Development and validation of a prognostic classifier based on HIF-1 signaling for hepatocellular carcinoma.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Deng F
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7066907 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Feb
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Development and validation of a prognostic classifier based on HIF-1 signaling for hepatocellular carcinoma.
Deng Feiwen F Chen Dong D Wei Xiaoli X Lu Shilin S Luo Xuan X He Jincan J Liu Junting J Meng Tiebao T Yang Anli A Chen Huanwei H
Aging 20200221 4
HIF-1 (hypoxia-inducible factor 1) signaling played a vital role in HCC (hepatocellular carcinoma) prognosis. We aimed to establish an accurate risk scoring system for HCC prognosis prediction and treatment guidance. 424 samples from TCGA (The Cancer Genome Atlas) and 445 samples from GSE14520 dataset were included as the derivation and validation cohort, respectively. In the derivation cohort, prognostic relevant signatures were selected from sixteen HIF-1 related genes and LASSO regression was ...[more]
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Project description:Background Immunotherapy and sorafenib exert anti-tumor effects via ferroptosis, but reliable biomarkers for the individual treatment and prognosis prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on the ferroptosis and immune status remain lacking. Methods Ferroptosis-related genes (FRGs) were identified by downloading data from FerrDb and by searching and reading original articles from PubMed. Immune-related genes (IRGs) were downloaded from ImmPort. Prognostic FRGs and IRGs in the GSE14520 (n = 220) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA, n = 365) datasets were identified. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression and multivariate Cox regression were used for model construction. Ferroptosis expression profiles, the infiltration of immune cells, and the somatic mutation status were analyzed and compared. Results Twenty-seven prognostic ferroptosis- and immune-related signatures were included to construct a comprehensive index of ferroptosis and immune status (CIFI). A subgroup of patients was identified as having a high CIFI value, which was associated with a worse prognosis. This subgroup of patients had significantly up-regulated expressions of many suppressors of ferroptosis and higher fractions of immunosuppressive cells, such as cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) and myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs). Notably, somatic mutation analysis indicated that high-CIFI patients had higher levels of tumor heterogeneity and higher mutation frequencies of genes like TP53. Conclusion In this work, a novel prognostic classifier was developed based on ferroptosis- and IRGs in HCC, and this classifier could be used for prognostic prediction and the selection of patients for immunotherapies and targeted therapies.
| S-EPMC7785857 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a malignant tumor with great variation in prognosis among individuals. Changes in metabolism influence disease progression and clinical outcomes. The objective of this study was to determine the overall survival (OS) risk of HCC patients from a metabolic perspective.Patients and methodsThe model was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) COX regression based on The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA, n=342) dataset. The International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC, n=232), GSE14520 (n=242) datasets, and a clinical cohort (n=64) were then used to assess the prognostic value of the signature.ResultsA 10 metabolic gene-based signature was constructed and verified as a robust and independent prognostic classifier in public and real-world validation cohorts. Meanwhile, the signature enabled the identification of HCC molecular subtypes, yielding an AUC value of 0.678 [95% CI: 0.592-0.763]. Besides, the signature was associated with metabolic processes like glycolysis, supported by a clear correlation between the risk score and expression of rate-limiting enzymes. Furthermore, high-risk tumor was likely to have a high tumor infiltration status of immunosuppressive cells, as well as elevated expression of some immune checkpoint molecules. For final clinical translation, a nomogram integrating the signature and tumor stage was established, and showed improved predictive accuracy of 3- and 5-year OS and brought more net benefit to patients.ConclusionWe developed a prognostic signature based on 10 metabolic genes, which has proven to be an independent and reliable prognostic predictor for HCC and reflects the metabolic and immune characteristics of tumors.
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Project description:BACKGROUND:CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP), a common biological phenomenon characterized by a subset of concurrently methylated genes, can have an influence on the progression of multiple cancers. However, the potential mechanism of CIMP in hepatocarcinogenesis and its clinical relevance remains only partially understood. METHODS:We used a methylation array from the cancer genome atlas (TCGA) to stratify HCC patients into different CIMP subtypes, and evaluated their correlation with clinical characteristics. In addition, mutation, CNV, and transcriptome profiles were also utilized to evaluate the distinctive genomic patterns correlated with CIMP. Finally, a CIMP-associated prognostic model (CPM) was trained and validated using four independent datasets. FINDINGS:A subgroup of patients was identified as having CIMP-H, which was associated with worse OS and DFS. Gene enrichment analysis indicated that the terms "liver cancer with EPCAM up", "tumor invasiveness up", "methyltransferase complex", and "translational initiation" were enriched in CIMP-H subgroup. Notably, somatic mutation analysis indicated that CIMP-H patients presented with a higher mutation burden of BRD4, DDIAS and NOX1. Moreover, four CPM associated genes could significantly categorize patients into low- and high-risk groups in the training dataset and another 3 independent validation datasets. Finally, a nomogram incorporating a classifier based on four mRNAs, pathological M stage and CIMP status was established, which showed a favorable discriminating ability and might contribute to clinical decision-making for HCC. INTERPRETATION:Our work highlights the potential clinical application value of CPM in predicting the overall survival of HCC patients and the mechanisms underlying the role of CIMP in hepatocarcinogenesis. FUND: This work was supported by the State Key Project on Infectious Diseases of China (2018ZX10723204-003), the National Nature Science Foundation of China (Nos. 81874065, 81500565, 81874149, 81572427, and 81401997), the Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Malignant Tumor Investigation Fund of Chen Xiao-ping Foundation for the Development of Science and Technology of Hubei Province (CXPJJH11800001-2018356).
| S-EPMC6796541 | biostudies-literature
Project description:To develop a lipoprotein receptor-related protein 1B (LRP1B) gene mutation-based prognostic model for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients risk prediction. The LRP1B gene mutation rate was calculated from HCC patient samples. Meanwhile, differentially expressed genes according to LRP1B mutant were screened out for prognostic model establishment. Based on this innovative model, HCC patients were categorized into high- and low-risk groups. The immune status including immune cell infiltration ratio and checkpoints have been explored in two groups. The functions of LRP1B and risk factors in the model were verified using both in vivo and in vitro experiments. It could be demonstrated that LRP1B was a potential negative predictor for HCC patients prognosis with high mutation frequency. The functions of LRP1B were verified with ELISA and Quantitative Real-time PCR method based on clinic-recruited HCC participants. Eleven genes displayed significant differences according to LRP1B status, which could better predict HCC patient prognosis. The functions of these genes were examined using HCC cell line HCCLM3, suggesting they played a pivotal role in determining HCC cell proliferation and apoptosis. From the immune cell infiltration ratio analysis, there was a significant difference in the infiltration degree of seven types of immune cells and two immune checkpoints between high- and low-risk HCC patients. The present study hypothesized a potential prognostic biomarker and developed a novel LRP1B mutation-associated prognostic model for HCC, which provided a systematic reference for future understanding of clinical research.
| S-EPMC8415215 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and aimsHepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) using the FOLFOX regimen (oxaliplatin plus fluorouracil and leucovorin) is a promising option for large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, post-HAIC prognosis can vary in different patients due to tumor heterogeneity. Herein, we established two nomogram models to assess the survival prognosis of patients after HAIC combination therapy.MethodsA total of 1082 HCC patients who underwent initial HAIC were enrolled between February 2014 and December 2021. We built two nomogram models for survival prediction: the preoperative nomogram (pre-HAICN) using preoperative clinical data and the postoperative nomogram (post-HAICN) based on pre-HAICN and combination therapy. The two nomogram models were internally validated in one hospital and externally validated in four hospitals. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify risk factors for overall survival (OS). The performance outcomes of all models were compared by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis with the DeLong test.ResultsMultivariable analysis identified larger tumor size, vascular invasion, metastasis, high albumin-bilirubin grade, and high alpha-fetoprotein as indicators for poor prognosis. With these variables, the pre-HAICN provided three risk strata for OS in the training cohort: low risk (5-year OS, 44.9%), middle risk (5-year OS, 20.6%), and high risk (5-year OS, 4.9%). The discrimination of the three strata was improved significantly in the post-HAICN, which included the above-mentioned factors and number of sessions, combination with immune checkpoint inhibitors, tyrosine kinase inhibitors, and local therapy (AUC, 0.802 versus 0.811, p < 0.001).ConclusionsThe nomogram models are essential to identify patients with large HCC suitable for treatment with HAIC combination therapy and may potentially benefit personalized decision-making.Lay summaryHepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) provides sustained higher concentrations of chemotherapy agents in large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by hepatic intra-arterial, result in better objective response outperformed the intravenous administration. HAIC is significantly correlated with favorable survival outcome and obtains extensive support in the effective and safe treatment of intermediate advanced-stage HCC. In view of the high heterogeneity of HCC, there is no consensus regarding the optimal tool for risk stratification before HAIC alone or HAIC combined with tyrosine kinase inhibitors or immune checkpoint inhibitors treatment in HCC. In this large collaboration, we established two nomogram models to estimate the prognosis and evaluate the survival benefits with different HAIC combination therapy. It could help physicians in decision-making before HAIC and comprehensive treatment for large HCC patients in clinical practice and future trials.
| S-EPMC10126656 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundPrognostic assessment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. Using the Italian Liver Cancer (ITA.LI.CA) database as a training set, we sought to develop and validate a new prognostic system for patients with HCC.Methods and findingsProspective collected databases from Italy (training cohort, n = 3,628; internal validation cohort, n = 1,555) and Taiwan (external validation cohort, n = 2,651) were used to develop the ITA.LI.CA prognostic system. We first defined ITA.LI.CA stages (0, A, B1, B2, B3, C) using only tumor characteristics (largest tumor diameter, number of nodules, intra- and extrahepatic macroscopic vascular invasion, extrahepatic metastases). A parametric multivariable survival model was then used to calculate the relative prognostic value of ITA.LI.CA tumor stage, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status, Child-Pugh score (CPS), and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in predicting individual survival. Based on the model results, an ITA.LI.CA integrated prognostic score (from 0 to 13 points) was constructed, and its prognostic power compared with that of other integrated systems (BCLC, HKLC, MESIAH, CLIP, JIS). Median follow-up was 58 mo for Italian patients (interquartile range, 26-106 mo) and 39 mo for Taiwanese patients (interquartile range, 12-61 mo). The ITA.LI.CA integrated prognostic score showed optimal discrimination and calibration abilities in Italian patients. Observed median survival in the training and internal validation sets was 57 and 61 mo, respectively, in quartile 1 (ITA.LI.CA score ? 1), 43 and 38 mo in quartile 2 (ITA.LI.CA score 2-3), 23 and 23 mo in quartile 3 (ITA.LI.CA score 4-5), and 9 and 8 mo in quartile 4 (ITA.LI.CA score > 5). Observed and predicted median survival in the training and internal validation sets largely coincided. Although observed and predicted survival estimations were significantly lower (log-rank test, p < 0.001) in Italian than in Taiwanese patients, the ITA.LI.CA score maintained very high discrimination and calibration features also in the external validation cohort. The concordance index (C index) of the ITA.LI.CA score in the internal and external validation cohorts was 0.71 and 0.78, respectively. The ITA.LI.CA score's prognostic ability was significantly better (p < 0.001) than that of BCLC stage (respective C indexes of 0.64 and 0.73), CLIP score (0.68 and 0.75), JIS stage (0.67 and 0.70), MESIAH score (0.69 and 0.77), and HKLC stage (0.68 and 0.75). The main limitations of this study are its retrospective nature and the intrinsically significant differences between the Taiwanese and Italian groups.ConclusionsThe ITA.LI.CA prognostic system includes both a tumor staging-stratifying patients with HCC into six main stages (0, A, B1, B2, B3, and C)-and a prognostic score-integrating ITA.LI.CA tumor staging, CPS, ECOG performance status, and AFP. The ITA.LI.CA prognostic system shows a strong ability to predict individual survival in European and Asian populations.
| S-EPMC4846017 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a heterogeneous malignancy closely related to metabolic reprogramming. We investigated how CTNNB1 mutation regulates the HCC metabolic phenotype and thus affects the prognosis of HCC. We obtained the mRNA expression profiles and clinicopathological data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), the International Cancer Genomics Consortium (ICGC) and the Gene Expression Omnibus database (GSE14520 and GSE116174). We conducted gene set enrichment analysis on HCC patients with and without mutant CTNNB1 through TCGA dataset. The Kaplan-Meier analysis and univariate Cox regression analysis assisted in screening metabolic genes related to prognosis, and the prognosis model was constructed using the Lasso and multivariate Cox regression analysis. The prognostic model showed good prediction performance in both the training cohort (TCGA) and the validation cohorts (ICGC, GSE14520, GSE116174), and the high-risk group presented obviously poorer overall survival compared with low-risk group. Cox regression analysis indicated that the risk score can be used as an independent predictor for the overall survival of HCC. The immune infiltration in different risk groups was also evaluated in this study to explore underlying mechanisms. This study is also the first to describe an metabolic prognostic model associated with CTNNB1 mutations and could be implemented for determining the prognoses of individual patients in clinical practice.
| S-EPMC7812275 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Epithelial cell transformation (EMT) plays an important role in the pathogenesis and metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to establish a genetic risk model to evaluate HCC prognosis based on the expression levels of EMT-related genes. The data of HCC patients were collected from TCGA and ICGC databases. Gene expression differential analysis, univariate analysis, and lasso combined with stepwise Cox regression were used to construct the prognostic model. Kaplan-Meier curve, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration analysis, Harrell's concordance index (C-index), and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the predictive ability of the risk model or nomogram. GO and KEGG were used to analyze differently expressed EMT genes, or genes that directly or indirectly interact with the risk-associated genes. A 10-gene signature, including TSC2, ACTA2, SLC2A1, PGF, MYCN, PIK3R1, EOMES, BDNF, ZNF746, and TFDP3, was identified. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a significant prognostic difference between high- and low-risk groups of patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the risk score model could effectively predict the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates of patients with HCC. The nomogram showed a stronger predictive effect than clinical indicators. C-index, DCA, and calibration analysis demonstrated that the risk score and nomogram had high accuracy. The single sample gene set enrichment analysis results confirmed significant differences in the types of infiltrating immune cells between patients in the high- and low-risk groups. This study established a new prediction model of risk gene signature for predicting prognosis in patients with HCC, and provides a new molecular tool for the clinical evaluation of HCC prognosis.
| S-EPMC8202896 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundTP53 mutation is the most common mutation in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and it affects the progression and prognosis of HCC. We investigated how TP53 mutation regulates the HCC immunophenotype and thus affects the prognosis of HCC.MethodsWe investigated TP53 mutation status and RNA expression in different populations and platforms and developed an immune prognostic model (IPM) based on immune-related genes that were differentially expressed between TP53WT and TP53MUT HCC samples. Then, the influence of the IPM on the immune microenvironment in HCC was comprehensively analysed.FindingsTP53 mutation resulted in the downregulation of the immune response in HCC. Thirty-seven of the 312 immune response-related genes were differentially expressed based on TP53 mutation status. An IPM was established and validated based on 865 patients with HCC to differentiate patients with a low or high risk of poor survival. A nomogram was also established for clinical application. Functional enrichment analysis showed that the humoral immune response and immune system diseases pathway represented the major function and pathway, respectively, related to the IPM genes. Moreover, we found that the patients in the high-risk group had higher fractions of T cells follicular helper, T cells regulatory (Tregs) and macrophages M0 and presented higher expression of CTLA-4, PD-1 and TIM-3 than the low-risk group.InterpretationTP53 mutation is strongly related to the immune microenvironment in HCC. Our IPM, which is sensitive to TP53 mutation status, may have important implications for identifying subgroups of HCC patients with low or high risk of unfavourable survival. FUND: This work was supported by the International Science and Technology Cooperation Projects (2016YFE0107100), the Capital Special Research Project for Health Development (2014-2-4012), the Beijing Natural Science Foundation (L172055 and 7192158), the National Ten Thousand Talent Program, the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (3332018032), and the CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Science (CIFMS) (2017-I2M-4-003 and 2018-I2M-3-001).
| S-EPMC6491941 | biostudies-literature
Project description:AimThe diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the early stage is crucial to the application of curative treatments which are the only hope for increasing the life expectancy of patients. Recently, several large-scale studies have shed light on this problem through analysis of gene expression profiles to identify markers correlated with HCC progression. However, those marker sets shared few genes in common and were poorly validated using independent data. Therefore, we developed a systems biology based classifier by combining the differential gene expression with topological features of human protein interaction networks to enhance the ability of HCC diagnosis.Methods and resultsIn the Oncomine platform, genes differentially expressed in HCC tissues relative to their corresponding normal tissues were filtered by a corrected Q value cut-off and Concept filters. The identified genes that are common to different microarray datasets were chosen as the candidate markers. Then, their networks were analyzed by GeneGO Meta-Core software and the hub genes were chosen. After that, an HCC diagnostic classifier was constructed by Partial Least Squares modeling based on the microarray gene expression data of the hub genes. Validations of diagnostic performance showed that this classifier had high predictive accuracy (85.88?92.71%) and area under ROC curve (approximating 1.0), and that the network topological features integrated into this classifier contribute greatly to improving the predictive performance. Furthermore, it has been demonstrated that this modeling strategy is not only applicable to HCC, but also to other cancers.ConclusionOur analysis suggests that the systems biology-based classifier that combines the differential gene expression and topological features of human protein interaction network may enhance the diagnostic performance of HCC classifier.
| S-EPMC3145651 | biostudies-literature