite risk index of 2, and 9.227 (3.568-23.86, P < 0.001) for those with composite risk index of 3 or above. The area under receiver-operator characteristic curve to predict postoperative complications was 0.653 (95% confidence interval 0.613-0.694, P < 0.001) for composite risk index compared with 0.622 (0.581-0.663, P < 0.001) for modified frailty index.ConclusionFor older patients following elective digestive tract surgery, high preoperative composite risk index, a combination of frailty deficits, was independently associated with an increased risk of postoperative complications.
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Project description:Recent studies have implied a prognostic value of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) in postoperative septic complications of elective colorectal surgeries. However, the evaluation of PNI in contaminated surgeries for gastrointestinal (GI) fistula patients is lack of investigation. The purpose of this study was to explore the predictive value of PNI in surgical site infections (SSIs) for GI fistula patients undergoing bowel resections.A retrospective review of 290 GI patients who underwent intestinal resections between November 2012 and October 2015 was performed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify risk factors for SSIs, and receiver operating characteristic cure was used to quantify the effectiveness of PNI.SSIs were diagnosed in 99 (34.1%) patients, with incisional infection identified in 54 patients (18.6%), deep incisional infection in 13 (4.5%), and organ/space infection in 32 (11.0%). receiver operating characteristic curve analysis defined a PNI cut-off level of 45 corresponding to postoperative SSIs (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.72, 76% sensitivity, 55% specificity). Furthermore, a multivariate analysis indicated that the PNI?<?45 [odd ratio (OR): 2.24, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.09-4.61, P = 0.029] and leukocytosis (OR: 3.70, 95% CI: 1.02-13.42, P = 0.046) were independently associated with postoperative SSIs.Preoperative PNI is a simple and useful marker to predict SSIs in GI fistula patients after enterectomies. Measurement of PNI is therefore recommended in the routine assessment of patients with GI fistula receiving surgical treatment.
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Project description:ObjectivesTo investigate the role of a preoperative modified frailty index (mFI) based on data from medical records in predicting postoperative complications among older Chinese patients with hip fractures.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study included consecutive older patients with hip fracture admitted to the Department of Orthopaedics, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, from December 2010 to June 2017 who underwent surgical repair. We selected 33 variables, including characteristics of hip fracture, to construct a mFI. Each variable was coded with a value of 0 when a deficit was absent or 1 when it was present. We calculated the mFI as the proportion of positive items and defined frailty as mFI value greater than or equal to 0.21 according to threshold proposed by Hoover et al. We examined the relationship between mFI and severity of postoperative complications and the occurrence of in-hospital pneumonia including statistical adjustment for several demographics (e.g. age, gender, and marital status) and habits (smoking and alcohol intake), time from fracture to surgery in the multivariable model.ResultsWe included 965 patients (34% male; mean age: 76.77 years; range: 60 to 100 years) with a prevalence of frailty of 13.06%. The presence of frailty was associated with a higher severity of complications (OR: 2.07; 95% CI: 1.40 to 3.05). Frail patients were more likely to develop in-hospital pneumonia than non-frail patients (OR: 2.08; 95% CI: 1.28 to 3.39).ConclusionThe preoperative modified frailty index based on data from medical records proved significantly associated with postoperative complications among older patients with hip fractures undergoing hip surgery.
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Project description:Despite comprehensive multidisciplinary candidacy assessments to determine appropriateness for solid organ transplantation, limitations persist in identifying candidates at risk of adverse outcomes. Frailty measures may help inform candidacy evaluation. Our main objective was to create a solid organ transplant frailty index (FI), using the cumulative deficits model, from data routinely collected during candidacy assessments. Secondary objectives included creating a social vulnerability index (SVI) from assessment data and evaluating associations between the FI and assessment, waitlist, and posttransplant outcomes.MethodsIn this retrospective cohort study of solid organ transplant candidates from Toronto General Hospital, cumulative deficits FI and SVI were created from data collected during candidacy evaluations for consecutive kidney, heart, liver, and lung transplant candidates. Regression modeling measured associations between the FI and transplant listing, death or removal from the transplant waitlist, and survival after waitlist placement.ResultsFor 794 patients, 40 variable FI and 10 variable SVI were created (258 lung, 222 kidney, 201 liver, and 113 heart transplant candidates). The FI correlated with assessment outcomes; patients with medical contraindications (mean FI 0.35 ± 0.10) had higher FI scores than those listed (0.29 ± 0.09), P < 0.001. For listed patients, adjusted for age, sex, transplant type, and SVI, higher FI was associated with an increased risk of death (pretransplant or posttransplant) or delisting (hazard ratio 1.03 per 0.01 FI score, 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.05, P = 0.01).ConclusionsA cumulative deficits FI can be derived from routine organ transplant candidacy evaluations and may identify candidates at higher risk of adverse outcomes.
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Project description:Tumor-infiltrating tertiary lymphoid structures (TLS) are thought to have anti-tumor activity and are believed to indicate a favorable prognosis in cancer patients. However, the prognostic value of TLS in gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST) is unknown. We evaluated the prognostic value of TLS using two independent GIST cohorts. Pathological examinations identified TLS in 44.9% of patients in our discovery cohort (DC). TLS was significantly associated with smaller tumor size (P = .011), relatively well morphological classification (P < .001), lower NIH classification (P < .001), lower recurrence (P = .005), longer survival time (P < .001) and lower imatinib resistance (P = .006). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that TLS was remarkably associated with favorable survival (P = .0002) and recurrence (P = .0015) time. In addition, the presence of KIT mutations and the absence of TLS suggested worst prognosis both in terms of overall survival (OS) (P = .0029) and time to recurrence (TTR) (P = .0150), while the presence of PDGFRA mutations and TLS suggested optimal prognosis for OS and TTR. Multivariate analyzes demonstrated that TLS was an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR:0.180, P = .002) and TTR (HR:0.412, P = .023). These results were confirmed using our validation cohort. Multiplexed immunohistochemistry staining was used to determine the composition of TLS. Therapies designed to target TLS may be a novel therapeutic strategy for GIST patients with imatinib resistance.
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Project description:BackgroundMembers of the aging population who undergo surgery are at risk of postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD). Exploring an effective and reliable early predictor of POCD is essential to the identification of high-risk patients and to making prospective decisions. The purpose of this study was to examine whether preoperative insulin resistance is an independent predictor of POCD.MethodsA total of 124 patients aged 60 years and older and who were scheduled for gastrointestinal surgery were enrolled in a prospective observational clinical study. All participants completed a battery of neuropsychological tests before surgery and 7 days later. POCD was defined as a decline of at least 1.5 SD on two or more of neuropsychological tests. Plasma concentration of the tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), C-reactive protein (CRP), and S-100β protein were measured. The status of insulin resistance was assessed by Homeostasis Model Assessment-Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR). The relationship between HOMA-IR and POCD was assessed by Multivariable logistic regression models and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.ResultsFifty one patients (41.1%) were diagnosed with POCD at 7 days after surgery. Preoperative HOMA-IR values of the POCD group were significantly higher than the non-POCD group. Furthermore, CRP and TNF-α levels of the POCD group were significantly higher at each postoperative time point (P < 0.05). The preoperative HOMA-IR value was an independent predictor of POCD (adjusted OR 1.88, 95% CI, 1.18-2.99) even after adjust for confounding variables, and when dichotomized, individuals above the HOMA-IR threshold (HOMA-IR > 2.6) had a three-times higher risk of POCD (OR 3.26; 95% CI, 1.07-9.91) compared to individuals below the threshold. The areas under the ROC curve of HOMA-IR was 0.804 (95% CI, 0.725-0.883; P < 0.001). The optimal cut-off value was found to be 0.583, with a sensitivity of 84.3% and specificity of 74%. The HOMA-IR value was positively associated with the TNF-α concentration at baseline (R 2 = 0.43, P < 0.01) and 1 day after surgery (R 2 = 0.3861, P < 0.01).ConclusionPreoperative insulin resistance is an effective predictor for the occurrence of POCD. Targeted prevention and treatment strategies of insulin resistance may be effective interventions of patients at risk for POCD.
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Project description:ImportanceFrailty based on the modified Frailty Index is associated with poor postoperative outcomes. However, the index requires high levels of personnel time and effort and often has missing data.ObjectiveTo evaluate the association of the Memorial Sloan Kettering-Frailty Index (MSK-FI) with established geriatric assessment (GA) and surgical outcomes.Design, setting, and participantsThis cohort study included prospectively evaluated patients with cancer 75 years and older who were referred to MSK Geriatrics Service clinics for preoperative evaluation before undergoing surgery requiring hospitalization between February 2015 and September 2017. Patients were comanaged by the Geriatrics Service and Surgery Service in the postoperative period.ExposuresImpairments identified by GA and comorbid conditions retrieved from submitted International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) and ICD-10 codes within the first 48 hours of hospitalization.Main outcomes and measuresThe association of MSK-FI score (which included ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes) with GA impairments (based on clinical interview and examination as well as patient reports) was examined. The associations of MSK-FI score with short-term surgical outcomes (ie, frequency of complications, length of stay, 30-day surgical complications, 30-day intensive care unit admissions, and 30-day readmissions) and 1-year survival, estimated by Kaplan-Meier methods, were determined.ResultsIn total, 1137 patients (median [interquartile range] age, 80 [77-84] years; 583 [51.2%] women) were included in the study. A higher MSK-FI score was associated with the number of GA impairments (ρ = 0.52; bootstrapped 95% CI, 0.47-0.56). Each 1-point increase in MSK-FI score was associated with longer length of stay (0.58 d; 95% CI, 0.22-0.95; P = .002) and higher odds of intensive care unit admission (odds ratio, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.04-1.58; P = .02). Median (interquartile range) follow-up among survivors was 12.1 (5.6-19.1) months. The MSK-FI score was associated with overall mortality; 12-month risk of death was 5% for a score of 0 and approximately 20% for scores of 4 and higher (nonlinear association, P = .005).Conclusions and relevanceIn this study, the MSK-FI was associated with the previously validated GA and postoperative outcomes in older patients with cancer and may be a feasible tool for perioperative assessment of older surgical patients with cancer. Future studies should assess the association of MSK-FI score with postoperative care and outcomes of older, frail patients with cancer.
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Project description:BackgroundThere is growing interest for interventions aiming at preventing frailty progression or even to reverse frailty in older people, yet it is still unclear which frailty instrument is most appropriate for measuring change scores over time to determine the effectiveness of interventions. The aim of this prospective cohort study was to determine reproducibility and responsiveness properties of the Frailty Index (FI) and Frailty Phenotype (FP) in acutely hospitalized medical patients aged 70 years and older.MethodsReproducibility was assessed by Intra-Class Correlation Coefficients (ICC), standard error of measurement (SEM) and smallest detectable change (SDC); Responsiveness was assessed by the standardized response mean (SRM), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).ResultsAt baseline, 243 patients were included with a median age of 76 years (range 70-98). The analytic samples included 192 and 187 patients in the three and twelve months follow-up analyses, respectively. ICC of the FI were 0.85 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.76; 0.91) and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.77; 0.90), and 0.65 (95% CI: 0.49; 0.77) and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.65; 0.84) for the FP. SEM ranged from 5 to 13 %; SDC from 13 to 37 %. SRMs were good in patients with unchanged frailty status (< 0.50), and doubtful to good for deteriorated and improved patients (0.43-1.00). AUC's over three months were 0.77 (95% CI: 0.69; 0.86) and 0.71 (95% CI: 0.62; 0.79) for the FI, and 0.68 (95% CI: 0.58; 0.77) and 0.65 (95% CI: 0.55; 0.74) for the FP. Over twelve months, AUCs were 0.78 (95% CI: 0.69; 0.87) and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.73; 0.90) for the FI, and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.69; 0.87) and 0.75 (95% CI: 0.67; 0.84) for the FP.ConclusionsThe Frailty Index showed better reproducibility and responsiveness properties compared to the Frailty Phenotype among acutely hospitalized older patients.
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Project description:Gastric cancer is a major health problem, and frailty and sarcopenia will affect the postoperative outcomes in older people. However, there is still no systematic review to determine the role of frailty and sarcopenia in predicting postoperative outcomes among older patients with gastric cancer who undergo gastrectomy surgery.We searched Embase, Medline through the Ovid interface and PubMed websites to identify potential studies. All the search strategies were run on August 24, 2016. We searched the Google website for unpublished studies on June 1, 2017. The data related to the endpoints of gastrectomy surgery were extracted. Odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled to estimate the association between sarcopenia and adverse postoperative outcomes by using Stata version 11.0. PRISMA guidelines for systematic reviews were followed.After screening 500 records, we identified eight studies, including three prospective cohort studies and five retrospective cohort studies. Only one study described frailty, and the remaining seven studies described sarcopenia. Frailty was statistically significant for predicting hospital mortality (OR 3.96; 95% CI: 1.12-14.09, P = 0.03). Sarcopenia was also associated with postoperative outcomes (pooled OR 3.12; 95% CI: 2.23-4.37). No significant heterogeneity was observed across these pooled studies (Chi2 = 3.10, I2 = 0%, P = 0.685).Sarcopenia and frailty seem to have significant adverse impacts on the occurrence of postoperative outcomes. Well-designed prospective cohort studies focusing on frailty and quality of life with a sufficient sample are needed.
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