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Red blood cell distribution width predicts long-term mortality in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury: a retrospective database study.

ABSTRACT: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious complication in the intensive care unit (ICU), which may increase the mortality of critically ill patients. The red blood cell distribution width (RDW) has proved useful as a predictor of short-term prognosis in critically ill patients with AKI. However, it remains unknown whether RDW has a prognostic value of long-term all-cause mortality in these patients. The data of 18279 critically ill patients with AKI at first-time hospital admission were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database. The tertiles of the RDW values were used to divide subjects into three groups, namely RDW?

SUBMITTER: Jia L

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7067822 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Red blood cell distribution width predicts long-term mortality in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury: a retrospective database study.

Jia Linpei L Cui Shijun S Yang Jingyan J Jia Qiang Q Hao Lixiao L Jia Rufu R Zhang Hongliang H

Scientific reports 20200312 1

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious complication in the intensive care unit (ICU), which may increase the mortality of critically ill patients. The red blood cell distribution width (RDW) has proved useful as a predictor of short-term prognosis in critically ill patients with AKI. However, it remains unknown whether RDW has a prognostic value of long-term all-cause mortality in these patients. The data of 18279 critically ill patients with AKI at first-time hospital admission were extracted f ...[more]

PMID: 32165684

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Project description:Background There is no evidence suggesting that red blood cell distribution width-to-albumin ratio (RA) predicts outcomes in severely ill older individuals with acute kidney injury (AKI). We hypothesized that RA is associated with all-cause mortality in critically ill older patients with AKI. Methods We recorded demographics, laboratory tests, comorbidities, vital signs, and other clinical information from the MIMIC-III V1.4 dataset. The primary endpoint was 90-day all-cause mortality, and the secondary endpoints were 30-day mortality, one-year mortality, renal replacement treatment (RRT), duration of stay in the intensive care unit (ICU), sepsis, and septic shock. We generated Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression models to determine RA's prognostic values and subgroup analyses to determine the subgroups' mortality. We conducted a Pearson correlation analysis on RA and C-reactive protein (CRP) in the cohort of patients from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University. Results A total of 6,361 patients were extracted from MIMIC-III based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria. RA levels directly and linearly correlated with 90-day all-cause mortality. After controlling for ethnicity, gender, age, and other confounding variables in multivariate analysis, higher RA was significantly associated with an increased risk of 30-day, 90-day, and one-year all-cause mortality as opposed to the reduced levels of RA (tertile 3 vs. tertile 1: hazard ratios (HRs), 95% confidence intervals (CIs): 1.70, 1.43–2.01; 1.90, 1.64–2.19; and 1.95, 1.72–2.20, respectively). These results suggested that elevated levels of RA were linked to an elevated risk of 30-day, 90-day, and one-year all-cause death. There was a similar trend between RA and the use of RRT, length of stay in ICUs, sepsis, and septic shock. The subgroup analysis did not reveal any considerable interplay among strata. When areas under the curve were compared, RA was a weaker predictor than the SAPS II score but a stronger predictor than red blood cell distribution width (RDW) or albumin alone (P < 0.001); RA combined with SAPS II has better predictive power than SAPS II alone (P < 0.001). The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University cohort showed that CRP positively correlated with RA, with a coefficient of 0.2607 (P < 0.001). Conclusions RA was an independent prognostic predictor in critically ill older patients with AKI, and greater RA was linked to a higher probability of death. The risk of AKI is complicated when RRT occurs; sepsis and septic shock increase with RA levels.

Project description:BackgroundInflammation plays a key role in the pathophysiology and progression of acute kidney injury (AKI). Red cell distribution width (RDW) to platelet ratio (RPR) is a novel inflammatory index, and its prognostic effect on critically ill patients with AKI is rarely investigated. This work is aimed at investigating the association between RPR and in-hospital mortality in these patients.MethodsData were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database. All-cause death during hospitalization was selected as the primary outcome. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal cut-off value, and the area under the curve (AUC) was applied to compare predictive ability among different indices. Cox proportional hazard models were utilized to assess the association between RPR and in-hospital mortality. Restricted cubic spline analysis for multivariate Cox model was performed to explore the shape of the relationship between RPR and mortality.ResultsA total of 24,166 critically ill patients with AKI were included. The relationship of RPR and in-hospital mortality was nonlinear with a trend to rise rapidly and then gradually. For mortality prediction, RPR had the optimal cut-off value of 0.093, of which the AUC was 0.791 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.773-0.810), which was higher than those of RDW, platelet, sequential organ failure assessment score, simplified acute physiology score II, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, and platelet to lymphocytes ratio. After adjustments for various confounders, high RPR showed a significant association with increased mortality with hazard ratios of 1.46 (95% CI: 1.40-1.55) for categorical variable and 1.88 (95% CI: 1.80-1.97) for continuous variables in the fully adjusted model.ConclusionsElevated RPR on admission is substantially associated with high risk of in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with AKI and thus may serve as a novel predictor of prognosis for these patients.

Dataset Information

Red blood cell distribution width predicts long-term mortality in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury: a retrospective database study.

Publications

Red blood cell distribution width predicts long-term mortality in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury: a retrospective database study.

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